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RayDog

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Everything posted by RayDog

  1. I noticed there were more Democratic primary voters than Republican in Oklahoma's federal house districts 2 and 5. If two seats flip in Oklahoma it will be ugly for the Republicans.
  2. I suspect the recession/depression will start within the next 12 months, so we will be in economic difficulty in the run-up to the election.
  3. To one of LL's points. I expect Puerto Rico and New Columbia will be granted statehood in 2021. That will give Democrats 4 new Senate seats making it very difficult for the Republicans to control the Senate for the foreseeable future. Also, assuming a Democratic president elected in 2020 has two terms, Republicans will face an extremely difficult electoral college map in 2028. In addition to those 9 votes from the new states, demographics in Arizona, Georgia, and Texas will have strongly shifted toward Democrats. From 2021 to 2037 Democrats should control the presidency and Senate, perhaps longer.
  4. The latest UT/TT poll has Cruz at 41 and Beto at 36. It ran from the 8th to 17th so it does not include all recent effects of the immigration issues. Paxton may be in trouble leading 32 to 31. UT/TT poll
  5. There is no need to change it and we need the labor pool it brings. With low birthrates among US born citizens and high rates of retirement we need to grow our labor pool through immigration and new citizens like these in order to have stable economic growth in the coming decades.
  6. If I were the next Democratic president I would find her a position in my administration where she could act as a go between with the Republicans and for the occasional revenge fuck after a political argument.
  7. Doesn't matter. The judge will never approve it.
  8. I can't strike because I don't work and and am not even in the US, but I would be happy to come back and protest.
  9. They will get their asses handed to them by the Judge. I suspect that Peter Schey will get the Judge to order that the government reunite the children with their parents. The judge will not extend the 20 day limit. The judge will not approve the use of military facilities in the administration's attempt to skirt the licensure requirement in the Flores agreement.
  10. It is still illegal to hire foreigners in key campaign positions even if they are British and Canadian. Having Bannon as a figurehead did not make it legal. Cruz and Trump broke the law.
  11. According to Texas Tribune he had $4.9 million on hand in mid February and as you noted over $8 million the end of March. At that rate he could be approaching $14 million, but he has likely increased spending even faster than the donations have increased so perhaps a little less. My guess is he will report between 12 and 13 million on hand at the end of June.
  12. Beto had $6.7 million in donations in the first quarter. He should have at least that much this time, but I would guess he tops $8 million more through the end of June, with a similar amount in the third quarter. He should be able to afford a good TV campaign in the run-up. A few PACS like Fire Ted Cruz will also run ads.
  13. In civilized countries that acknowledge the international right of asylum people are not charged with a crime for entering the country to request asylum. This is another administration policy that must change either through a policy change or legislation.
  14. Beto also had a good appearance on Rachel Maddow, and other press, so he got a lot of good publicity.
  15. The US needs legislation to meet the ideals of international right to asylum. The current administration's policy of criminally prosecuting asylum seekers for simply entering the country, regardless of how they do it, for the purpose of seeking asylum, must end.
  16. The trolls are very busy giving positive rep to each other.
  17. The Democrats should start a ballot initiative for 2020 for every state that has not already legalized, including Texas.
  18. I just heard a take that Trump's policy of trying to discourage asylum seekers boils down to Trump trying to be more evil than MS-13.
  19. I have crossed a lot of borders and agents can usually determine if a child is really with a parent with a couple simple questions. Separating children from parents is evil. You are evil.
  20. So your answer is to treat all parents like they are traffickers without any evidence.
  21. I find "Kiddie Koncentration Kamps" to me more accurate.
  22. I would love it if when Stzrok testifies he lays out which congressmen have taken money from and meetings with Russians.
  23. So considering the parallels, how long before the assassination attempts start?
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