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Posts posted by BrazilHorn
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Just now, Onboard 2.0 said:
Yeah, you do sound a lot like a girl so that would be apropos.
Since you are the one starting the slapfight, explain why you believe that in the midst of CV19 & Massive Racial Protests that Trump is completely showing his ass in handling, that he wouldn't benefit from a good old fashioned war between NK/SK?
I guarantee you he is praying for something like this to his backwards bible in order to have anything that he can stand in front of his pulpit on and talk about the "Bigly number of troops" that he is sending to SK to beat NK back, how it will be a "Great" war etc etc etc
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1 minute ago, Onboard 2.0 said:
Jesus Christ STFU.
/Jennifer Lawrence ok Gif/
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If I am Trump I am paying NK to attack SK. He needs a good old fashioned distraction right now.
War! Uh! What is it good for??? (Distracting the public)
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Just now, Brisketexan said:
Here's the thing....there are folks who lament this as "cancel culture." Fuck that shit. I'm done. I'm done accommodating shit that's incompatible with a functioning society. For fuck's sake, these assholes spent centuries "cancelling" the ability of black people to vote, work certain jobs, etc. For no fucking reason other than that they are black. Now, when they face consequences for their ACTIONS, they bitch? Fuck that shit. Being a fucking racist asshole has consequences. Deal with it. And note, if that's just the way you FEEL, and you just sit at home watching OAN seething quietly to yourself, but you don't do or say something racist in public, you'll be fine.
Kind of like how it doesn't matter if rape fantasies get you hot. As long as you don't go out and actually rape someone, you can have all the twisted feelings you want.
No sympathy for this fuckstick or anyone like him.
Exactly this. He could have just sat at home venting his spleen to his television set or he could have complained to the center where the signs were posted if he genuinely believed that ANY sign on that fence was inappropriate. I am willing to bet that a "Back the blue" sign wouldn't have been a problem for this man.
The lady in central park who tried to SWAT the black birdwatcher, the douchebag in Maryland who attacked the teens handing out fliers with his bike and this fucktard all 100% deserve what is coming to them in terms of job loss, public shaming etc.
It would be one thing if 10 years ago he posted something he has since grown from and completely distanced himself from, that would be leaning into "cancel" culture. This is in the midst of a massive social awakening choosing to be a complete POS. There is a big difference.
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Good, fuck that 61 yo racist POS.
There are 41M people out of work and I am willing to bet that the city of Philadelphia can find 1 person from that group that is not a racist piece of trash.
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2 hours ago, Dbeasy said:
Thanks for the info. When I said young, I should have clarified that I was referencing under the age of 50. Also, hospitalization, not deaths, is what I’m concerned about because of the indications of long-term damage being reported as a result of hospitalization. So, I just took a quick look at the CDC website for hospitalization rates by age and by condition. No idea how accurate the data below is, but it's close enough for government work. This is through 6/13.
Hospitalizations By Age
0-4 YR 110
5-17 YR 161
18-49 YR 7538
50-64 YR 8431
65+ YR 12747
So, 27% of cases are under age 50.
Then, I looked at Hospitalizations By Condition
Asthma 849
Cardiovascular disease 2210
Chronic lung disease 1381
Immune suppression 656
Metabolic disease 2790
Neurologic disease 1577
Other disease 389
No known condition 627 (8.5%)
Autoimmune disease 199
Obesity 3068
Pregnancy N/A
Renal disease 1063
Gastrointestinal/liver disease 345
Hypertension 3752
8.5% have had no condition. Not sure how many are under 50 and have no condition, but probably a significant portion of that 8.5%.
So, probably about 5-8.5% are healthy under 50 which would be about 400-627 of the cases, pretty small part of the almost 30,000 hospitalizations. Not zero, but not large either.
Edit: Just noticed the total numbers between condition and age varied by 10k. Not sure why on CDC site. Assuming 8.5% of 30k hospitalizations would imply 2,550 people had no health issues and most were likely under 50.
Add most of those underlying issues to the obesity column as well.
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4 hours ago, trauma babe said:
I would really really hate to lose Dirty's
My 10 yr old son would be devastated if they close. That and The Tavern are his favorite burger spots.
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Long time donor here (did not renew this year due to covid concerns and frankly 10 years of inconsistent play as well). I have no issue pulling the singing/playing of
"The Eyes" out of the gameday experience if indeed the history of song is steeped in racism.
I do agree that if song has been transformed then I am not sure why it needs to be changed. I would liken it to the use of the "N" word by Blacks. The "N" word was a pejorative(still is obviously) and has huge racist connotations yet Blacks have taken this word and adopted it (rightfully so) as a word that they can use and no non-Blacks can.
Given that a word with as negative a connotation as the "N" word can be transformed, I am unsure why "The Eyes" used in the manner it has been used for at least the last 30-40 years couldn't also be seen as having broken from its racist past.
Ultimately though it is just a song, it like any other "tradition" was selected as a representation of The University with the best information at the time, if new shit has come to light, then it should be changed.
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On 6/6/2020 at 11:54 AM, Axle Hongsnort said:
Question for the group about getting into sales later in life. My 20 year career started as a financial analyst and led to CFO roles.
I’m at a crossroad in my life and looking at all sorts of career options, including something sales related. I like to think my CFO experience gives gives me credibility selling to CFO’s. Over the years I’ve negotiated dozens of deals buying tons of software, health benefit packages, 401k plans, treasury/ banking deals, consulting engagements, real estate leases, etc, even other companies.
So I’ve got a chunk of “sales” experience, but on the other side of the table. Anybody have experience seeing someone like me entering “sales’ish” jobs and either failing miserably or crushing it?Look at being an SE/SC at like an Oracle/Workday/SAP etc
you can leverage CFO experience and demo software but leave prospecting/progressing/closing deal to sales team.
or at a selection partner shop/consultancy a la Deloitte, KPMG
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City could stop this really quickly if they so chose. Turn off water and power to that area, as well as any other services (trash pickup etc)
This is a non-news story and Trump (as always) is showing his ass. If the city of Seattle really felt this was anything more than performance art to a large degree then they would be in there removing these folks.
This seems to be a benign protest thus far. Hell the mayor is saying it could turn into a "summer of love"
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Headed to San Marcos this weekend for a tournament. Blast Furnace redux!!
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Have heard nothing about a league restarting. I don't think our commissioner gives a shit. Have another round robin tournament this weekend. Think my younger son is just going to move out of LL to select ball in general anyway. We will see.
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6 minutes ago, BradInATX said:
Nice, that's a good find. I haven't been able to find anything like that, showing trends of hospitalizations by race. What's the link to that?
In a scenario where protests are driving an increase I'd expect to see the black and white shares increase, for obvious reasons. That last data point on that chart looks like the last week of May (terrible labeling), which would be just after the murder. So your chart is a good baseline vs. what comes after.
https://austin.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/39e4f8d4acb0433baae6d15a931fa984
You can toggle between hospitalization/icu/vent at aggregate level or by ethnicity
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1 minute ago, texifornia said:
Jesus fucking Christ dude, you are actively hunting for things to hate on the past couple days. This is all normal recruiting evaluation stuff, especially before anyone's played their senior year.
Once they actually take a commitment from a guy like this (hi Casey Cain!) is the appropriate time to work yourself up into a lather.
I know, I am bitter and tired of suckitude among coaching staff and players. I am having hard time seeing forest for trees here or that the staff actually have a coherent recruiting plan. Just tired of seeing many of top players go out of state. I just have very little faith in Herman and having yet another staff "reboot" just seems to be a repeat of the CS era.
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51 minutes ago, BradInATX said:1 hour ago, Anastasis said:Austin is one of the better regions of the state as far as mask wearing and social distancing practices, at least it was until we crammed 10s of thousands of people into protests. The case data strongly suggest a jump related to protests. I hope that there is actually something else going on and maybe it is memorial day. Because if the trend we are seeing is related to the earliest protests, wait until we see what happens when the mass gatherings on Sunday work their way through the system.
Yeah, the last two days could definitely be protest related. I've got my eye on that over the next little bit as well as the ratio of change in cases vs. hospitalizations. You could sort of (very unscientifically) back into some demographic assumptions if cases continue to go up and hospitalizations don't.
Travis county tracks hospitalizations by ethnicity, so it will be interesting to see what happens in that regard. The protests in Austin have been very diverse however so I am not fully sure that one group more than another will stand out.
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Super excited to see UT competing with Kansas and Houston Baptist for talent. I am sure he has upside but I prefer when Texas is going after talent that would actually be a take at schools like LSU, Alabama, Clemson, OU etc. Seeing UT looking at kids that Colorado is the best school on their offer list is a little concerning.
I get having to look for diamonds in the rough but there would seem to be better options out there than a low 3 star.
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5 minutes ago, Buzzrock said:
Gene is about to have a bad day.
Queue the "I was hacked" defense or the "I didn't realize how my words could hurt, boy have I learned a lot from this" defense
What a dumbass.
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This would make argument it seems that increase in bum fuck areas is due to more readily available testing vs necessarily any reopening mechanics. I would imagine that people living in small towns etc haven't been as "shut down" as those in major metro areas.
We have seen a jump up in Travis County yesterday in hospitalizations but it is still only slightly above 7 day moving average.
To me that is the metric to really follow as that is one that impacts health care system. The protests to me is the wildcard as who knows if folks from them that were exposed have even started to demonstrate symptoms as of yet due to incubation period of virus. These protests are a massive variable as they are absolutely accelerating the broader "re-opening" that was occurring.
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Outside of the LSU game and the KU game he has been a non-factor in most games played in. I like him as a player and think he can be a valuable piece but not someone that couldn't be replaced if he opts to leave.
I do believe that he is making a mistake if he leaves the team as the audience for his message shrinks considerably.
Brennan Eagles the Longhorn football player who lets say has 75 catches this year and a great season - huge audience
Brennan Eagles former athlete now just a UT student - next to no audience
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1 minute ago, BradInATX said:
I'm probably not going to get into as much partisan finger pointing as the rest (liberals will blame Abbott, conservatives will blame BLM), but I think at this point it's extraordinarily unlikely that the protests have anything to do with the rising hospitalizations.
- Time to hospitalization averages around 10 days, plus some lag time in reporting. The very first protests in Texas were just 10 days ago.
- The majority of people at those protests are in low risk demographics. Young and generally healthier and in better shape than the average population.I think it's very likely that we're going to see a spike in cases from the protests (in fact, the huge spike over the last two days might be related). But I think it's misinformed to try to assign blame to the rallies for the hospitalizations.
Don't disagree re: timing. But as cases spike if hospitalizations follow trend they should increase as a % as well. You could argue age of protestors skews younger so perhaps it won't in this case. Regardless will be very interesting study in what happens when a "full" re-opening occurs.
The cat is out of the bag with protests in terms of people coming together. Especially given fact that they are happening in nearly every city in Texas. Will be an interesting analytics exercise coming out of all this.
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1 minute ago, Hugo Stiglitz said:
This is a slow motion catastrophe almost entirely due to negligence of leadership. The unknown is the severity of the consequences.
I don't think that's fully fair. Had protests never occurred and this was all just due to reopening etc perhaps. Not sure if you have seen the picture from Austin yesterday where thousands of people were shoulder to shoulder. I fully support and endorse the protests (and I guess can conceptually agree that police brutality is due to negligence in leadership if that is point you're making).
Hospitalizations for me are key and now they are rising. They will continue to rise I'd imagine as all of these people gather together in mass demonstrations across the state.
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- Popular Post
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On April Fool's Day last year I was digging through my laptop bag and told my then 12 yo Son that work had given me an Ipad and I didn't want to use it as I already had a laptop. Told him he could have it. He got super excited and couldn't believe it. I then reached into my laptop and pulled this out :
He was angry. It was worth it
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1 hour ago, elfenix said:
i want to push back on this. with appropriate measures (SiP, mask wearing, distancing, hygiene, isolate, quarantine, contact trace), not only do you reduce the number of people hitting hospitals at any one time but also reduce the number of people who get it.
this page does a pretty good job of explaining how this stuff works:
Those are highly scenario based models based on exactly how it is not happening here in the US. Full scale contact tracing eg or repeated shut downs don't appear to be method that US is planning on going.
Also the protests have completely blown doors off all methodologies and people are in closer contact than in months. Will be interesting to see where it goes from here.
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1 hour ago, golfclap said:
GTFO with that shit. This class has a bunch of ELITE motherfuckers in it already. Sanders. Bowman. Milroe. Thomas. Harris. Conner. Blackwell. Looking really good for Ibraheem and maybe even Mukuba (who is drastically underrated IMHO).
Add in a fucking awesome moldable piece of clay like Juan Davis and a ProKick P in Pearson.
Yes, it's a fucking hot mess at OL and RB. No, I have no idea what will happen at either spot but the core of this class is fucking incredibly talented.
Last season was the first time we haven't done this in a fucking decade. It's part of why I am bullish about where we are. Guys that used to not only go on the 2-deep but actually start as FR are getting to RS and develop.
I love Texas and want the Longhorns to kill it. I just haven't seen it in a long time on a consistent basis. I am tired of seeing OU win Big12 repeatedly, seeing them have Heisman candidates on stage as winners and finalists (albeit transfers), tired of seeing OU OL be high draft picks while Texas players are undrafted or 2nd day picks. If texas missing out on this OL haul after the '20 haul of good but not great OL that is a HUGE miss and a major cause for alarm.
Texas Re-Opening Announced
in Cloak Room
Posted
Combo of Memorial Day and Mass Protests coming home to roost here. Hospitalizations absolutely blowing up in Austin right now. Friend of ours is ER doc and she is saying she's swamped for first time and advising everyone to stay the fuck home in Austin.
Data still shows obesity being a major factor as is age in terms of severity of virus, but we will all see absolutely gyms/bars/restaurants etc being rolled back. Not sure how even if gov mandates mask wearing that anything changes as people are stupid as shit, and I cannot see the cops enforcing the act of wearing a mask.
Hang onto your shorts as shit is getting real. This is why we cannot have nice things.
eg Corepower Yoga was due to open Thursday in Austin and they just wrote and said that they are staying closed.