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alincoln

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Posts posted by alincoln

  1. 21 minutes ago, Doc Sam Beckett said:

    What's making it stale and boring is these two teams, along with a handful of others, are the only ones that will win championships going forward. 

    Vegas favorites for 2022-2023 (i.e., the winners of 21 of the 24 CFP games)

    Bama 5-2

    Georgia 9-2

    Ohio State 7-1

    Clemson 12-1

  2. The US data is unsurprisingly horrible so you have to look to countries like the UK for guidance.  In the UK (another nation with high obesity levels although not as high as the US), hospitalizations and deaths have remained relatively stable compared to the period before the onset of omicron.  The UK does have significantly higher vaccination rates than the US (45% of adults have had a third shot). 

    This dude continues to have the best data interpretation summaries I have seen:

     

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  3. 1 hour ago, Captain Ron said:

    Would it? I'm not saying run this against Mexico or Canada or the speedier and more talented teams.

    But against teams like Honduras and El Salvador are more than willing to give up possession, park the defense and play the counter against the top table teams (US and Mexico). With a talent laden team like what we are talking abour running out there or this, I think might leave ourselves open, but could use our talent to contain them. I think a team like Costa Rica, where they are sending out teams that are older than dirt out there, this could also succeed.

    Along with having a better attacking philosophy (see attacks up the middle), Berhalter would also need to make this team more disciplined on their assignments. But get that right and I think it could work.

    Contemporary possession-based soccer is predicated on 3 CMs (ask Pep Guardiola).  As is Klopp's pressing system, which is actually the best fit the USMNT in Concacaf but would get us killed in the World Cup.  

    We frequently struggle to maintain possession against CONCACAF teams with 3 CMs much less 2.  Adams' passing and ball control is nowhere near good enough to play in a MF 2.  Imagine Acosta there.   

    4-2-4/4-4-2 is also a system no one plays and international soccer with a middling coach is not the place to effectively implement an unfamiliar system with unfamiliar roles.  

  4. 2 hours ago, dieucla98 said:

    Have you been watching Chelsea of late? Puli is really a wing back. Or a false 9. But definitely not a winger. Anything but a winger.

    I don't think that MF would get overrun by any team in the Octagonal... Mexico, Canada - sure. Panama, Costa Rica - maybe. But El Salvador, Honduras, Jamaica? Come on, now.

    The outside midfielders in a 4-4-2 or a 4-2-4 are by definition wingers (see Ryan Giggs).  Wingbacks don't play in front of fullbacks.  They replace fullbacks in a 3-4-3, 3-5-2 or 5-3-2.  Any team with a pulse that plays 3 CMs against a 4-4-2 is going to overrun CM.  There is too much room both in front of them and behind them.  That is the primary reason no one plays a 4-4-2 any more.  You can still play only two CMs in a 3-4-3 because one of the CBs effectively serves as a CDM while in attack and the wingbacks can pinch in defense if the wingers track back.

  5. 53 minutes ago, FirstTimeCaller said:

    The stuff with recruiting, NIL, and coaching carousel that you mention is interesting and gets eyeballs because it's a train wreck -- not because it's good for the game. 

    Recruiting, NIL and the coaching carousel (and conference realignment and playoff expansion) elicit interest (arguably more interest than the actual games) because they represent opportunities for changing the stale and boring status quo.  Most college football fans (and Texas fans in particular) are desperate for change/evolution in the sport.  

  6. Alabama, Ohio State and Clemson have won 18 of the 23 playoff games (LSU, UGA and Oregon the other 5).  Absolutely riveting competition. 

    The past decade of college football has arguably been its worst, but the future should be much improved.  Players will be compensated for their efforts, the playoff will expand, and Saban will retire.   

    • Rage+1 1
  7. 1 hour ago, Don Johnson said:

    Scary

     

    But got to read the article

     

    "Children have been hospitalized at nearly twice the rate of adults in the past 4 weeks."  Incredibly misleading fear porn headline.  The most shocking part of the story to me is that we averaging only 2,000 hospitalized children (40 per state up from 25 per state) who have tested positive for COVID, particularly in a nation with as much childhood obesity and asthma as the US.          

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  8. 10 hours ago, Baboontyme said:

    So here is what I think. I know no one cares but I just want to vent because my wife doesn't understand. I am someone who has erred on the side of caution all along and I strongly believe in science and am participating in the Moderna trial. It's just an opinion and I am an idiot but I listen to some smart people and I can do some math if I carry the one and dot the Ts and cross the Is.

    I think O is going to be the end of the pandemic, more or less.

    People who are double vaxxed and boosted, and kids under 5 will not get sick from O. Most will be asymptomatic or have very mild symptoms. The number of folks in the above categories who get very sick and or pass will be miniscule. Maybe even flu like.

    Among the rest of the population, immunity will build up some because they're all going to get O as it out-competes Delta and everything else. The very few amount of people who are able to evade it and remain highly susceptible to Covid and its mutations at this point will be so small in numbers that it won't really matter.

    There will be an annual Covid shot available and plenty of therapeutics to fight the annual endemic strains, and enough immunity in the populations that even more contagious/severe variants won't be able to wreak havoc.

    I mean I guess there could already be a variant that has started circulating at this point that is as contagious/more than O and is more virulent/severe? Seems unlikely to me but I just interpret the stuff I read on the internet 

    For those in Science/epidemiology please feel free to take a blowtorch to the above, if applicable. My mind is wide open, I'm just trying to interpret things and I've got a little sense of optimism because the above seems highly plausible, if not likely to me. 

    Why won't O just mutate again within one of the hundreds of millions of people who will become infected to an even more virulent and contagious strain?

    Also, plenty of double vaxxed and boosted people are getting quite sick from O.  The vaccine generally protects from hospitalization/death but don't assume you will just experience a runny nose, particularly if you received a Pfizer booster more than a month ago and haven't previously had covid.  

    The vaccines will need to improve to move beyond covid.

    • Like 2
  9. 21 hours ago, GhostOfTomJoad said:

    And look at their division! The Ravens are the only consistent threat. The Bengals are just now trending right with Burrow, Chase and Mixon (piece of shit). The Steelers are stuck in reverse until Ben finally retires after this season.

    Watch him end up in Washington. Snyder might be dumb enough to make that happen.

    Tee Higgins is also only 22.  The Bengals offense should only get better. 

  10. 3 minutes ago, Lobo said:

    Nothing we can do?  As in, nothing at all?  Is that what you mean by "nothing"?? 

    Not with respect to omicron aside from immediate lockdowns comparable to those imposed at the beginning of covid, which won't happen.  It is way too late to implement a massive vaccine/booster rollout to the unvaccinated/unboosted.  

  11. 1 hour ago, statsman said:

    I don’t believe this is true. Vaccinated are getting Covid, and are spreading Covid. 
     
    The vaccine works to reduce the risk of a bad Covid illness. The benefit of vaccination is much more about protection of the vaccinated than any other goal. 
    This benefit is far greater for the overweight and old than for the young and trim. 

    The vaccines are clearly less effective in preventing breakthrough omicron cases.  Boosters appear to help but only 28% of the US population has received a booster.  As a result, a significant majority of the US population has very limited protection against omicron.  Fortunately, omicron appears to be much milder with symptoms generally akin to a standard cold or allergies (runny nose, mildly sore throat, fatigue) compared to previous variants (fever, bad sore throat, loss of sense of smell or taste).  Unfortunately, most Americans will think they have a cold instead of omicron because the difference in symptoms is not understood by most of the population.  The asymptomatic and carriers who think they just have a winter cold will spread this through the population like wildfire.  Many states are at or approaching record case levels and those totals don't include many asymptomatic or minor cases.

  12. 30 minutes ago, Deej said:

    Interested to know what percentage of the 25-30 he'd say are boosted.

    I'd be more interested in what percentage are obese, elderly and/or have health problems.  At this point, almost all of those hospitalizations are still delta.

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  13. 1 hour ago, Newdoc said:

    UK also has much better immunization rates than we do and a much lower obesity and chronic disease burden. I wish we were comparing apples to apples but we still have a cross the fingers and hail Mary for Omicron in the U.S.

    Exactly.  Omicron will hit the US harder than other Western democracies because of the lower vaccination rates and higher obesity rates.  The early data certainly suggests that Omicron is accompanied by less severe symptoms than previous variants (potentially significantly less severe) despite its virulence but fatties and the unvaccinated remain at high risk.  For boosted individuals in relatively good shape, omicron looks like a mild cold if you even experience symptoms at all..  

  14. Urban is not a complicated person.  He is an incredibly arrogant and condescending asshole who occasionally experiences a moment of self-awareness and briefly modifies his behavior only to almost immediately revert to his true nature.  His tenure with the Jags is unquestionably a historic failure that significantly tarnishes his legacy.  I would be shocked if he doesn't return to the college ranks in the near future in an ego-driven effort to rehabilitate his record/image.  The floodgates will probably open with anecdotes regarding his behavior, but the vast majority will just further underscore what a garden variety dick he is.     

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