fuggled

What's the EV total at now? You have a link to the data?

Sure, it all comes down to turnout. FYI, I plugged in your updated EV number (1,688,551) and went with your assumption of 150K more dropping on Monday. If PA hits 2020 turnout with those numbers and you assume the Marist poll is accurate, Harris would win by 6K votes.

Those numbers aren't that reassuring. There have been 1,625K votes so far in Pennsylvania. 5,300K votes on election day would match 2020 total turnout (6.9M). If we apply those ratios from the Marist poll to those turnout numbers, Trump wins by <100K votes. 😰

You keep deflecting on this. Do you believe there is widespread voting by non-citizens?

https://www.npr.org/2024/10/25/nx-s1-5165382/lancaster-county-voter-registration-fraud

Kinda surprised we haven't seen anyone put out "Texas two step" ads pushing this idea yet. Step 1, kick Cruz to the curb in 2024. Step 2, elect a real Texan in 2030.

https://www.news5cleveland.com/news/local-news/haitian-nonprofit-in-springfield-files-criminal-charges-against-donald-trump-jd-vance

How did that double fumble translate to a new first down for USC? Is that right?

Ha, Reince Priebus being taught how to pronounce Kamala live on ABC. He got it right the last time.

How do those polls average to Trump +2.1 when not a single one is greater than Trump +2?

Sorry if this is a stupid question, but what database are they working from? Wouldn't newly registered voters be on the voter rolls?

Here's a summary of what's going on at the UN (https://www.un.org/en/un-chronicle/voices-peace-crucial-role-victims-terrorism-peace-advocates-and-educators) So first, this year's commemoration has a theme focused on peace advocates and educators. It doesn't sound like the event was designed around capturing every single instance of terrorism in the world. Second, the exhibit in that video is called the the "Memories" exhibition. It was launched in 2022 and highlights stories of 22 victims. It predates Oct 7th and, again, wasn't intended to chronicle every act of terrorism. The most recent victim in the exhibit is from 2019.

I also don't see anyone talking about the proposal to take away tax incentives for corporate investors buying up swaths of single family homes. I've thought for a while that this needs to be looked at as one contributing factor in rising home prices. Curious if anyone's seen much analysis on what's being proposed. https://qz.com/harris-campaign-housing-rental-costs-real-estate-1851624062

Who says you don't qualify as a business owner? I've opened multiple business cards (for points) but never ran much of a business. If you're ever going to resell stuff on eBay or start an Etsy store or just start a hobby that might become a business, it makes sense to keep those expenses separate. Credit card companies don't care other than making sure you have sufficient income if business revenue is small.

No kidnapping. The guy stopped because the kids were throwing stuff at this vehicle. https://www.cbsnews.com/texas/news/dallas-police-investigate-alleged-attempted-kidnapping-neighbors-believe-it-was-something-else/