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Posts posted by SmokeyTheBear
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33 minutes ago, Loch Ness Monster said:
Watched one video from the first link. Pretty interesting
Inside Russia:
(302) PUTIN SAYS RUSSIA HAS NOT LOST ANYTHING | I Have A Few Questions - YouTube
He was just love and said the tone around Russia and especially Moscow (where he is) has changed since the last week. From "everything is fine" to "who is at fault". He anticipates major happenings in the next couple weeks.
Nothing different than we know here, but interesting from the point of view of inside the bubble.
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He's been posted before but a decent follow: https://youtube.com/c/LETTERSTOKING
He keeps things semi cryptic because he lives in Russia and doesn't want to fall from windows.
A couple other follows for different perspectives:
https://youtube.com/c/NikiProshin
https://youtube.com/c/NatashasAdventures
Broad strokes: seems the older generation will do what propaganda tells them, while the younger generation knows they are in a bad situation
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1 hour ago, The Dog said:
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42 minutes ago, C-Man said:
Xi throwing Putin a lifeline seems less-than-ideal:
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/policy/defense-national-security/xi-to-putin-team-up
They kind of have to for any possibility of them surviving their leadership asperations. One of those "sums greater than their parts" type deal. It'll ultimately fail (unless something major shifts at play), but if Xi alienates Russia, all the they can do is play ball with the rest of the world and that isn't in their self-interest.
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7 minutes ago, MagicSoccerSpray said:
That's domestic, I was speaking geopolitically. No one is perfect, but he would have been worlds better than what we got.
I don't know, it seems like it's all working out in the end. Russia is on the verge of imploding, China is now on an island with no real allies and serious domestic issues, and our alliances are stronger than they have been in a long time. Still lots at play but so far we are on the right track.
*additionally, Iran is far more easy to handle now that their big bro Russia has been hobbled. North Korea is what it is and will be regardless of what we do.
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13 minutes ago, MagicSoccerSpray said:
He was spot-on about more than that geopolitically. He would have done well.
He was a corporate shill who loves Citizen's United (probably the most destructive legislation to our Democracy in the past 50 years). "Have done well" is extremely subjective, especially if they somehow expanded on the philosophy of corporations having equal rights to individuals.
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27 minutes ago, crash_davis said:
Posted this in the UFO thread but thought it is apropos this thread.
Future tech drones from our military?
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3 minutes ago, Parliament said:
I want America to be more like Ukraine. We need to do some kinda big exchange program.
In an existential crisis created thru Russian gaslighting, corruption, and meddling in elections? We wouldn't want that would we?
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8 minutes ago, MagicSoccerSpray said:
Or Romney, who correctly called out and warned us, about the Russians/Putin in 12. Everyone called him a coldwar dinosaur who refused to move on and proclaim the "reset". There was plenty of myopia going around that was quick to dismiss the obvious warning signs out of ignorant, idealist, hope.
Ignorant children
I think a majority of us chuckled at that as we were still viewing the world thru red white and blue glasses. Romney was spot on with this single issue.
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42 minutes ago, atomheartbevo said:
I may not agree with their politics (well I used to, but not these days), but I’d be really curious to hear Tom Clancy’s and John McCain’s thoughts about Ukraine if they were still alive. I remember McCain laying into Rand Paul hard after the invasion of Georgia and then Ukraine in 2014, to the point he was saying on the Senate floor that Paul was working for Putin.
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IF the rumors are true about the assassination attempt, and the military (including navy apparently) "regrouping", when does this become a General unifying their military away from Putin for a coup? If Putin puts the blame on the some generals instead of himself, they have nothing to lose. The army must be broken by now and ready for this war to stop. They have to like their chances with an attempted coup rather than jumping back into Ukraine.
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Thread on rumor
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19 minutes ago, DaggerHorns said:
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13 minutes ago, Scheiss Meister said:
I also think that Russia also thought that Biden would be too weak to lead a response and that Boris Johnson would not respond the way that he did.
Looking at it from Putin's point of view:
1. Zelensky looked too weak to rally Ukraine, Biden too weak to lead an international response, and Europe too divided to assist Ukraine.
2. Russia had Europe by the short hairs energywise, with no apparent alternatives that were economically feasible.
3. He had many Ukrainians bought and acting on his direction. He thought that they would all stay bought.
4. He had a powerful fighting force in position to execute a decent invasion plan.
5. He had to go before any of these conditions changed.
He failed because too many of his assumptions were based on hope, not fact.
Also failed due to the side effect of autocracy being pleasing the leader first, not necessarily owning and learning from mistakes in a progressive manner or communicating up the reality of situations.
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1 hour ago, Ghost of LL said:One thing that I will never understand is what prompted the Russian change in strategy.
Russia had a great strategy, and it was working. Destabilize the Western democracies with a combination of direct payments to elites/influence peddling and propaganda to the ignorant masses through Facebook et al. That got them some critical wins. It got them Orban in Hungary and Trump in the United States. It got them Brexit and has severely weakened both the United Kingdom and the EU.
At the same time, threaten the Baltics and Poland with invasion and convince them that NATO won't do shit to help them. And demonstrate the point with repeated cyberattacks that show that NATO won't do shit. So the end result is the entire Western defense strategy is called into question.
And for the former Soviet states, set up bullshit little breakaway "republics" supported by "little green men."
All of which was covert and they had plausible deniability. And so while everything looked chaotic--chaos of their own making--the could sit back and look stable and powerful and ascendant.
There was nothing wrong with that strategy. It was working. Shit--Zelensky had a 20% approval rating. His government was teetering. It was entirely possible that he would be replaced by someone much more favorable to Russia in due course.
I'll just never understand why they abandoned that covert strategy in favor of an open invasion. It just doesn't make any sense.
It was close to being successful (more than currently anyways) if Trump would have won a second term (fuck the no CR). NATO would not have had the cohesive response it had and we certainly wouldn't be supporting the war effort to the extent we have. Our intelligence and weaponry is the difference here and it exposed any flaws Russia's military has. They would have been exposed eventually, but much easier to take over Ukraine if they are largely alone in the world, then each domino falls behind them if each country (Estonia, Poland, etc) are left to defend themselves alone from the orc horde.
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Gary Patterson is our standard
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Were the "rights" to own slaves universal? If so, are they still valid today?
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1 hour ago, David Dennison said:
Rights exist because man created them.
This. They are merely a collective understanding of foundational laws that do/should shift as society shifts.
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9 hours ago, Voldemort86 said:
Now here is an example of the “uppity” trumpeter. Probably 10% of his base. I don’t think there’s very many of these guys, but this guy actually is educated. He knows trump and his policies are scum, but the guy is so ungodly selfish that he wants the tax cuts while he watches and laughs as the world burns. This kind of Trumper really sucks. He claims that his bag is “ more expensive than anyone else can afford” and hopes the liberals plane crashes as he gets kicked off.
Anyone seen fatty lately?
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Русский корабль - иди нахуй
in Daily Texan
Posted · Edited by SmokeyTheBear
His last stream was the most damning one. "What the Fudge" was used a lot. Even commented on how weak Putin looked in the public discussions within the summit with Xi.