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triplehorn

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Everything posted by triplehorn

  1. triplehorn
    Everclear is $2 more than Clear Spring where I am. If for some reason I have to switch from killing coronaviruses to consuming it, seems worth it.
  2. triplehorn
    Again, hopefully this includes going after the re-election prospects of Trump's chief enablers - Mitch and Co.
  3. triplehorn
    Liquor scan shows I have about 30 gal of 190 proof everclear within 2 mi of my house as of today. so doing a little roundup later. 70% ethanol solution in water is antiviral - saw that it kills HIV and the HepA viruses by dissolving their lipid envelopes and that surface glycoproteins on bugs like corona are also disrupted and neutralized from infecting cells.
  4. triplehorn
    for realz. Given that bulk rubbing alcohol is long gone from the shelves, keep in mind ethyl alcohol is a valid substitute. I glimpsed so where ethyl may be more antiviral on contact than isopropyl. Everclear imo.
  5. triplehorn
    exactly. Even setting aside morality, the costs in lost productivity and disrupted revenues with a less than timely and responsive strategy dwarf the costs of testing and containment. The short term gains of denial and perception management to staunch panic and buy time in this case runs a high risk of being a fools errand in every respect.
  6. triplehorn
    China is hitting the ground like a colony of army ants. We're hitting the ground like a passed out drunk. Total global confirmed cases as of 15 min ago was 97,840 dating back to 1/20/20. Since 3/1 alone, it's increased by 11,800 including 2.7k new confirmed so far today.
  7. triplehorn
    force ghost edit: just saw end of last page doh
  8. triplehorn
    County of 10 million people half dozen new cases in LA reported today.
  9. triplehorn
    This is not how it supposed to work
  10. triplehorn
    China doing some medical trailblazing
  11. triplehorn
    Bloomberg's cash is also about more than defeating Trump. Watch for his apparatus to turn fire on the Senate campaigns. If/when he pitches 10's million$ into each of the Senate races of Tillis, Collins, Gardner, Ernst, McSally, and McConnell, it'll be GOP bleating about upending Citizens United.
  12. triplehorn
    You're omitting the crucial other half of the equation that determines numbers and outcomes - contact tracing. Aggressive testing combined with rapid aggressive action is what drives the actual numbers down. So in that regard, comparing SoKo to the US as a predictor has a lot of error. Why? Because we're doing neither.
  13. triplehorn
    Striking numbers: Dem Voter Turnout vs. 2016 Virginia +23% South Carolina +21% North Carolina +20% Texas pacing at + 27% Tennessee pacing at + 19% Maine pacing at +17% Alabama pacing at +22% Oklahoma pacing at +16% Colorado pacing at +12%
  14. triplehorn
    look over here
  15. triplehorn
    NC is hugely important in Nov. General and Senate. And should have less gerrymandering and voting skullduggery, could be mistaken that it’s improving other than GOP getting busted.
  16. triplehorn
    Just a followup to that, it sounds like basic genetic sequencing was determined then shared globally by way of WHO for incorporation by recipients into any number of assays depending on what the recipient nations chose to use. There are some with advanced micro experience posting on this thread who could clarify what I'm getting right or wrong about this. For the US, it could be that we were given the same starter genetic code when everyone else was, but no one was home at CDC, which so happened to be recently defunded/shuttered in some important capacities. Who the hell knows right now.
  17. triplehorn
    Good question, don't know. There likely are different sources for tests around the globe, again don't know. It sounds like the turnaround times vary as well but are as short as several hours depending on how they're handled.
  18. triplehorn
  19. triplehorn
    Important distinctions by definition: Infectivity: how quickly OR easily an organism is transmitted from one host to another. Virulence: the severity of illness an organism causes. In the example of flu vs. Covid: with flu, comparatively you become contagious very rapidly, but you still may not pass it on very easily (need more contacts to spread to one other). With Covid, you can be infected but it takes longer to be contagious, though you may very easily transmit it with comparatively fewer other contacts. So those are two variables that ultimately influence the R naught (R0) value. The WHO officials are keying on the longer lag phase of Covid to be contagious as the point of intervention for containment, ie. the essential use of testing and contact tracing.
  20. triplehorn
    Now that you mention it, I do remember your handle. I thought you used to capitalize the AKH or something. You recall which two venues Exes watched games in PDX during the Vince and Colt years ?
  21. triplehorn
    Choice of words - By spreading less efficiently I believe WHO official was pointing out flu time to transmit is about 1.5 days, and covid-19 is 4-5 days. It means there’s a greater window of opportunity to intervene thus reducing R0. With zero measures taken, covid could still have a higher R0 than flu. That’s the meaning I took from it because the context was related to testing and contact tracing, which is ineffective vs flu.
  22. triplehorn
    The contagiousness is statistically calculated using R naught (R0). R0 of a bug is how many people will get infected from every one infected case. If the R0 is less than one, it gets contained/dies out. Influenza R0 is typically about 1-1.5. Covid-19 is tracking between R0 of 2-3. Search the usual ways to get an idea.
  23. triplehorn
    I wonder how far China is into a retrospective deep dive into post-mortem/survivor blood samples from earlier pneumonia cases in the Fall/Summer to see if this thing was already causing trouble. The urgency of the last 8 weeks has been all about treatment and containment of actively ill recognized cases.
  24. triplehorn
  25. triplehorn
    Click for the video playback of the WHO update referenced in the Reuters tweet above. I only caught the last 15-20 min of it live which was informative. The actual conference starts about 30 min in.

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