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triplehorn

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Everything posted by triplehorn

  1. I can imagine scenarios where hospital admission criteria might need to be tightened to save beds and vents for the sickest, and where people who would normally get hospitalized won’t. My sense is that generally docs err on the side of admission under normal circumstances when it’s debatable, but will soon have to re-focus to increase efficiency and optimize allocation of care. There are many nationwide on the frontlines of medicine who will make a big positive difference to adapt going forward.
  2. I missed the first 13 min, but they offered helpful education and perspective consistent with what we have hearing this week and all should be understanding right now - useful mitigation strategies against transmission (some small everyday common sense, some big involving cancellation of large public events) and useful framing to help reduce panic. The best we can do is spread out the incidence over time as much as possible to absorb it by keeping resources available.
  3. I definitely had very strange upper respiratory symptoms earlier this week and thought for sure my body was fighting something. I had some obvious congestion and runny nose, but also had odd left ear sensitivity that radiated up the left side of my head and caused a painful scalp if I pressed down on my hair. It lasted less than 2 days. But it did dawn on me I was also just gnawing on some jerky my brother brought me from a Love's truck stop in H-town, so maybe I just pulled a mandible.
  4. That's a 15 min drive from my PDX neighborhood. welp. time to stock the hut.
  5. Keep an eye on the ‘case hospitalization rate’ which could be an order of magnitude higher than case death rate. That’s the metric that could overwhelm our system. It would also affect many others needing urgent treatment for the full array of non-covid medical needs.
  6. It’s notable how many other nations are taking a drawn out approach involving fairly draconian measures, like no school in Japan until April, to limit the surge in infections. China is in full isolation mode - for how long? Seems like a good amount of damage has already been done with drawn out responses that cancels out the chance at a quick return to normal, and that’s pre-US real time hospitalizations ripple.
  7. The last 30 secs of that Stone vid look like someone with jumper cables on their nips.
  8. Fair odds not everyone pictured is praying for the same thing.
  9. Lack of adequate numbers of ventilators is probably the biggest potential bottleneck to helping critical cases recover. Slowing the rate of spread over months instead of getting hit with a tidal wave would help rotation of access to specialized care a lot.
  10. Yep, that would be veeeeery reassuring news by comparison.
  11. Italy reporting 17 deaths on 655 confirmed cases, a 2.5% case fatality consistent with what’s been reported elsewhere. Hopefully when larger test numbers are available the actual rate is significantly less than that.
  12. that doesn’t even list China’s #1. Chongqing 30.5 million
  13. There’s going to be foreign interference in this election alright. Nothing shocking if other nations have been keeping their powder dry until this summer/fall to drop an anvil on Trump. Not much DOJ/SCOTUS can do to prevent some things from coming to light. Apart from the Scots, Spain is another nation that hinted heavily at uncovering money laundering links between a key Russian and Trump fam, naming Jr. specifically. If SCOTUS rules against Trump for his tax disclosure and his deutsche bank financials in June, it could spawn a global gang bang.
  14. The latter (case fatality rate) definitely seems more likely given the lack of high volume application of specific testing globally - i.e. lots and lots of formally unrecognized people with active disease not dying.
  15. In contrast to the Gov of CA, behold the vapid emptiness of this fluffer. sippy cup out front...
  16. What actual competence sounds like: trump probably flipping his lid he can't control this kind of actual responsible accounting going public.
  17. Hark! the Angels of disinformation
  18. case in point - a friend in that neck of the woods just told me that Napa County completely ran out of ventilators a couple years ago during the flu season. His first thought was the potential for nursing homes getting wiped out if this NoCal incident takes off worse than seasonal flu.
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