-
Posts
1113 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Forums
Store
Downloads
Recruiting - 2020
2019-2020 Football Season
Football
Entertainment
Sports
News and Business
Cloak Room
Transfer Portal
Recruiting
Events
Everything posted by PTINS
-
The dining hall is in the foreground. It looks like they partially covered the tennis courts. The cluster of buildings towards the NW/4 of the photo are the girls cabins. They are shown better in the screen shot below. I deleted the NY Times words and added my own. My updated screen shot based on information in this thread. (Same disclaimer, relying on Google Earth and info in this thread.) The map is inverted to match the pictures above. Up on the screen shot is facing almost due south. The orange polygon is the 1850' and below asl elevation, the older part of Camp Mystic that is the lower elevation. The South Fork of the Guadalupe River flows right to left along the bottom of the screen shot, with Cypress Creek entering from the top. Zoomed in w/o the 1850' polygon. All of the house icons are the girls cabins, I think. If the younger girls were in the cabin closest to the river (in elevation), that would be "Twins 1 & 2". These are the only cabins at or below the 1850' above sea level (asl) elevation, 20-25' higher than the normal river level, and ~ 370 ' from waters edge. The "Bug House" cabin is closer to the river, and the road and all the cabins in a line are higher than 1850' asl, +25' above waters edge. The "Twins 1&2" cabins are within sight of the office, adjacent to the other cabins, and close to the dining hall & rec center, all of which seem reasonable. Unfortunately, there does not appear to be an easy way to run uphill. It is hard to imagine the water rising that quickly, that there was not enough time to evacuate safely. So sad.
-
EDIT; OTHER POSTS INDICATE THIS MAY NOT BE CAMP MYSTIC. I RELIED ON GOOGLE EARTH 100% FOR MY POST, AND IT MAY BE IN ERROR. I HAVE NO OTHER FACTUAL INFORMATION TO PROVE OR DISPROVE MY ORIGINAL POST. I WILL KEEP THE ORIGINAL POST AS IS. These renderings are 100% my opinion from looking at Google Earth, and any comments, markings or observations are mine alone and are not meant to be taken as factual or further relied on for any purpose other than to facilitate this discussion. A Google Earth screen shot of Camp Mystic. The 2 cabins shown (Light Blue) are closest to the water, presumably the younger girls cabins. Note the water appears to be Cypress Creek (Orange), which flows into the South Fork of the Guadalupe (Dark Blue) downstream of Camp Mystic. The "dam" is shown in red. I would use that word "dam" loosely, as it is most likely a "non-engineered structure" meant to impound water for purely recreational services and not flood control. A wider view that shows Cypress Creek & the South Fork of the Guadalupe. The yellow/red lines are dams or earthen berms that have been constructed long the water ways. The shaded area is a 30 second best guess (not a topographic analysis) on what the Cypress Creek water shed might look like, meaning any rainfall within that polygon would make it down to the shores of Camp Mystic. Be aware that a failure of 1 upstream dam could cause a cascade of failing damns downstream as they are not meant to get hit with a surge in water, but rather a slow filling of the bathtub. It is also possible that the waters in the Guadalupe River backed up into the South Fork of the Guadalupe River, which backed up into Cypress Creek and raised the water level from the back (downstream) side.
-
I've had my ranch 20 years. ATT & Verizon are the only carriers that have service there. All it takes is one lost tower to lose service.
-
Life in the country is different. You can't take what you know about the city and translate it, it doesn't work like that. It is in the country, a big area with very few people. My ranch is in Bandera & Uvalde Counties. Bandera is the County Seat and had 829 people in 2020 (~ 35 miles away), and Uvalde is the County Seat, w/ 15,217 people in 2020 (~ 50 miles away). That is an 80+ mile stretch of roadways with no town over 1,000 people in it. It is in a box canyon, one way in and out, across two low water crossings and the creek crossing and there are no roads over the hills. The long list of people to call in an emergency? Volunteer Fire Dept, Constable, Sheriff, DPS, Game Warden, Life Flight Helicopter to SA. A "flotilla of locals with pickup trucks -- god knows they have plenty of those -- and of course some busses." I'm lucky I have 4 neighbors I can call in an Emergency, after that I'm calling the guys who drilled the water well, or put up the fence, or the A/C guy. During a flood emergency, if I have issues, so do they. If I can't get out, they can't either. And no one is driving in. You have to be prepared in advance, and self contained, for some minimal period of time. It sucks. Especially when kids are put at risk. Prayers for all that are impacted. The storms that came through Austin last month blew threw town at 50 miles an hour. This one parked in 1 place for a day. Harvey stayed in SE Texas for a week. They all came with flood warnings. I know I get pissed when I see and hear those alerts on the TV. I know I am high and dry, so quit interrupting my game, dammit! The circumstances of each storm are different, and damn near impossible to predict. To compound things, this was a Federal holiday on a Friday of a 3 day weekend, which means minimal staffing at all levels of government. Guys were drilling my water well during the Uvalde Elementary shooting. I told them to leave if they needed to. They shrugged, "... too far away, and nothing they could do." Damn near every town in the Hill Country has had a major flood in the past 50 years, because they are all along rivers. It is hard to say one place is worst than the next, probably one place that has been hit twice since then. The bolded part of your post is absolute. If you are in the wrong place at the wrong time, there is no escape. When I go to other ranches, I look up into the trees, to see how high the water has been in the past. I've learned over the years, if I want my avatar to look like my ranch, we need a tropical storm to do it. I hate that for me to have what I want, others have to suffer. I grew up with it and have always known it can be dangerous when it rains. There is an old car along Onion Creek, by an old (probably gone) low water crossing in Del Valle, that is wrapped around a tree and folded in half like a playing card on a bicycle wheel. I probably saw it in the lates 60's, and I think about that every time it starts raining. We went to Buffalo Trails Scout Ranch in the Davis Mountains in ~ 2006. We did the back country hiking and camping program when the remnants of a tropical storm made it over us and parked for a while. The camp had a little creek running through it. When we came to camp mid week to resupply, the creek had cut the camp in half, and they couldn't let us go back out. Never thought that would have happened in the Mountains in West Texas, We've had a similar floods at my ranch, smaller watershed and creek, went from dry to ~ 60-80,000 gal/sec (2 swimming pools) in about 2 hours. There was minor flooding downstream, no fatalities, so it probably never happened, officially. Thunder Creek is the appropriate name for my ranch, and the valley. This. You can't make anything fool proof, because fools are so ingenious. Human behavior. I tell every visitor, "Every thing at the ranch, plant or animal, is tougher than you are. It has survived by biting, or stinging, or scratching, or poking, or itching, or doing whatever it has to so you will go away. If I say don't run, that means don't run. If I say stay away, that means stay away. And the life flight helicopter comes from San Antonio; the GPS coordinates are on the wall." I marvel at how much better the kids behave when they leave, compared to when they got there. Y'all be safe.
- 2882 replies
-
- 17
-
-
-
Texas Recruiting Notes 2026: Boulevard of Broken Bagmen
PTINS replied to texifornia's topic in 🤫$9.95🤫
Many here know this better than I, but I don't think there is a HS recruit now that will start for Texas as a true freshman, certainly not Day 1. Not being able to offer starter time is an undeniable fact that will hinder Texas in signing top recruits at every position. Nothing makes you question the "Texas only admits the top 7%" mantra, like reading this board. Surly Horns is outstanding in some respects (I don't post or read CR), but some of the takes here are f*cking embarrassing. I'll say it here, Ojo doesn't sign with TTech on signing day. His rating will fall, he coasts his senior year and gets whipped on the field, and he just isn't worth $5 MM. Whatever he signed is predicated on him signing with TTech, no signature, money. Thank you. good post. The first time he "Ole's" and his QB gets sacked or the RB gets blown up in the backfield, Banks came into a wide open OL room. He was a stud and played at a high level right out of the gate, but I'm not sure he would be a day 1 starter today. Maybe, but he was going to start the day he signed. -
-
Tragic. Prayers for all. Our ranch is 20 miles south of Mystic. Please don't rush to judgement of officials at the various agencies. The most rain fell west of here, and water levels rose 20-30 feet in minutes. Cell phone service is spotty at best all over the Hill Country, much worse during heavy thunderstorms. Driving on the curvy, hilly, tertiary roads is hard in broad daylight, the faster you go the more nauseous you get. At night, in the rain, with every low water crossing full of running water, it is extremely dangerous, and a tin star on your chest doesn't change that. We drove the backroads from Kerrville to Utopia in 2004, the one and only time, and I've probably driven between those towns 50 times in 20 years. 18" of rain in 24 hours, in the Hill Country is catastrophic.
-
This was the only thing worth looking at tonight.
-
Negative Recruiting Your Own School: The aggy Screenshot Megathread
PTINS replied to texifornia's topic in 🤫$9.95🤫
Emmitt Smith, from Escambia HS in Pensacola,Florida, was highlighted in Parade Magazine. I still remember reading his mini-profile in the Faces in the Crowd section for his HS career. We lived at Eglin AFB when I was younger. Pensacola was the nearest big town. Not sure if they even had ratings back then, but he wouldn't have been a 3*. -
Sorry I provoked you to have to post that. Apologies.
-
James Cross? LBJ's Air Force One Pilot? I went to HS with his kids. My father used to fly "space available" on the weekly LBJ mail run between Andrews & Bergstrom. Did he do a waste dump over Taylor, or something? 🙂
-
Which regime, ours, theirs, or both?
-
There is one oil market in the world. ~ 100 Million BPD is produced and consumed. If the supply is cut by 20 Million BPD, you have 100 Million of demand chasing 80 MM of supply. Everybody gets fucked, except the producers. Everybody. The US is an exception. We are a "net producer", good for the US producers. BUT, and that is a big BUT, the US exports a lot of the lighter grade sweet oil produced from the shale plays, and it imports a similar quantity of the heavier, sour oil that is the preferred feedstock for the US refining industry, which was retrofitted 20 years ago to produce transportation fuels; gasoline, diesel and jet fuel from the bottom of the barrel oil production. In the event of a Strait shutdown, the imported oil will come at an inflated world price, and gasoline and diesel prices will rise proportionally, which kicks the US economy square in the nuts. World Class tankers are 2-3 million bbl capacity, ~ $160-$250,000,000/per load. And you worry about auto and home insurance. IMO, If Iran wants to start some real fuckery, the Strait is it. Light one tanker up, and everybody is in the game. Iran gets creamed in the process, bombed to the stone age, but everybody will pay for it for a while. The prices always go up a hell of a lot faster than they come down. Prudent refiners will secure long term supply under long term contracts, and prices won't come back down until the long term contracts expire. I think Iran follows previous actions, tells the parties that be in advance, they are going to make some face-saving response, but behind the closed doors, they push away from the table, and ... there is not a reasonable mind within a sniff of the table.
-
Texas Recruiting Notes 2026: Boulevard of Broken Bagmen
PTINS replied to texifornia's topic in 🤫$9.95🤫
-
Negative Recruiting Your Own School: The aggy Screenshot Megathread
PTINS replied to texifornia's topic in 🤫$9.95🤫
Per Elko, "they (The Texas Longhorns) physically annihilated us." Commit it memory. Save it wherever you save shit. Consider a tattoo. Don't ever forget those words. -
Ships collide in Hormuz Strait in shadow of Israel-Iran war British security firm Ambrey says the incident involving an oil tanker was not security related. Published On 17 Jun 2025 Two oil tankers have collided in the Strait of Hormuz, the world’s most critical oil checkpoint just off the coast of Iran. British maritime security monitor Ambrey said that the collision on Tuesday of the Adalynn and the Front Eagle is “not security-related,” despite the proximity of the accident to the war raging between Israel and Iran and concerns over its impact on navigation. Shipping company Frontline said a fire was extinguished on the Front Eagle tanker, 15 nautical miles (28km) off the UAE’s Gulf of Oman coast. It added that no pollution had been detected. The United Arab Emirates coastguard said it had evacuated 24 people from the Adalynn oil tanker. The Front Eagle was loaded with 2 million barrels of Iraqi crude oil and was en route to Zhoushan in China, according to monitoring service TankerTrackers.com. The Adalynn, a Suezmax-class tanker owned by India-based Global Shipping Holding Ltd, had no cargo and was sailing towards the Suez Canal in Egypt, the monitoring service said.
-
The Iranian Revolution spooled up the year I graduated. I have no first hand knowledge of any those sweet things. I'm betting everybody was much happier.
-
I agree with this. Watch the first 3 minutes of Argo. The world has changed a lot since 1979. America does't have anywhere near the influence, and a lot of countries have a lot of money = influence. I'm not offering any endorsement or criticism of anybody, but Iran migrating towards a Qatari/Emirates mindset would make the world a much better place. As Charliie Wilson opined, "You think they might be a lot happier over there if they could just get women and booze in the same room at the same time?"
-
I agree. Israel will finish this, while they have the chance, and while the rest of the world waits (and quietly supports). From the Bullock Musuem,
-
I agree. Even though most Iranian oil goes to China & India, it doesn't matter who produces the oil. It is a zero sum game. Take a major source off the table, and the buyers frenzy flips the stabilized market to a sellers market with to guardrails. The biggest difference being, that Iran appears to be totally isolated this time, with everybody else watching from the sidelines.
-
I am just reading what is posted, and offer this article without comment. I have no definitive information, one way or the other. B-52s Join B-2s On Diego Garcia,10 Bombers Now At Indian Ocean Island
-
Negative Recruiting Your Own School: The aggy Screenshot Megathread
PTINS replied to texifornia's topic in 🤫$9.95🤫
Aggy gonna Aggy. preaching to the choir, I know. They just ignore the Head-to-Head recruiting battles Texas has with Ohio State & Georgia, and to a lesses extent, USC, Oregon. and the local school of the day, for the cream of the crop in HS football every year that would never consider Aggy, but for a steaming pile of shit, opps!, or cash. Because those guys never consider aggy, they don't exist. Therefore A&M is close to Texas in talent. Better business model than selling ice to the Eskimos. Looch gets to fleece the locals year round.
Football ... Basketball ... Baseball ... Other Sports ... Futbol ... 🤫995🤫 ... Gambling ... Movies & TV ... Music ... Hobbies ... Lulz ... Food & Travel ... Daily Texan ... Business and Markets ... Cloak Room ... Help ... For Sale ... Board Discussion ... Subscribe!... Donate!... COOKIE MONSTER!