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pepper brooks

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Everything posted by pepper brooks

  1. that Clinton reach is still strong to quite strong.
  2. Hawaii in the ugliest uniforms ever assembled looks tough again.
  3. Always the dilemma. I personally do not know anyone who has had the IMS failure, and I know a whole bunch of people who have had 997's. Obviously, it is an issue and is a pretty well known one as is the rear main seal leaking. I have been lucky so far that mine is in tact. If it was in my price range I would with a 997.2 Carrera S or Turbo. Give you a bit of peace of mind. Otherwise, I would try and find a higher mile 997.1. If it has been driven chances are if the IMS was going to fail it would have done so by 50k+ miles. watch me say that and mine will take a shit on the way home today.
  4. Wull seniors got worked over yesterday by hawaii. That Hawaii team is machine. They’ve not had a single game that was close. Maybe we can get back in it, but it’s gonna be tough.
  5. I did it with my 2005 Carrera S for about 10 years. I still have the car but it’s not my daily anymore, although I still drive it at least 3 days a week. The car is about to turn 15, and i have zero desire to exchange it(although that new corvette makes me think a bit). Every time I get in my 911 I still love it. It feels special, like driving it is a special event. This damn car has engrained itself in my dna. I truly love the thing. Aside from replacing a water pump the thing has never spent a day in the shop. After my original factory warranty ran out I bought a 4 year way care warranty and it was the highest waste of money ever. I never used it. They’re amazing vehicle, tough as tanks, reliable and just freaking awesome. It’s been so awesome my wife now won’t drive anything else, and my current daily driver is another of their vehicles (panamera Gts). Do it. You won’t regret it. That said, if the 991 is a possibility always get the newest version you can afford. Good luck, and of course, we will need pictures.
  6. I’m not shocked. I was treated like an airline customer when dealing with my shit rocket. Sorry to hear you’re dealing with the same kind of shit.
  7. I just saw it and I actually think it’s his best film. I don’t think I can be talked out of that. It really struck a chord with me. Pitt and DiCaprio were freaking nails. I’m going to think about this one a while and will probably go see it again. Not sure what it was, but damn it really resonated with me artistically. I totally understand how some are going to hate it too.
  8. For those tourney ball people the new DeMarini CF line has dropped including custom build just in time for tournament season this fall. After hitting with those little league USA shit sticks the last 6 months this is a welcome respite. I have mini pep the 31 drop 8 on order. should be here in time for the our first tournament. He's neem training with a Marucci drop 5 all summer so I hope he has added some strength and pop. He's had plenty of pop, but you can always have more! He hit 6 bombs last tournament season between two teams which led both teams. This will be his last year playing the smaller fields at baseball usa so he's hoping to get to double digits this season.
  9. pretty stunning the astros are the worst 95+ hitting team. 2 years ago they were the best fastball hitting team in all of baseball. amazing the turn around on that. I am not sure ho wi feel about trading tucker for thor. probably fine. thor has an injury history, but obviously success at this level. Tucker is young and still developing, but what we have seen of him at the MLB level did not indicate a budding future all-star. Doesn't mean he isn't going to end up being one, but he's far from a sure thing.
  10. Good luck. Our select team gets started August 15 with practice, and play our first USSSA tournament in Houston on 8/24. we will probably play 6-8 events in the fall as 12U. Lil' Pepper also plays on a team that will be 13U and while he is a full member of the team (bats in the 3 spot), he's more of a part time/fill in there.
  11. West University Seniors are in the WS in South Carolina. Beat Delaware last night 4-2. Had to burn their ace for 3 days (woodcox). Play Hawaii tomorrow on ESPN+ if anyone has a subscription and wants to watch. Hawaii is really good an hasn't played a game that was close at all. Will be a tall order, but if they can win this one they will be in the driver's seat.
  12. the 355 is one of, if not their best looking modern car. It wasn't really very fast, but aesthetically it has held up much better than many of their designs that look pretty awkward and dated (thinking the testarossa's)
  13. I had to drive out to Hunt, TX yesterday. On the way home I got a message to add a quart of oil. no big deal. That is something I have to so every 5k-7K miles or so, and has been the case in every Porsche I have owned. I pulled into Luv's in Boerne to get some oil, go to pull the hood latch, and the damn thing basically disintegrated in my hand. I have always thought that handle was a POS, and honestly I wondered how it was so poorly done in both CAyenne and Panamera cars when in the 911 it is an electronic release button which works great unless your battery is dead. In both cayenne and panameras it's a plastic handle you pull, but my god it is like 1980's Hyundai level quality. Anyway, the quart low message stated, "okay to continue" so I made it back. Took the thing in this morning to get a new hood release handle and a quart of oil. Pain in the ass. Those of you who have owned a 997 version of the 911 will understand when I say the hood release handle in the Cayenne and Panamera is the same quality as the 997 cup holder.
  14. Far left who governs from there is a non starter. Center left with high character is possible. Libertarian protest vote is me default position the last few elections except 2012 when I went Romney.
  15. well it's working so well in places like seattle and Bernie's campaign, let's apply it to the whole country just as we are back at full employment. Should work out great I am sure. good lord.
  16. What isn't to like? She's a woman of high character who served her country, and appears rational in a time where few politicians in the dem party seem capable of any rational thought. I don't have to agree with her on everything, but I can at least agree to disagree on things and recognize she might be the best person for the job. No matter what you commies wish to believe, I am not a party line voter.
  17. shouldn't be too hard since I didn't vote for Trump last time. Here is one for you, on trump's watch we are now back to trillion dollar deficits, he has not come through on his promise of upholding the laws of the land on enforcing the current immigration laws, doesn't seem to have any plan for making any sort of deal on any new immigration law that could get through congress, his tax deal did nothing for me, and he has done nothing on entitlements that represent 60% of spending. If he's not going to address any of those things which are things that I care about, what is the point? I will give someone who appears to be of high character and a pragmatic guy who seems as though he would govern from the center a chance. The results likely won't be all that different, he won't address any of the above things in any meaningful way either, but the whole political atmosphere will likely de-escalate a bit.
  18. Post Malone in NOvember at Toyota Center
  19. yep. looks like bmw is still bmw. sad to me. I owned 7 bmw's. 4 were outstanding. 3 were total shit boxes. The shitty ones were all X5's with V8 engines. I still miss my old 1998 540i with sport package and 6sp manual. Damn I loved that car and still miss it. Only car I have ever owned that I miss and it's been gone 14 years.
  20. must have gone to advantage downtown Houston.
  21. Ritual knocked out of the park tonight. I had the wagyu strip. Incredible. Wife had the ribeye and it was also great. Mine definitely had more flavor. Wife wasn’t drinking so i had to do btg on wine. Their wine by the glass offerings are straight shit. A perusal of their wine list was pretty solid, but I want gonna drink a bottle by myself. Pro tip, hidden gem is the Quilt cabernet at $75.
  22. West U seniors are headed to the World Series in South Carolina. Starts Sunday and on espn+. West U juniors won state and will be heading to regionals west u intermediates lost to New Mexico last night in the regional finals. New Mexico was really freaking good. Those guys could absolute pound the ball. They must have hit 15 home runs in the tourney.
  23. Trying out Ritual tonight. will report back. Not new, but we hit Uchi last night. It's still incredible. Still in my top 3 places I enjoy most.
  24. Stones this saturday Social Distortion August 14 Smashing Pumpkins w Noel Gallagher Aug 25 Stone Temple Pilots Oct 1
  25. In case anyone is interested in why even if we could convert everything to cash we are too far gone to make a real difference. The debt-to-GDP ratio compares a country's sovereign debt to its total economic output for the year. Its output is measured by gross domestic product. In the first quarter of 2019, the U.S. debt-to-GDP ratio was 105%. That's the $22.028 trillion U.S. debt as of March 31, 2019, divided by the $21.06 trillion nominal GDP. This ratio is a useful tool for investors, leaders, and economists. It allows them to gauge a country's ability to pay off its debt. A high ratio means a country isn't producing enough to pay off its debt. A low ratio means there is plenty of economic output to make the payments. If a country were a household, GDP is like its income. Banks will give you a bigger loan if you make more money. In the same way, investors will be happy to take on a country's debt if it produces more. Once investors begin to worry about repayment, they will demand more interest rate return for the higher risk of default. That increases the country's cost of debt. It can quickly become a debt crisis. Tipping Point What's the tipping point? A study by the World Bank found that if the debt-to-GDP ratio exceeds 77% for an extended period of time, it slows economic growth. Every percentage point of debt above this level costs the country 1.7% in economic growth. It's even worse for emerging markets. There, each additional percentage point of debt above 64% will slow growth by 2% each year. How to Use the Debt-to-GDP Ratio The debt-to-GDP ratio allows investors in government bonds to compare debt levels between countries. For example, Germany's 2017 debt is $2.7 trillion, dwarfing that of Greece, which is $514 billion. But Germany's 2017 GDP is $3.8 trillion, much more than Greece's $281 billion. That's why Germany, the largest country in the EU, had to bail out Greece, and not the other way around. The debt-to-GDP ratio for Germany is a comfortable 72%, while that for Greece is 182%. So, is the debt-to-GDP ratio a good predictor of which country will default? Not always. Japan's debt-to-GDP ratio is 228%. Japan is not in danger of default, because most of its debt is held by its own citizens. A lot of Greece's debt was held by foreign governments and banks. As Greece's bank notes became due, its debt was downgraded by ratings agencies like Standard & Poor's, which made interest rates rise. Greece had to find a way to raise more revenue. It agreed to cut spending and raise taxes to do so. This further slowed its economy, further reducing revenue and its ability to pay down its debt. The U.S. debt-to-GDP ratio is 104%. Why are investors concerned that it will default? Unlike Greece, the United States can simply print more dollars to pay off the debt. For this reason, the risk of default is very low. On the other hand, the debt holders wind up with money that's worth less. This will eventually make them avoid U.S. debt. As a country's debt-to-GDP ratio rises, it often signals that a recession is underway. That's because a country's GDP decreases in a recession. It causes taxes, and federal revenue, to decline at exactly the same time the government spends more to stimulate its economy. If the stimulus spending is successful, the recession will lift. Taxes and federal revenues will rise, and the debt-to-GDP ratio should level off. The best determinant of investors' faith in a government's solvency is the yield on its debt. When yields are low, that means there is a lot of demand for its debt. It doesn't have to pay as high a return. The United States has been fortunate in that regard. During the Great Recession, investors fled to U.S. debt. It is considered ultra-safe. As the global economy continues to improve, investors will be comfortable with higher risk because they want higher returns. Yields on U.S. debt will rise as demand falls. When yields are high, look out. That means investors don't want the debt. The country must pay more interest to get them to buy its bonds. That creates a downward spiral. High-interest rates make it more expensive for the country to borrow. This increases fiscal spending, which creates a larger budget deficit, which creates more debt. A good example is the Greece debt crisis. That's why the debt-to-GDP ratio, for all its faults, is still widely used. It's a good rule of thumb that indicates how strong a country's economy is, and how likely it is to use good faith to pay off its debt. How to Calculate the Debt-to-GDP Ratio To figure the debt-to-GDP ratio, you've got to know two things: the country's debt level and the country's economic output. This seems pretty straightforward until you find out that debt is measured in two ways. Most analysts look at total debt. Some, like the CIA World Factbook, only looks at public debt. That's a little misleading. In the United States, all debt is essentially owned by the public. Here's why. The U.S. Department of the Treasury has two categories. Debt held by the public consists of U.S. Treasury notes or U.S. savings bonds owned by individual investors, companies, and foreign governments. Public debt is also owned by pension funds, mutual funds, and local governments. The other category is Intragovernmental Holdings. This is the category not reported by the CIA World Factbook because it's debt the federal government owes to itself, not to outside lenders. The CIA figures if the government doesn't repay itself, so what? It's just a method of accounting between two agencies. But it does matter a lot. The money the federal government "owes itself" is really owed mostly to the Social Security Trust Fund and federal department retirement funds. Thanks to the baby boomer generation, these agencies take in more revenue from payroll taxes than they have to pay out in benefits right now. That means they have excess cash, which they use to buy Treasurys. The government just spends this excess cash on all government programs. When the boomers retire, Social Security will cash in its Treasury holdings to pay benefits. But the cash to pay this debt will have to come from somewhere. There are fewer working-age people than boomers. As a result, the dependency ratio is worsening. The Treasury will have to issue more debt or Congress must raise taxes. Therefore, you should always look at the total debt, not just the debt owed to the public. That's because all federal debt is eventually owed to the public. That's why Intra-governmental Holdings should be counted in the U.S. debt-to-GDP ratio. https://www.thebalance.com/debt-to-gdp-ratio-how-to-calculate-and-use-it-3305832
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