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orange dream

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Everything posted by orange dream

  1. @troph thanks for your thoughts. Yes, you are correct that I am NOT saying we overreacted I am genuinely surprised at how low these rates are and just trying to make sense of how we learn from what has happened both locally and in other places as we move to "re-open". I look for masks and gloves to be commonplace for the foreseeable future. We'll all look like group of Asian tourists transiting through Heathrow. Getting back to crowded concerts, games, events, festivals will look different. Not sure how that will translate to little league, etc. Curious to hear Gov. Abbott's plan today and how that is then interpreted by county, school and city officials. Moving this data table to this page for those who may have missed it and wonder what you were referencing.
  2. Ok, I have some questions about where we go from here. The table below is information pulled from the TX Dept of Health COVID-19 dashboard. I know we have all been staying at home, staying healthy, flattening the curve, etc. but I am astonished at how low these numbers are. What is your guess of what percent of the picture this really represents. 20% / 50% / 80% ? I'm sure these are artificially low because of the lack of testing, limits of testing to those in risk groups or with severe symptoms, etc. but I don't have a good feel for how low. Are 70% of the people currently infected going to still die which will drastically alter the fatality rates? The highest infection rate in a county is basically a tenth of a percent in Galveston County and fatality rates of total population are between 1 and 2 thousandths of a percent of total area population. Multiply those numbers by 10 or even 100 and certainly it represents a tragic loss of life but at some point you reconcile that versus a longstanding death rate of the US population of around 0.9% annually. Am I really terrible at math? Are we amazing at flattening the curve? What's the go forward plan. Are entire schools closed for 2 or 3 weeks each time a kid is sick or does a classroom monitor for symptoms if someone gets sick but keeps operating? Same question for offices, stores, restaurants (complete shutdown if someone is infected)? For those of you who own / manage businesses, if working from home has been successful and is viable for your business model do you encourage it beyond the government directive or is everyone "ordered" back to the office at the first opportunity? Troph's questions about commercial real estate I think hangs in the balance. https://txdshs.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/ed483ecd702b4298ab01e8b9cafc8b83 County cases deaths population infection rate fatality rate of those infected fatality rate of population Travis 977 17 1,274,000 0.077% 1.74% 0.0013% Williamson 128 4 590,551 0.022% 3.13% 0.0007% Hays 109 1 230,191 0.047% 0.92% 0.0004% Austin Metro Area 1,214 22 2,094,742 0.058% 1.81% 0.0011% Dallas 1,986 43 2,636,000 0.075% 2.17% 0.0016% Tarrant 990 30 2,103,000 0.047% 3.03% 0.0014% Denton 547 14 887,207 0.062% 2.56% 0.0016% Collin 494 10 1,035,000 0.048% 2.02% 0.0010% DFW Metro Area 4,017 97 6,661,207 0.060% 2.41% 0.0015% Harris 4,097 58 4,713,000 0.087% 1.42% 0.0012% Ft. Bend 627 15 811,688 0.077% 2.39% 0.0018% Montgomery 331 6 607,391 0.054% 1.81% 0.0010% Brazoria 272 3 374,264 0.073% 1.10% 0.0008% Galveston 401 13 342,139 0.117% 3.24% 0.0038% Houston Metro Area 5,728 95 6,848,482 0.084% 1.66% 0.0014% COMBINED TOTAL 10,959 214 15,604,431 0.070% 1.95% 0.0014%
  3. I was going to "like" your post but you were sitting on 69 and I didn't want to ruin that for you. Awesome, congrats!!
  4. I need a name for this one
  5. Clear targeting and he slept they head
  6. ummmm... wrong thread dude.
  7. Also, protect your cornhole when showing up with 2k cash and meeting at the local liquor store to make the exchange.
  8. it's a great day to have a great day
  9. Almost anything will be better than continuing to send $1,450 / month the the CC companies. Any other option will probably still require ~1k / month to make real headway in paying the debt off. I'd probably choose 401k loan with a 4 or 5 year term first with some form of refi with cash out with a 10-15 year term as a 2nd option. Assuming it's not a problem that you expect to reoccur, but if overspending is an issue that obviously needs to be dealt with first or this will end up worse than it is now. Agreed, on the kudos for speaking up. Good luck!!
  10. I used givemethevin.com a couple of years ago. Sent them some pics, answered a few more questions and they even worked with the dealer I was buying from so that I got credit for the trade-in and saved on the taxes on the car I was purchasing. It was surprisingly easy and I feel like i got FMV for what I was getting rid of. It was 16-18k, not the range you are talking about though, so YMMV.
  11. Awesome. So happy for them.
  12. What kind of business are you in? I thought you were a lawyer of some sort.
  13. My best recline preventer is to direct the air vent full blast on the head of the person reclining in front of me. 75% of the time, works every time. I tend to agree that if the seat has a recline function the person in the seat has a right to use it, but should be aware of those around them when choosing whether to exercise that right or not. I generally do not recline my seat as a courtesy, but don't get bent out of shape if the person in front of me chooses to do so. I really do use the air vent thing as mentioned above if it is drink / meal / snack time though as that is a time when a little more space really is necessary.
  14. so THAT was the big open we were supposed to be wowed by?
  15. But is one of those (103.3 or 105.3 ) beating them or are the numbers just lower and being spread across other multiple stations? Kind of how all TV ratings are lower now than they were 10 years ago which were lower than they were 20 years ago.
  16. I don't even know who is on 103.3 or 105.3. Who has been beating BaD radio?
  17. I'd guess this is a bit of a nod to the fact that Corby can't carry a prime time show as the lead so Bob can stabilize and provide guardrails. Yes, I'd imagine Jake is the BaD replacement. Will be curious if they rename it.
  18. Wow, breaking up Bad Radio
  19. Sirois and Jake joining Corby and Dan Paul for the newly named Circle Jerk. One of them (probably Sirois) will eventually drop back to take Norm's spot when he retires with Mino jumping into the empty circle jerk spot at that point.
  20. My 6 year old is fascinated with football so i became a bit of an XFL expert over the weekend while watching the majority of all 4 games. Observations: - Love the in-game audio of the conversations between players and coaches. - Instant reaction on sidelines after positive (TD's, etc.) and negative (missed FG) plays is cool, if a little uncomfortable. - Cool that turnover takers get to keep the other team's ball as a trophy. - QB play is rough. - More punting than I expected, Dallas punted on 4th and less than a foot from their own 40 in a scoreless or 3-0 game in the first half. - Kickoff solution is really good. - Curious about ticket sales. Large areas of the best seats don't show any availability. I'd be shocked if those are really all sold (especially in the $100+ / seat range). Wondering if they sell those to walk-up buyers to minimize the empty seats close to the field. - All four stadiums, announced official attendance was approximately 17,500 (suspicious) - Hearing the communication between refs and replay official was interesting, process moved along quickly for the most part. - Like the 1, 2 and 3 point conversion options. Wouldn't mind having a separate 1 point PAT option that is a 40-45 yard kick. Also would like a 4 point field goal (Not PAT) from 55 and beyond. - Bob Stoops still sucks. - Never saw the much heralded "double forward pass" play. Maybe I missed it, but was disappointed it didn't play a more prominent role. - Wondered if the in-stadium fans have any option to hear any of the coach/player, player / sideline reporter , or referee / replay official communication. If not, they need to figure out a way to include the fans in the stands on that as it enhances the watching experience in my opinion. (similar to scanners at car races) Overall, entertaining enough. Hopefully they will build some momentum, avoid the urge to play conservative football and understand that pushing the envelope on offense is what people want to see.
  21. So you just pay $20/ month and it is some magic key that gets any programming with no additional fee? Sounds like I'm missing something.
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