Bateshorn

Yeah, the whole family is upgrading phones and ipads this holidays before January 20.

I don;t want to oversimplify it, but one must always remember that Trump is a dolt when it comes to business. So it stands to reason he has zero understanding of tariffs.

Whelp, any of you fellas that invested in southeast pine forest land, you’re prolly feeling pretty good today.

Old FUPM in fine form, daring UNC to fire him. He's ready to coach em up, https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/college/columnist/dan-wolken/2024/11/24/college-football-misery-index-north-carolina-week-13/76539464007/ Jesus he's a POS. I know they'll be some who will want to do something for him here once he finally retires, but I hope there will be the testicular fortitude just to ice him out.

I'm pretty sure Congress passed a bill that prevents the President from pulling out of NATO, without Senate/Congressional approval. Doesn't mean he'll defend the Baltics, but he no longer has the unilateral authority to pull out. If anything is going to save our participation in NATO it's going to be sweet talk from the Poles to Trump and the next Germany leader getting on their knees and getting to work on Trump.

We had coed bathrooms at Bates in the early-mid 90s. I had a crush on a girl down the hall, so I took all my shits a floor up for a semester until we hooked up and I decided I didn't really like her all that much. Also, as an aside: Going to a 1500 person school and running into all your exes and hook ups every day in the main dining hall will build some emotional fortitude.....or it will cause you to have a complete mental break and send you to the secondary dining room aka "The Tool Shed"

I'm not trying the CR this thread, but this Administration often gets to the right decision, but always late and with the maximum amount of incompetence along the way. Sigh.

Was it Jim Jefferies who pointed out the absurdity of an AR-15 protecting you from the government: you are bringing a gun to a drone fight.

The staff are mostly miserable. It’s easy to rant and rave about draining the swamp and tearing shit down, but it’s actually a complex and difficult thing to run the world’s largest economy/military/bureacracy. It’s like running an air craft carrier with a crazy half drunk person in the captains chair (and I don’t mean Trump). There’s a lot of cogs in the machine between there and the propeller shaft, in a human sense and you want them to do their job right so the crazy drunk captain gets what they ordered. It’s exhausting and hard and the pay is not great.

Not fun for me, I’m at the game, but I guess I get the experience of seeing Whisky rush the field.

Unfortunately, I have to follow this shit for a living, but the moment I retire, I’m out. I want to live like most of America and stop caring about this crap.

I’ll try to do it in the AM. The big take away is Cronyn is calling for the release of records. Combined with Blanche being named deputy AG, kinda looks like they did Johnson a solid and rid him of his Gaetz problem.

Holy shit, they totally tricked him into resigning his seat. I think Susie Wiles just capped Matt Gaetz. https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/14/us/lawmakers-demand-ethics-report-gaetz.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare

So many resumes touting “leadership”

Going to be a huge waive of retirements.

Hey now, it only took 70 years for the Edsel to become an ironic semi-classic.

A lot of the chattering class gets paid to gin up progressives. So yes, there’s an element of bitch and moan. The bigger issue is that most Americans don’t really understand what we spend most of our tax and borrowed money on. It’s easy to think that a bunch of shiftless bureaucrats are wasting trillions fucking around online. But the truth is I could eliminate literally every federal department except DOD, VA, Social Security, and Medicare, and you’d still run a deficit in the hundreds of billions of dollars. And that’s assuming I could get away with slashing billions in Ag subsidies. Which we know isn’t going to happen. the part of the government that everyone hates, the Walter Peck government, just isn’t they much money. It’s like trying to balance your budget by eliminating beer.

lol, every president has a government efficiency commission. It’s a classic make work job. They gave him a can of play dough and a juice box and that dipshit doesn’t even realize it.

I don’t think it’s the 4th quarter, we lost the game. Need to get ready for….fuck it ive lost interest in this metaphor Definitely. If Gallego can get a little Mo, I can see him being a contender.

I mean, I'm not sure I'd model anything on a pre-covid, pre inflation economy. I'm just laying out a couple of scenerios, not questioning your personal values. The first term was marked by a Trump who didn't actually influence economic policy very actively, other than tariffs (The 2017 tax cuts were drafted with virtually no input from his White House). This time around, he's going to get whatever he wants, for better or worse. If you believe that's Stonks to the Moon, buy those calls, my man. I'm giving you a perspective on my experience in being a successful policy dude and lobbyist.

I refuse to believe this is not performance art.

That doesn't mean alot with Trump. Powell is a very traditional Fed guy. Takes his mantle to fight inflation and unemployment very seriously. Trump mostly cares about how the stock market it doing. The bond market is not as important to him. That doesn't mean he can't be reasoned with by some Wall Street type like John Paulson, but his go to mode is "stonks go up"

Without being CR: never smoke your supply, to use a metaphor. There are a couple of different ways the election can shake out: one is the one you laid out. Tax cuts get rewritten by a GOP majority, with little to no Dem input, that stimulates more business spending, while deep budget cuts reduce government stimulus, balancing things out. Deficits either grow slowly and modestly, or maybe even come down a bit. Powell is able to continue to reduce interest rates. Bond markets, and related mortgages, approve, and rates start to fall fairly smoothly. You guys get new cars and pools, world is good. The alternative is the GOP goes insane, cuts taxes to the bone, and spending doesn't really come down either. Trump fires Powell after he holds rates steady when inflation refires, and the Supreme Court doesn't stop him, and whoever replaces him pulls an Arthur Burns, slashes rates to make Trump happy. The Bond market loses it's shit, mortgage rates go through the roof, and you guys are on the canned bean diet for the forseeable future. I guess it could be somewhere in the middle as well, but discounting the story the bond market is telling is a dangerous game.