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Bateshorn

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Everything posted by Bateshorn

  1. Without being CR: never smoke your supply, to use a metaphor. There are a couple of different ways the election can shake out: one is the one you laid out. Tax cuts get rewritten by a GOP majority, with little to no Dem input, that stimulates more business spending, while deep budget cuts reduce government stimulus, balancing things out. Deficits either grow slowly and modestly, or maybe even come down a bit. Powell is able to continue to reduce interest rates. Bond markets, and related mortgages, approve, and rates start to fall fairly smoothly. You guys get new cars and pools, world is good. The alternative is the GOP goes insane, cuts taxes to the bone, and spending doesn't really come down either. Trump fires Powell after he holds rates steady when inflation refires, and the Supreme Court doesn't stop him, and whoever replaces him pulls an Arthur Burns, slashes rates to make Trump happy. The Bond market loses it's shit, mortgage rates go through the roof, and you guys are on the canned bean diet for the forseeable future. I guess it could be somewhere in the middle as well, but discounting the story the bond market is telling is a dangerous game.
  2. Tuddies? WTF are we talking about? I haz confused. For a second, I thought it was this... (Mildly NSFW)
  3. This is probably the best reason, tbh. If you aren't 100% sure that you have a rock solid 50 are going to be with you, it makes the ability of McConnell to draw everything out much more powerful. You need that 50+Harris standing around basically ready to take votes.
  4. I don't believe technically, but I do believe everyone has been an attorney of some variety, but many states either didn't have a bar exam, or it was very informal. So attaching a "lawyer" title to a Supreme Court justice before the 1930s is a pretty damn loose term. It pretty much meant you either graduated from law school and/or possibly took a relatively simple oral or written test. A lot of lawyers in the Colonial/Revelutionary times just read a bunch of books & did some indepth discussions/study with a local judge/attroney, and were declared fellow lawyers.
  5. Well, I'm going to really blow your mind: 7 Justices didn't go to law school. Although most were from the wayback. Lots were nothing more than non-practicing attorney's who were appointed according to political connections. The current supreme court of nothing but Yale/Havard judges who graduated at the top of their class and served as lower court judges is actually atypical in US history.
  6. Yes. Very frustrating. If the Democrats wanted to come back into session, vow to work throught T-giving, and Biden nominated some very young progressive, they could have it done very quickly. McConnell has a few roadblocks he could throw up, but they are temporary. This is just a lack of desire to retire on her part and the Dems being very Democrat: Playing Checkers while the GOP plays Football.
  7. Este. It's a well worn path towards ginning up your US News and World Report ranking. Pioneered by BU and Northeastern, who went from party schools to desireable by encouraging applications, turning people down, and shooting up in the rankings, which lead to more applications....becomes self re-enforcing cycle. Both my kids got mail from Princeton. News flash: They were not qualified.
  8. There is almost no situation where a "Pound the rock and run some clock, stupid" strategy isn't effective, either metaphorically or in reality.
  9. Gavin Newson: Liberal California Values, plus Bill Clinton's sexual peccadillos. What could possibly go wrong? I'm just going to say it: Pritzker needs to go on Ozempic. The double standards Democrats are held to aren't fair, but they are real.
  10. Fuck them voters, amirite?
  11. Biden gave the left about as much as he could within the constraints of our governing system. But I look forward to hearing Bernie and Warren telling us that Scandanavian style socialism is what will cure the party’s electoral ills.
  12. I know I’m stating the obvious: this is who America is. We were always a fundamentally center right country, and we are moving further right. This isn’t a bunch of dumb people who got tricked into a second Trump term. The country does not agree with the Democratic Party. He won a landslide. This is about as close to the 1932 election in reverse as you are likely to get. The Democrats need to look at who they are.
  13. Liberal Democracy is over. Victor Orban out front should a told ya.
  14. good luck, guys. I hope you make it out of whatever comes next.
  15. Exit polls are about as reliable as a Quinn Ewers deep ball.
  16. 1. @Js1 is our king 2. Aubrey Plaza is our Queen 3. You need an opinion on Chili’s. 4. Do try to keep up. Did I miss anything, Gents?
  17. It is wild to me that people don’t realize that the American Democrat party is to the right of most European Center Right parties.
  18. Before anyone freaks out: At this point in 2004, the Bush people were starting to pass around concession speech drafts. We don't know shit about fuck.
  19. As a liberal arts major I can not love this post enough. Also, if you’re going to post math, explain it for the slow children.
  20. Absolutely gorgeous day in DC. Did my soul right to spend some time with someone who carried it all to hold our glorious republic together.
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