Bateshorn

https://www.daybook.com/jobs/WkMSYbtNzKCDbQv4P Daybook is one of the premier DC job websites. I am dead 😂

Lol, I was on a junket with Schlapp 20 years ago. No good stories, sadly. He looked 50 even when he was 28. The Palm Beach Ritz is really nice tho.

You right:

I can’t figure out if it’s all staffers, but definitely the Committee staff will not get paid. It stands to reason that if they aren’t sworn in, they don’t have access to the MRA tho, so I would think it’s all staff (excepting the non political staff)

I need to lay down after that.

You need 218 if 430-ish are voting. If less vote, you need less of “a majority of the majority “ I don’t want to summon our resident math demon, so I won’t mention his name. But the Rules is where the basic operating procedure of the House for the 218th Congress is established. Motions to recommit, membership of committees, subpoena rules, amendment rules, delays to read bills before floor action, blah, etc. The GOP Holdouts want something in writing so McCarthy can’t cut a deal with the Dems. Because everyone knows McCarthy is a first class liar.

Este

Never gets old. Never stops being hilarious. Will always repost.

Dunno. According to the Beaver and Jake Sherman, he’s a wooing the GOP Moderates.

Yeah, the conservatives don’t trust McCarthy on the Rules package, which is why we are doing this now.

Yup. But they take time to ripen.

The Dems just whipped the GOP statewide. It's not a lock, but I wouldn't sweat that seat too hard, given WV, OH, MT. Basically, if the Dems are losing MI in 2024, they are losing across the board.

I do a presentation on Congress where I mention that eventually all Senate’s run out of things to do and just become a nomination factory. For this Senate, it’s already started.

Well, that’s the most reductive question, but also the most on point: unless something changes, you are looking at a nothing happens Congress. Probably Best case scenario is we avoid a default and a shutdown (via a year long continuing resolution), pass a defense bill, and if really lucky, a farm bill, call it a day.

So there are a couple of things here at a meta level about how the house works: The GOP does not have an operating majority obviously. They are a minority government. Moving to a plurality potentially forces the hold out hands: Either Jefferies or McCarthy. But that only picks a Speaker, which allows the Members to be Sworn in. Next is the rules package for the 118th Congress, which doesn’t exist yet. But that suffers from the same problem: McCarthy has to either give the hold outs what they want, or he has to find votes from Jefferies, thus allowing the Democrats to ask for similar concessions in their direction. And those concessions will look like a progressive mirror to the HFC: Equal membership on rules, no Jordan on Jusiciary, A vote for abortion rights, not using the debt limit as a negotiating mechanism, etc. Conversely, Jefferies winning on a plurality has the same problem: he doesn’t have the votes to pass a rules package.

Well, he’s got the Dong for it.

Predicting anything at this point is like betting on college teams in overtime: it’s all kickers and 2 point conversions. Having said that, if McCarthy can’t lock it up tonight, at some point a main-ish stream member is going to break, and then somebody will nominate Scalise. They may have to move to plurality to do it, but if I had to pick an alternative, it would be him.

This is basically correct. The extreme weirdos in your high school have hijacked half of one of the 3 branches of government.

On a more micro level: McCarthy finally got a W. Granted, it’s on a motion to adjourn and it was thin AF, but he won a vote. That’s something, even if it’s thin gruel, in the House. I’m hearing rumors he may have to agree to open rules on legislation, which is just chaos grenades, and to @Ghost of LL point, helps the Dems more than anything, because they can attach messaging votes to almost anything.

I’m going to take a nap.

Traditionally people get admin or hill jobs by working as interns or on campaigns. From there they transition into private life either lobbying, non profit, etc. My advice is to get involved with politics at a local level: volunteering in campaigns, local advocacy groups, etc. there’s a bit of right place at the right time component to it, but the first thing you have to do is be politics adjacent. You could apply for internships, but much like line chef, that’s a young persons game. The federal government is always hiring, but those jobs are highly specialized and you need to know someone on the inside. I’m happy to start an AMA if there’s interest. Assuming you aren’t hitbyAtrain of course…..

Good tunes, tho.

The big bugaboo will be the debt limit. Can the government organize enough to prevent a default.