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Bateshorn

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Everything posted by Bateshorn

  1. The big bugaboo will be the debt limit. Can the government organize enough to prevent a default.
  2. It’s totally fucking up my work schedule. I’m supposed to be introducing myself to new members, talking to committees, etc. NO ONE IS IN CHARGE?!!
  3. I guess the Slacker era Austin was my time. The number of dodgy bong hits I took on ratty couches in Clarksville and West Campus…
  4. I cannot, as a former House staffer and professional lobbyist, stress this enough. There was literally nothing in the cspan footage that indicated the Dems are breaking or wavering in the least. They were goofing off, playing grabass in the well, just ear to ear smiles. The CBC members were giving valedictory votes for Jefferies into the 3rd round. The only thing that caught my eye was Scalise wandered into the Dem well for a solid half hour. Bro hugs and shakes. Chatting up Dem ranking members. Just enjoying himself all around.
  5. Stop suggesting a Democrats help McCarthy deal. It’s. Not. Going. To. Happen. The man is a known weakling and liar, the Dems will never help him. A coalition speaker will have to come from one of the remaining moderates or conservatives (like Tom Cole) that the D’s trust. And it will come with significant concessions for the Dems to abandon the first black man to be seriously nominated for Speaker.
  6. The board is Yeah, Nay, Present. It’s not equipped for this type of vote. The Members have a unique card they stick in a slot at locations on the floor and hit a button to record their vote. The totals are projected up on the wall above the gallery behind the lectern.
  7. Behind closed doors, he’s Brian Kemp or Doug Ducey. Very personable and sane. Publically, he’s probably a 7.5 on your scale.
  8. I was under the impression he had to accept a reintroduction of the Hastert Rule to appease the loons. Which means a majority of the majority. So no. I suspect the mod R’s would not allow the debt to default and do a discharge. But I do envision a stoppage of agency funding at some point.
  9. I honestly don’t know. In theory, if the Senate were to pass a debt limit increase, a member could introduce a discharge petition on the Senate bill that if it garnered enough signatures (218) would eventually ripen on to the action calendar and force the House to vote on the measure. It takes 30-ish days for that to occur if a special dispensation is not given by Rules. Ive been advising my client to expect an extended government shut down in 2024.
  10. Once McCarthy breaks, everyone with ambition (Scalise, Stefanik, Jordan) will come piling in. It’ll be total chaos.
  11. This is the 1000000000 dollar question. If most of them break back to McCarthy, then he can stare down the Biggs people and say we will do this all night. If more people break from McCarthy on the second round, tho, it’s katiebarthedoor
  12. You say this like it’s a bad thing.
  13. Now that I have a kid at Oregon watching USC collapse:
  14. So much this. You Austin stans just do not understand how woefully undeveloped your infrastructure is. And the quirky shit that made up for it is disappearing by the second.
  15. I used to have to answer a Fair amount of mail from these loons when I worked for a Texas Congressman 20+ years ago. It usually revolved around the 16th amendment being invalid due to (choose your favorite): Oklahoma botching ratification, inconsistent wording in the state approval process, bad punctuation, etc. We had a very standard response detailing a brief overview of Supreme Court activity in the area, plus. Strong recommendation to reach out to the IRS if you were in arrears and manage your tax debt. Basically FAFO.
  16. When my great, great Aunt sold her house at what is now MLK and San Antonio and retired to Westminster , the Statesman covered her move, as the University was acquiring one of the last private residences that was Drag adjacent. One of the last lines in the article was how Austin wasn’t as good as it used to be. Having recalled that and cooked down town in the late 90s, going to shows waved in by bouncers, drinking at Egos late night with the service crew, coffee at Flipnotics, taking the back way home via the low water crossing at Tom Miller to avoid the Westlake PD, don’t tell me this place hasn’t changed. And not for the better.
  17. I say this with all seriousness: I live in DC, technically second in the nation for traffic after LA pre Covid. Austin is worse. Noticeably. When we’d visit my mom, our mantra was be where you needed to be by 3 (usually back in Westlake). Or you were stuck there till 7.
  18. Show me the lie. When my mom finally threw in the towel and retired out of state her simple comment was “This place sucks now.”
  19. The dinner party isn’t essential to the story, but it provides an enormous amount of color and filling into exactly how fucked the Atriedes are.
  20. Sounds like Cavill left because he had creative differences with the producers, but more importantly, Bezos money whipped him into doing Warhammer 40K, with full exec producer control (and he’s a huge nerd/warhammer geek) link
  21. Lol. Mostly what struck me was the footprints in the dead pools in the canyon itself. I don’t know if it was migrants or just stupid tourists, but the river didn’t have enough flow to scour them away.
  22. This was just outside the mouth of Santa Elena last December. That’s Mexico on the right
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