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Anastasis

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by Anastasis

  1. Yes is 37 now. No was ~33 on the night of the debate.
  2. Crazy idea. We could maybe not fund their labs with our taxpayer dollars.
  3. Before you even have to go there wrt challenges in tracing of an STD, the manifestation of AIDS only after prolonged asymptomatic HIV infection (~10 years) poses its own set of challenges. It's a stupid comparison in this exchange. Like the red ball analogy he has used previously. We have a virus that results in an acute respiratory infection. The closest known relatives in nature live in caves in SE asia. The most likely reservoirs range doesn't overlap Wuhan. We don't have an intermediate host identified. We don't have a chain of exposures to follow from the likely source in nature to Wuhan. But we do know that the lab in Wuhan was collecting samples from bats precisely from these locations in SE asia. We know that laboratory accidents occur frequently (there has been multiple cases of SARS release from labs- Singapore, Taiwan, Beijing). But yeah, let's talk about HIV and bark out "cOnSpiRaCY tHeoRy" over and over again. Look nothing is 100% here. But lab origin is like 80-90% at this point. If the evidence dictates, I will recalibrate.
  4. Did that one strike a little too close to home for you?
  5. You really don't pay attention, do you?
  6. It changes the game when you come to the realization that much of the lashing out in the CR over the last 7 or so years is self loathing and projection of posters' interpersonal family relationships.
  7. Don't try to turn a you problem into a me problem, clown. If you needs the links I can provide them.
  8. It's amazing actually, total disconnect from reality.
  9. You acted the absolute fool upthread. Total clown shit.
  10. Brisket is objectively and literally one of the whitest people on the face of the earth.
  11. Obsessed? No. But not shy about pointing out the obvious when it comes to foreign policy.
  12. Curious, do y’all talk like this around normal people irl? I am not referring to the last post exclusively, but some of the shit broadly registered in the course of this thread. Cause some of y’all be wilding
  13. BTW, it is clear that you are incapable of paying attention.
  14. It feels like you are so very close to a breakthrough. Yes H1N1, MERS, and SARS1 all had fairly definitive epidemiological chains and intermediate hosts identified shortly after outbreak. For MERS they had serological data from camel herds, likewise the intermediate hosts and transmission lines for SARS1 and H1N1 were identified in relatively short time. Shit, they were able to locate the probable index H1N1 case in Mexico back in 2009. There is one recent respiratory virus, however, that does not have a clear zoonotic epidemiological chain. It started in a city home to a chinese lab that had the world's largest field collection of previously undocumented coronaviruses from nature. In fact, that lab was collecting specimens from the sites in SE Asia where the most genetically similar viruses have be located. No epidemiological chain has been discovered that gets that virus from its most likely point of natural origin to Wuhan. There is one scenario that connects the dots of course. Probabilities are hard, I know.
  15. If we see human to human transmission. And then, probably wont be optimized even if, but hold your butt if nature finds a way.
  16. This is what a natural spill over looks like. For the probability experts.
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