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Anastasis

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by Anastasis

  1. Aripiprazole. Right into the water source.
  2. easily remedied?
  3. Huh, interdasting. Still fuck Mike Waltz though. https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/16/us/politics/trump-israel-iran-nuclear.html Trump Waved Off Israeli Strike After Divisions Emerged in His Administration Israel developed plans for attacking Iranian nuclear facilities that would have required U.S. assistance. But some administration officials had doubts. Israel had planned to strike Iranian nuclear sites as soon as next month but was waved off by President Trump in recent weeks in favor of negotiating a deal with Tehran to limit its nuclear program, according to administration officials and others briefed on the discussions. Mr. Trump made his decision after months of internal debate over whether to pursue diplomacy or support Israel in seeking to set back Iran’s ability to build a bomb, at a time when Iran has been weakened militarily and economically. The debate highlighted fault lines between historically hawkish American cabinet officials and other aides more skeptical that a military assault on Iran could destroy the country’s nuclear ambitions and avoid a larger war. It resulted in a rough consensus, for now, against military action, with Iran signaling a willingness to negotiate. ... Initially, at the behest of Mr. Netanyahu, senior Israeli officials updated their American counterparts on a plan that would have combined an Israeli commando raid on underground nuclear sites with a bombing campaign, an effort that the Israelis hoped would involve American aircraft. But Israeli military officials said the commando operation would not be ready until October. Mr. Netanyahu wanted it carried out more quickly. Israeli officials began shifting to a proposal for an extended bombing campaign that would have also required American assistance, according to officials briefed on the plan. Some American officials were at least initially more open to considering the Israeli plans. Gen. Michael E. Kurilla, the head of U.S. Central Command, and Michael Waltz, the national security adviser, both discussed how the United States could potentially support an Israeli attack, if Mr. Trump backed the plan, according to officials briefed on the discussions. Image The aircraft carrier Carl Vinson was repositioned from the Pacific to the Arabian Sea for operations against the Houthi rebels in Yemen, but also to potentially support an Israeli strike on Iran.Credit...Linh Pham/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images With the United States intensifying its war against the Iran-backed Houthi militants in Yemen, General Kurilla, with the blessing of the White House, began moving military equipment to the Middle East. A second aircraft carrier, Carl Vinson, is now in the Arabian Sea, joining the carrier Harry S. Truman in the Red Sea. The United States also moved two Patriot missile batteries and a Terminal High Altitude Area Defense system, known as a THAAD, to the Middle East. Around a half-dozen B-2 bombers capable of carrying 30,000-pound bombs essential to destroying Iran’s underground nuclear program were dispatched to Diego Garcia, an island base in the Indian Ocean. Moving additional fighter aircraft to the region, potentially to a base in Israel, was also considered. All of the equipment could be used for strikes against the Houthis — whom the United States has been attacking since March 15 in an effort to halt their strikes against shipping vessels in the Red Sea. But U.S. officials said privately that the weaponry was also part of the planning for potentially supporting Israel in a conflict with Iran. Even if the United States decided not to authorize the aircraft to take part in a strike on Iran, Israel would know that the American fighters were available to defend against attacks by an Iranian ally. There were signs that Mr. Trump was open to U.S. support for Israeli military action against Iran. The United States has long accused Iran of giving the Houthis weapons and intelligence, and of exercising at least a degree of control over the group. On March 17, as Mr. Trump warned the Houthis in Yemen to stop their attacks, he also called out Iran, saying that it was in control of the Houthis. ... There were many reasons that Israeli officials expected Mr. Trump to take an aggressive line on Iran. In 2020, he ordered the killing of Gen. Qassim Suleimani, the commander of Iran’s most elite military unit. And Iran sought to hire hit men to assassinate Mr. Trump during last year’s presidential campaign, according to a Justice Department indictment. But inside the Trump administration, some officials were becoming skeptical of the Israeli plan. In a meeting this month — one of several discussions about the Israeli plan — Tulsi Gabbard, the director of national intelligence, presented a new intelligence assessment that said the buildup of American weaponry could potentially spark a wider conflict with Iran that the United States did not want. A range of officials echoed Ms. Gabbard’s concerns in the various meetings. Susie Wiles, the White House chief of staff; Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth; and Vice President JD Vance all voiced doubts about the attack. Even Mr. Waltz, frequently one of the most hawkish voices on Iran, was skeptical that Israel’s plan could succeed without substantial American assistance.
  4. Same here, but I am just a W2 stiff so things are mostly straightforward. Schwab downloads directly so it is a matter of pouring through receipts for deductions to enter.
  5. Yep, totally get it. Trying to convince my wife to keep the 2023 if I do pull the trigger. That thing will go 200k on nothing but oil changes and basic maintenance.
  6. Could see both of these before noon lol/
  7. What's pricing?
  8. A few inches longer and wider (twss) than the 5th gen, but still much shorter than the Tahoe (16" longer and 3" wider than the 6th gen 4runner). I hear your opinion on the styling. I love my 2023 ORP, but it looks very dated inside and out to me.
  9. Yeah, 2024 Tacomas with the same drivetrain have had some issues. Mostly trans related if I understand correctly. I think that they have things sorted, but that is the concern.
  10. What happens if you put in "biological markers of ADHD"? For most mental health conditions what you will find is a list of putative biomarkers. None of which are at this point consistent and reliable to guide diagnosis of nor assess treatment outcomes for these conditions. Some of the challenges in identifying reliable biomarkers for these conditions are our fundamentally poor understand of the complex and heterogeneous underlying pathophysiology and neurochemistry involved and the many genetic and epigenetic influencing factors. Advances are being made, esp leveraging some of the new analytical tools, but it's totally absurd to point to the lack of well defined biomarkers as proof of anything for any of these conditions. But yeah sure, maybe I just need to google it more.
  11. What is the biological marker for schizophrenia? Depression? Bipolar disorder? ASD? Etc. etc. etc.
  12. Shit man, we all have problems. Sorry that this one is yours.
  13. Exactly. Prof should post his stock picks and positions in this thread. These guys blow hard on CNN but show me some returns or GTFO.
  14. Just speaking for myself, and as a person at the top of the waitlist at CP toyota for a 2025 TRDPro 4runner, I just simply won't close the deal if they increase over the already stupid list price. Businesses obviously have a different set of criteria, but at least for this consumer it is a pretty straightforward calculus. I am already skittish on their hybrid situation and the new drivetrain, so no real sweat if I just have to fall back to changing the oil on the 2023.
  15. Friendly reminder that property taxes are fundamentally unamerican.
  16. Appraisal down, ASSessment up. That’s the way I like to fuck. its just a rhyme.
  17. Exited July calls at loss. Rolling Sept 550s now and feeling pretty good about it.
  18. futures are fun until they are not.
  19. prefixes. How do they work?
  20. What if this is the meteor?
  21. Probably a good guy.
  22. That's fair. Look our market is still the 800lb gorilla. We need a new normal vv China. If it takes some short term pain to get there, I am ok with that. If we can't execute that play due to incompetence, I think that we are basically in the same place we were before. Everyone knows (or should know) that it's all a house of cards. The market is fake news and has been for some time, way over inflated. Real estate, lofl. If shit gets really bad, we all go long cabrito (RIP El Azteca).
  23. Also 556 and seeds. Important part of the portfolio. I like the idea of a goat and some chickens too. But fn HOAs man.
  24. I don't think you are missing much. I think that that is basically correct. You asked for my thesis. Bet on warren, bet on solid dividends, trade like a cat in the near term. Stay the course with long term retirement portfolio. You brought up Japan lost decades, but that you don't seem to believe that is where we are heading with any conviction.
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