Anastasis

How about this one, from 2022? It was talked about quite a bit on the CR thread at the time. But an investigation by CNN offers new evidence — including two videos of the scene of the shooting — that there was no active combat, nor any Palestinian militants, near Abu Akleh in the moments leading up to her death. Videos obtained by CNN, corroborated by testimony from eight eyewitnesses, an audio forensic analyst and an explosive weapons expert, suggest that Abu Akleh was shot dead in a targeted attack by Israeli forces. I am not sure that we should make any assumption regarding the intention and its virtue, given both the stated and alluded to objectives of Israeli leadership.

Applied consistently, this is a reasonable posture. Remember this one? Turns out it was a guy with a bike and a bag of flour. https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/03/12/world/israel-hamas-war-gaza-news?smid=url-share#the-israeli-military-acknowledges-mistaking-a-bike-for-a-weapon-in-a-strike-but-stands-by-the-attack NYT contributor that did the visual analysis.

Excuse me sir, have you had the opportunity to review the latest General Atomics pitch deck? We've got a next gen solution for the elimination of ideas that we can mount and deliver on target (no strays, sir) right from the MQ-9 platform.

Smh.

Replace Hamas with IDF and the statement is equally true.

Just saying. Straight cash homey for a price named within reason.

Sleep well.

It’s clear to anyone that watched the video that they are an immediate threat in need of droning.

Want. Need.

very normal response.

Man, I think that I have gone too far down the rabbit hole of ford PS systems and hose configurations and it is damaging my brain. I am thinking about frankensteining a 68 shelby gt350 upper pressure hose (only "factory" 67/68 small block that actually used the under frame routing) and the FE big block lower pressure hose with '70 hose index in the big block bracket and mounting position on a small block car. Kicker is that I don't even have headers and have a stock manifold. This all makes sense. And is normal. Yall 69 and later guys don't know how good you got it. Seems like some of the right out stupid shit they did with the 67/68s in particular got shaken out by 69. Looking at you rust under the spot welded cowl area.

But you see, the correlation coefficient of the death ratios indicate....fucking ghouls.

Got 'em. Particularly graceful with the take of the last one.

Here's a pic of the rub point I found. The entire hose was wrapped in that heat shield, so it rubbed through that and then started working into the line. If not for this rub, I would probably just try to use the upper pressure hose and see if immobilizing the lower line fixed the situation, but I find it hard to ignore risk of being stuck out somewhere in BFE blowing PS fluid out my ears.

PS saga, dateline 03/20/24 Y'all just gonna have to put up with me live blogging the ongoing attacks of the Evil One. Finally got around to installing the bracket situation. This part had me a bit nervous cause it involved drilled out some mounting holes into the suspension mounts. Removed old bracket. View from rear and from front of old bracket mount point. Drilled out the holes. This actually went really well. Had a right angle adapter for my drill and some short drill bits based on some of the stuff I had read online. Step up the holes and got everything lined up pretty easy. Bracket on and we're in business. Note the high pressure line in 2nd pic, we'll come back to that in a minute. Note bolt length on the third pic, anyone think that it is in realm of possibility that the lower arm can articulate far enough to strike that? Looks ok, but might grab a smaller bolt and change it out anyways. Old return fitting removed from control valve, side by side with the new concours line. See how fubar this situation was. Got the new line on, weaved them through the bracket, got that whole situation put back together and thought that we were on the last turn. Had my son jump in and give the wheel a few turns from stop to stop and just was not happy with what was happening at full lock with the high pressure supply line. It moves quite a bit in the bracket (should be locked in), and doesn't appear to be clocked just right coming off the control valve. Did some further inspection and found a bad rub point that was occurring at close to full lock, which was already starting a eat into the hose. Long story short, I've now convinced myself to replace the high pressure side with a matching concours supply line. It should interface correctly with the bracket to prevent the movement, and hopefully put this situation to rest. I was going to just replace both from the get go, but the high quality pressure side line is fairly expensive for a PS fitting (~200 for the upper piece alone). I am quite confident that after I try this one, within a year I will be having someone rip it all out and put in the integrated unit just because I apparently like to light fucking money on fire over this stupid original steering system. Oh, and does anyone know if there are long terms effects to taking a full blast of power steering fluid in your eye?

I have a mix of bermuda in the back, zoysia in the front from a resod, and a patch of SA from where I imagine some dumbass prior owner tried to put a strip of sod they bought at home depot in an area along a retaining wall that struggled. The zoysia is the best decision I ever made, it looks great. I want the SA dead and gone. I can live with the mix of bermuda and zoysia, but I fucking hate that SA.

Not on target.

Yes, even in the cherry-picked data, I think the argument would be that they are over-dispersed for a poisson distribution. The actual distribution is probably far more complex, for many of the reasons that @Laxtonto alludes to. These are very complex things to model. But that gives Wyner far too easy of a pass. From his write up: This regularity is almost surely not real. One would expect quite a bit of variation day to day. In fact, the daily reported casualty count over this period averages 270 plus or minus about 15%. This is strikingly little variation. There should be days with twice the average or more and others with half or less. This is EXACTLY what you see if you only look only two or three days before the timeframe he selected, and in fact occurs on numerous other days both before and after. So a few explanations to things here. Either 1) Wyner did like absolutely no vetting of the available data on the subject (basic incompetence); 2) was unable to appreciate the implications of the time frame he selected from the dataset(basic statistical incompetence); 3) did not understand how to analyze the data (maybe more advanced statistical incompetence); or 4) there was purposive selection and a kicker of insulting the intelligence of his readership (malign intent and hubris). Maybe some combination of above. WRT to the daily breakdown by age/sex, there is lag and adjudication obvious in the raw data. I don't think that there is anything wrong with reporting the breakdowns as available and further updating as they are adjudicated. The problem is when someone that is either incompetent or has malign intent (or both!) tries to torture those data using a faulty analytical framework to generate talking points, and then those talking points are circulated by groups such as AIPAC and others to influence American perception and foreign policy.

It's aggy data analysis. His primary argument is that the data lack the variance that would be expected in real world data. To demonstrate, the author uses a highly selected timeframe constraining the observations included from the larger dataset to reduce variance. The sleight of hand here should be pretty obvious. We don't even have to jump into a discussion of modelling complex real world phenomena here. Laying aside the absolute absurdity of using figure 1 in this way, let's look at the actual data. The author selected data ranging from 10/27-11/10. Note that he did not justify this date range in his article dated Mar 6. Why throw out the reported deaths prior to 10/27? Why not consider any of the deaths after 11/10? These are pretty obvious questions, right? The is no acknowledgement nor justification for the selection of this particular time frame. Here is the dataset that Wyner used, linked directly from the Tablet piece (note that he appears to have a data entry error in the cumulative death total for 10/27, amateur hour shit easily quality checked by reference to the OCHA data here: https://www.ochaopt.org/content/hostilities-gaza-strip-and-israel-reported-impact-day-21 ) Here is a link to a far more robust dataset that reports cumulative deaths from 10/7/23 to 03/17/24 in csv format: https://data.techforpalestine.org/api/v2/casualties_daily.csv Wyner's cumulative death data correspond with the cumulative death data in the csv (with the exception of the one that the fat fingered 7362 instead of 7326. Here is the full time daily death totals. Wyner's time frame is represented by the overlapping blue bars. Do you see how obviously ridiculous this is? The variance is highly sensitive to the timeframe that was selected. It's more than ridiculous. It looks to me like straight up attempt to deceive with cherry picked data.

AIPAC running with the aggy-like Wyner piece now from Tablet. This is how propaganda and atrocity denial work together.

Rigoni lol.

Call it collective punishment, call it ethnic cleansing, call it genocide. Semantics we can all navel gaze while the reality is that we arm it.

I linked a wsj article. The html may not be visible unless you are on dark mode since I copy pasted it. I was told we were going to start treating them like a pariah state. Wish we could find that gear. No one here is arguing that they are. But there are people that absolutely like what is happening right now. Don't delude yourself.

We are flying C130s full of bombs into Tel Aviv under emergency declarations. If you want to both sides that, I can appreciate the angle. We should not be arming any of the genocidal lunatics in the middle east. https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2024/03/06/us-weapons-israel-gaza/ The United States has quietly approved and delivered more than 100 separate foreign military sales to Israel since the Gaza war began Oct. 7, amounting to thousands of precision-guided munitions, small-diameter bombs, bunker busters, small arms and other lethal aid, U.S. officials told members of Congress in a recent classified briefing. The triple-digit figure, which has not been previously reported, is the latest indication of Washington’s extensive involvement in the polarizing five-month conflict even as top U.S. officials and lawmakers increasingly express deep reservations about Israel’s military tactics in a campaign that has killed more than 30,000 people, according to Gaza’s health authorities. … What is clear is Washington’s deep involvement in the conflict, even if it isn’t the entity dropping the munitions or pulling the trigger, said Konyndyk, the former administration official. “The U.S. cannot maintain that, on the one hand, Israel is a sovereign state that’s making its own decisions and we’re not going to second-guess them, and, on the other hand, transfer this level of armament in such a short time and somehow act as if we are not directly involved,” he said.