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Anastasis

Certifiably Surly
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Posts posted by Anastasis

  1. Just now, Longhornfan1024 said:

    Every five minutes in the morning.  

    I haven't listened to 590 on a while, but had it on driving to soccer practice the other day.  It's a 10 minute drive there and back.  I think that I heard that one at least 5 times during the round trip. 

  2. I’ve skipped out posting some late night drunk meals on this thread because I was ashamed that I used a real plate. And then this motherfucker comes along with a key lime pie and mini andes chocolate bars balancing on his ice cream. 

    • Haha 1
  3. 9 minutes ago, BradInATX said:

    ^^ Well, there you go.

    Article did itself a disservice by not including the control. Literally half a sentence "while other counties without rallies are not seeing a rise".

    At least they tried with the control group.  I would still argue that you need to have a comparison group consisting of a matched set based on county level characteristics, esp. baseline rate.  Look at figure 3 for a different perspective. 

    Screenshot-2020-10-30-111701.jpg

    • Hook 'Em 1
  4. 6 minutes ago, BradInATX said:

    Yep. Let's stay intellectually honest. Silly and intentionally bad logic there. A study with integrity would have said "84% of counties with rallies had Covid increases, compared to X% of all counties. " 

    Maybe it still made the point, maybe it didn't. But that's junk science and it should be called out regardless of what "side" you're on.

    Yeah, even better yet, take the 18 counties and match them to a set of counties on factors like baseline rate, size, demographics, population density, urban rural mix, some mobility measures, etc. and then do a difference in differences analysis. That will get closer to isolating the impact of the rallies on the COVID rates.  Just lazy shit. 

  5. 13 hours ago, TexasEd said:

    1. Might agree on the shart kit after getting gall bladder removed.

    2. I so want that mod but working on more fundamental items right now and can't justify the $600.  Would love to see yours working though.

    Should be here on Saturday.  Here is the function testing video he sent me:

     

    • Like 2
  6. 2 minutes ago, jimmyjazz said:

    Exactly.  I suspect a large # of counties without any political rallies are also experiencing a rise in covid cases month over month.  Maybe not 82%, but a big number.

    So, what's the latest news on the Regeneron treatment?  I have an acquaintance who swears it's the holy grail we've needed . . . has it been proven to be more effective than first hinted at?

    Precisely.  You could run a similar analysis just about any factor and draw out a relationship with increasing COVID rate during that timeframe. 

    I haven't kept close track, but based on what I have seen they are far from the holy grail.  Helps in mild to moderate cases, not really panning out in severe hospitalized cases. 

    https://investor.regeneron.com/news-releases/news-release-details/regn-cov2-independent-data-monitoring-committee-recommends

     

  7. 52 minutes ago, Superhero said:

    Can I rent your wife for a week? I promise no butt stuff. I just want her to teach the 3 slobs living with me to clean their shit up.

    You have no idea what you are signing up for.  The butt stuff is what makes it tolerable. 

    • Like 1
    • Haha 1
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