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Huckleberry

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Everything posted by Huckleberry

  1. Huckleberry
    Are you asking if Oregon (or whoever is the #1 seed) would get to choose who plays where in the semifinals even if they lose in their quarterfinal? I'm going to guess that no, they would not. So it's pretty clearly the highest remaining seed.
  2. Huckleberry
    1. SEC, 528-288, 0.647 2. Big Ten, 432-450, 0.490 3. Big 12, 374-442, 0.459 4. ACC, 348-502, 0.409
  3. Huckleberry
    Boise State has won their games but the Mountain West is worse than the Sun Belt. For discussion's sake here are my conference rankings this season. Reminder since I haven't run them in a couple of seasons, my conference ratings use my ratings and are just a ranking of expected winning percentage for each conference if FBS football played a complete round robin. 1. SEC, 1468-420, 0.778 2. Big Ten, 1391-697, 0.666 3. Big 12, 1227-661, 0.650 4. ACC, 1243-746, 0.625 5. Independent, 194-199, 0.494 6. Pac-12, 106-158, 0.400 7. Sun Belt, 637-1043, 0.379 8. MWC, 513-951, 0.350 9. American, 571-1109, 0.340 10. MAC, 396-1068, 0.270 11. C-USA, 274-966, 0.221
  4. Huckleberry
    Boise State will get hammered by 20+ by the #5 team. Unless it's Notre Dame. Then only 14.
  5. Huckleberry
    I don't think there's any way 2-loss Penn State stays ahead of 2-loss Ohio State
  6. Huckleberry
    I think they would drop Georgia behind Tennessee in that case. To my knowledge the committee hasn't said CCG game losers can't be "punished," that has been other people.
  7. Huckleberry
    I see that Lanning is now getting the surly one great season overhype. Maybe it's just a green and yellow thing, turns out previous winners Matt Rhule and Dave Aranda aren't actually coaching savants.
  8. Huckleberry
    Out of all the QBs in Texas, he's one of them.
  9. Huckleberry
    He is among the top QBs in Texas. The top 100 QBs.
  10. Huckleberry
    "He also has combine style measurements..." I, too, have a height, weight, wingspan, and 40 yard dash time.
  11. Huckleberry
    There's an easy and obvious reason. The entire point is to reward conference champions. And since the major conferences haven't split off, that's what happens. I hope they never split off but think they will in time. And I have no issue with ensuring that conference titles continue to mean something, and using the format to reinforce that is fine with me. Texas fans were trained by Mack Brown to think conference championships don't matter a lot. But they do. And they should.
  12. Huckleberry
  13. Huckleberry
    Correct, it's really just Ohio and Louisiana. The Lafayette campus is of course trying to rebrand as The University of Louisiana but that's very recent. Ohio is really the only long term example. Temple and Pitt (I'll still call them that if I want) are the other two main public schools in Pennsylvania so there's not really a U of State versus State U dynamic there.
  14. Huckleberry
    Man that was a Davis Warren level INT throw there by Winston.
  15. Huckleberry
    What do you mean? She can't even afford enough fabric to conceal her daughter's underwear for a Christmas photo.
  16. Huckleberry
    So I went ahead and ran my ratings so I could make my own 2-loss schedule rating. Basically measuring how good a team would have to be to have 2 expected losses against their schedule. Listed for the ESPN projected CFP top 25 this week. 1. Oregon - 0.880 (54) 2. Texas - 0.902 (34) 3. Penn St. - 0.893 (44) 4. Notre Dame - 0.877 (58) 5. Georgia - 0.938 (7) 6. Ohio St. - 0.907 (28) 7. Tennessee - 0.896 (39) 8. SMU - 0.868 (65) 9. Indiana - 0.860 (67) 10. Boise St. - 0.793 (90) 11. Miami (FL) - 0.871 (63) 12. Alabama - 0.923 (15) 13. Mississippi - 0.904 (31) 14. South Carolina - 0.924 (13) 15. Arizona St. - 0.879 (56) 16. Iowa St. - 0.880 (55) 17. Clemson - 0.891 (47) 18. BYU - 0.884 (53) 19. Missouri - 0.903 (32) 20. UNLV - 0.785 (96) 21. Colorado - 0.873 (62) 22. Illinois - 0.895 (40) 23. Syracuse - 0.876 (59) 24. Memphis - 0.730 (115) 25. Texas A&M - 0.930 (11)
  17. Huckleberry
    There is literally not a single objective rating set that exists which has Illinois better than every Big 12 team. It's an absurd thing to say.
  18. Huckleberry
    This is actually more ridiculous than saying Iowa State has a better résumé than Indiana.
  19. Huckleberry
    The problem is you are equating top team strength with overall conference quality. It's probably because you are doing the same thing the media does and completely undervaluing the difficulty of beating a slate of competent teams compared to beating one or two great teams and a bunch of scrubs. Ask Alabama, Ole Miss, Tennessee, Ohio State, etc. about having to play all those teams in the #25-#50 range. It's not easy to beat them all without slipping up. A schedule with one great team and a bunch of scrubs is incredibly easier to manage than a schedule with no great team but 10 good ones. Oregon, Penn State, and Indiana all had just as easy or easier schedules to go 10-2 against than Iowa State did. And that's why.
  20. Huckleberry
    Except the Big Ten has more than 4 teams.
  21. Huckleberry
    That's if they call "personal foul with targeting" instead of "personal foul, targeting." In the first case it's a personal foul even if it's not targeting (like a late hit or roughing the passer for example). In the second case it's only a personal foul if it's targeting.
  22. Huckleberry
    Agreed, plus you're saying that the winner should get a benefit but the loser should suffer no consequence. That's silly and is exactly why I think I've only heard conference commissioners and their media lackeys make this argument. Yes losing a CCG against a highly ranked opponent shouldn't hurt you very much but that's the same with any matchup of top teams.
  23. Huckleberry
    He's referring to the quarters and semis where I think the highest seed picks location (top seed picks first and so on) but TV picks day and time.
  24. Huckleberry
    The receiver's head snapped to the side, it was clearly forcible contact. I think it still isn't targeting though because there's not an indicator. Technically you could argue that Mukuba led with his head because that's what made first contact but he was clearly trying to lead with his shoulder. Again, that's why I say it was a close call, it was absolutely in the gray area of the rule.
  25. Huckleberry
    But #12 will be one of the B12 winner, Clemson, UNLV, or Boise State if they struggle in a win over UNLV.

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