Huckleberry

Some more data after finding stuff on the GA site (I think this is all registered voters, not active, based on the column headers): 2016 - Black turnout 1,151,949/2,048,904 = 56.22%; White turnout 2,529,810/3,727,549 = 67.87%; 11.65% white turnout advantage; 45.54% black-to-white ballot ratio 2020 - Black turnout 1,373,543/2,290,365 = 59.97%; White turnout 2,924,829/4,029,156 = 72.59%; 12.62% white turnout advantage; 46.96% black-to-white ballot ratio So in Presidential elections the current ratio is indeed a bit lower (huge caveat: this year's info is early voting only while the above past years are total voting including election day) but not nearly as drastic as sushihorn is making it seem. In fact the white turnout advantage went up from 2016 to 2020 when Georgia went from going for Trump to going for Biden. And you can also see that the white turnout advantage went up while their share of the electorate went down due specifically to what we talked about above. Their share of registered/active voters is going down.

Yeah I wish the Georgia site had better historical data. Based on your numbers above, the entire difference in turnout by race compared to previous elections is a decrease in active white voters. This matches with the Georgia site data from 2022 compared to 2024. 2022 - There were 44.05% as many black ballots as white ballots (2,358,582 white ballots, 1,038,873 black ballots) 2024 - There are 45.34% as many black ballots as white ballots (2,251,895 white ballots, 1,021,030 black ballots) Despite the fact that white turnout is up as reported by Georgia, their share of the electorate is down so far.

Do you have the early voting turnout by race for the 2016 election? If not then all of this is meaningless.

I was thinking that if Harris wins and I go to Chili's then I was going to take down an El Niño margarita or three. But then I realized I won't be able to pass up the opportunity to order a different kind and emphasize when I order a "LA Presidente margarita" even if the official name of the drink lacks the gender article.

No but the one after the game was stunned silent when I just said "cool, so am I" and kept walking.

You sure you can't swing by Cypress?

My Michigan anecdote for this election is that when I was in Ann Arbor both before the game and after the game Michigan frat bros (different one each time) yelled at me that Trump sucks and Michigan is for Harris. I realize that's just because my clothes indicated I'm from Texas but if frat bros are willing to yell that then this thing is in the bag for Harris. Ha.

Oh, it seems clear now. Who could have seen this before?

Have to believe they'll avoid conference matchups in the first round if it's easy. Switch Alabama with either Notre Dame or Boise State and you do that with this ranking set.

I'm assuming @SydneyCarton will come join me at the Cypress Chili's to celebrate on Wednesday if things go well.

That one was actually the correct call. It increases the admittedly small probability of winning.

2nd and 1 near the end zone throw a 1 yard route when saving time is what matters. Again, morons.

Tolbert slows down for no reason mid-route. Ball actually was perfect if he hadn't slowed down.

The first release of that map was bad data. They left out a main Trump PAC.

https://maps.app.goo.gl/At2qKL7vLVbLCvF97

Then play action deep shot on 1st and 10. Just a stupid team.

QB sneak on second and 1 down 11. Jesus Christ.

Shades are based on <3, 3-6, 6+

lulz No, this game is not the OU game. Your great example of how you can never tell is a game we won by double digits at their place. The better team wins this game at a ridiculously high rate.

Knee injury

Should have slid down at the 2 but I understand why he didn't.

Lol Dabo doesn't know math

Have to say, flooding the zone with women and women doctors talking about the horrific impacts of Dobbs and tagging it the Ted Cruz Abortion Ban is probably the best thing Allred could be doing right now.

To add to my previous post it will be annoying if a chunk of seniors finally turn on Trump just because of their personal financial interests (SS and Medicare) but I'll take it. I really appreciated the old Iowa guy quoted as saying that J6 was why he'll never vote for Trump and will actually vote for a Democrat to keep him out of office. At least that's a principled but not only self-interested reason.