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Huckleberry

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by Huckleberry

  1. But Des Moines is almost completely in.
  2. I don't believe Haliburton was ever President.
  3. That's pretty much it. I'm smart and stuff and can't stand this shit anymore.
  4. Harris County seems to have gotten more R which I did not expect and makes me sad. @Js1 never answered me about Colorado job openings.
  5. Because in terms of what should be the result everyone realizes that for a healthy society this should be a Harris blowout. Even the @Rex Kramer out front shoulda told ya. And because it's not many people are upset.
  6. It's like you've never been on a surly game thread.
  7. Looking like Harris shifted R.
  8. Well I don't know about "officially," Bob.
  9. I mean I can buy Arizona on a technical basis but not sure I've ever seen Nevada listed as a Sun Belt state. Seems like Sun Belt has always been "you got any states south of you?"
  10. Who are the sun belt swing states?
  11. Well shit guys. Harris County was 55.6-43.2 for Biden in early voting. It was 51.3-47.4 for Harris. I know a shift is expected in terms of early versus election day voting but bottom line is that is too much of a shift considering that early is 75% of total votes. Gonna have to say that Harris almost certainly went redder this year. Only slight positive is Allred was 53.0-44.8, but that ain't nearly enough. @Js1 you got any job openings for smart as fuck Longhorn assholes in Colorado?
  12. Winning but not by the required 60%
  13. This is actually a true story. I got outvoted on our family vacation this year and we ended up in Gulf Shores, AL. They all kept asking me why I was voting for Disneyland as a grown man over and over. I explained and they said "oh come on let's just go on a fun vacation." I said they don't understand but they will. In our family group messages right now my wife and two daughters now understand. I told them "yes I absolutely have a smug look on my face right now."
  14. You have a way with words, sir.
  15. Well I know which Disney park my dollars will go to in the future.
  16. Cruz trailing Trump by about 4 in large markets. Unfortunately that means he'll probably trail by 3 or so statewide and win by 2-3. Early hot take from me.
  17. Williamson County 2020 was 49.5-48.4 for Trump in early voting only. 49.8-48.5 this year given the likely drift back to early favoring R and election day favoring D would imply to me that Harris will end up winning Wilco by a hair more than Biden did. But yeah, if this is an indication then Texas stays red. Which you should have been expecting of course.
  18. What was the Dallas County early voting breakdown? Their site won't load for me. In 2020 it was 65.3-33.1 for Biden in early voting only.
  19. My exact initial reaction. But I think light shading is just showing reported votes. Did some urban Texas county report their early voting results?
  20. And if Georgia is going to be super tight it should be noted that the county Harris has improved by 3% in had 75-80% more 2020 voters than the county Trump is doing 3% better in.
  21. Oh wait. @BamaATL is reporting the difference in a candidate's percentage of the vote from 2020 to 2024. That is a very confusing way to do it, sir.
  22. Trump 66-33 in 2020 https://www.forsythco.com/Portals/0/DeptDoc/Voter/ElectionResults/2020_11_03/ElectionSummaryReportRPTOfficial_Complete.pdf?ver=2020-11-10-171546-330
  23. I'm confused, I show Hall County as Trump 71-28 last time https://www.hallcounty.org/DocumentCenter/View/10146
  24. Yeah I don't get that tweet either. As of 3pm Harris County is slightly ahead of 2020 election day's total. Same for Dallas and Tarrant. He is comparing 2024 at 3pm to 2020 final total election day numbers. I mean it seems like decent turnout to me. They've still got all 4 hours with all the after work voters to go if these updates were at 3pm. Again, we should expect the raw total numbers to be higher than 2020 because of COVID and a moderate voting population increase (about 7.5% in these counties) but they are on pace for higher numbers.
  25. I've always assumed Texas stays R this election, but as of 3:05pm Harris County was reporting more than 200,000 voters from today. In 2020 the total number of election day ballots in the presidential race was 200,898. Now of course that was COVID year so a higher percentage voted early but there seem to be plenty of election day voters. I don't think there will be enough but I don't understand where the turnout comment above is coming from.
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