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Huckleberry

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by Huckleberry

  1. Looking like Harris shifted R.
  2. Well I don't know about "officially," Bob.
  3. I mean I can buy Arizona on a technical basis but not sure I've ever seen Nevada listed as a Sun Belt state. Seems like Sun Belt has always been "you got any states south of you?"
  4. Who are the sun belt swing states?
  5. Well shit guys. Harris County was 55.6-43.2 for Biden in early voting. It was 51.3-47.4 for Harris. I know a shift is expected in terms of early versus election day voting but bottom line is that is too much of a shift considering that early is 75% of total votes. Gonna have to say that Harris almost certainly went redder this year. Only slight positive is Allred was 53.0-44.8, but that ain't nearly enough. @Js1 you got any job openings for smart as fuck Longhorn assholes in Colorado?
  6. Winning but not by the required 60%
  7. This is actually a true story. I got outvoted on our family vacation this year and we ended up in Gulf Shores, AL. They all kept asking me why I was voting for Disneyland as a grown man over and over. I explained and they said "oh come on let's just go on a fun vacation." I said they don't understand but they will. In our family group messages right now my wife and two daughters now understand. I told them "yes I absolutely have a smug look on my face right now."
  8. You have a way with words, sir.
  9. Well I know which Disney park my dollars will go to in the future.
  10. Cruz trailing Trump by about 4 in large markets. Unfortunately that means he'll probably trail by 3 or so statewide and win by 2-3. Early hot take from me.
  11. Williamson County 2020 was 49.5-48.4 for Trump in early voting only. 49.8-48.5 this year given the likely drift back to early favoring R and election day favoring D would imply to me that Harris will end up winning Wilco by a hair more than Biden did. But yeah, if this is an indication then Texas stays red. Which you should have been expecting of course.
  12. What was the Dallas County early voting breakdown? Their site won't load for me. In 2020 it was 65.3-33.1 for Biden in early voting only.
  13. My exact initial reaction. But I think light shading is just showing reported votes. Did some urban Texas county report their early voting results?
  14. And if Georgia is going to be super tight it should be noted that the county Harris has improved by 3% in had 75-80% more 2020 voters than the county Trump is doing 3% better in.
  15. Oh wait. @BamaATL is reporting the difference in a candidate's percentage of the vote from 2020 to 2024. That is a very confusing way to do it, sir.
  16. Trump 66-33 in 2020 https://www.forsythco.com/Portals/0/DeptDoc/Voter/ElectionResults/2020_11_03/ElectionSummaryReportRPTOfficial_Complete.pdf?ver=2020-11-10-171546-330
  17. I'm confused, I show Hall County as Trump 71-28 last time https://www.hallcounty.org/DocumentCenter/View/10146
  18. Yeah I don't get that tweet either. As of 3pm Harris County is slightly ahead of 2020 election day's total. Same for Dallas and Tarrant. He is comparing 2024 at 3pm to 2020 final total election day numbers. I mean it seems like decent turnout to me. They've still got all 4 hours with all the after work voters to go if these updates were at 3pm. Again, we should expect the raw total numbers to be higher than 2020 because of COVID and a moderate voting population increase (about 7.5% in these counties) but they are on pace for higher numbers.
  19. I've always assumed Texas stays R this election, but as of 3:05pm Harris County was reporting more than 200,000 voters from today. In 2020 the total number of election day ballots in the presidential race was 200,898. Now of course that was COVID year so a higher percentage voted early but there seem to be plenty of election day voters. I don't think there will be enough but I don't understand where the turnout comment above is coming from.
  20. No I mean that there was no way everything went smoothly for a quick count. More important to get it right so fully support counting those over.
  21. We should DoorDash Chili's to that line.
  22. I read it but the key is that I also understood it. I explained why self-descriptions of moderate, liberal, etc. are worthless using you as an example but I can't understand it for you. And yet again, two references to policy areas where Republicans have gone hard right but zero ability to come up with areas where Democrats have gone far left. You're doing a tremendous job of proving everyone else right.
  23. Democrats have spent the last two decades enacting policies that were created by Republicans. The Democratic Party has actually moved right but you don't realize it because Republicans have lurched way way more right and you don't have any actual principles other than feeling comfy in the middle. So you've moved right, too, and now Democrats feel further away from you because don't realize what's happened.
  24. Your retort to my comment that points out your feelings are silly and have no merit is to cite two sources that talk about feelings and not actual facts or policies. If you were a serious person you'd start to ask yourself why your position is based only on feelings and not real world policies and consequences.
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