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Huckleberry

Certifiably Surly
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Posts posted by Huckleberry

  1. 1 hour ago, Bobby_Batronic said:

    I was unaware that it was a single source failure, that Boeing offered dual AOA inputs and an error annunciation, but didn’t make it standard, that the two airlines in question bought the single source option, and that the stab cutout memory item had been removed from many memory items list. 

     

    The bus has 3 AOA vanes. Loss of one is listed as “crew awareness”. Loss of two and uncommanded AOA protection activation required turning off two Air Data Computers to get the plane into Alternate Law so that the AOA protection can be overcome. But this is what is known as an Ops Bulletin, and it’s common knowledge what to do if that situation occurs. As the stab cutout switches should have been common m kwowledge in the Max’s. 

    Dude, I understand where you're coming from but you are still looking at it only through the lens of being a pilot.

    As an engineer you should not have to face that situation as frequently as it's faced. In a car we all know what to do if our brakes go out, but that better be a pretty fucking rare event with standard maintenance upkeep. I don't blame the driver if they crash a car when the brakes go out, even if perfect driving would have avoided the crash.

  2. 25 minutes ago, Machinator said:

    We are doing a tournament next year. Shriners College Classic.

     

    Yeah, we've done that one plenty. I was more referring to running a so-called tournament with multiple teams at home instead of double game mid-week setups. I guess it doesn't make that much sense though, as you could always just schedule a non-con 4-game weekend series at home against the same level of team.

  3. 10 minutes ago, WBT said:

    Then how is he going to get the maximum allowable games in?

     

    7 minutes ago, Pato del Muerto said:

    More non con 4 game weekend series?

    Yeah, not really well educated on baseball scheduling, but why don't we have "tournaments" like the softball team does? I see those kind of things on other baseball teams' schedules.

    We could do something invite Dallas Baptist, Sam Houston State, and one of our other campuses (UT-RGV, UTA, UTSA) to Austin for a weekend. Play each team once, two home games and two away games for everyone. Everyone gets 4 games. That's 10 total games in four days, no problem. 2 games Thursday, 2 games Friday, 3 games Saturday and Sunday. One team would play two on Saturday and another team would play two on Sunday.

  4. Day 1 Preview (congrats to Bartles and Jack Straw on being guaranteed not to go pointless on the first day as they each have a game against themselves)

    Listed in scheduled tip-off time order:

    Team (Current Team Points, Team EV, Poster - Win Probability)

    #10 Minnesota (0, 7.15, Huckleberry - 36.30%) vs. #7 Louisville (0, 12.93, BigOrange1 - 63.70%)
    #14 Yale (0, 4.11, BigOrange1 - 17.41%) vs. #3 LSU (0, 7.88, Jack Straw - 82.59%)
    #12 New Mexico St. (0, 6.44, Goo Punch - 26.41%) vs. #5 Auburn (0, 14.84, Huckleberry - 73.59%)
    #13 Vermont (0, 3.78, Bartles - 17.11%) vs. #4 Florida St. (0, 11.57, Bartles - 82.89%)
    #15 Bradley (0, 1.19, BigOrange1 - 5.74%) vs. #2 Michigan St. (0, 11.73, HornOnTheBayou - 94.26%)
    #11 Belmont (0, 5.88, IPoopOnWhoop - 28.78%) vs. #6 Maryland (0, 13.20, Huckleberry - 71.22%)
    #13 Northeastern (0, 3.61, Capn81 - 17.95%) vs. #4 Kansas (0, 10.74, HornOnTheBayou - 82.05%)
    #12 Murray St. (0, 7.22, IPoopOnWhoop - 31.82%) vs. #5 Marquette (0, 9.81, Jack Straw - 68.18%)
    #10 Florida (0, 11.80, Huckleberry - 47.60%) vs. #7 Nevada (0, 10.03, Jack Straw - 52.40%)
    #15 Abilene Christian (0, 1.21, Huckleberry - 6.17%) vs. #2 Kentucky (0, 10.00, HornOnTheBayou - 93.83%)
    #11 St. Mary's (0, 10.92, Goo Punch - 43.70%) vs. #6 Villanova (0, 8.76, BigOrange1 - 56.30%)
    #16 Fairleigh Dickinson (0, 0.55, Goo Punch - 2.63%) vs. #1 Gonzaga (0, 7.99, IPoopOnWhoop - 97.37%)
    #15 Montana (0, 2.00, Jack Straw - 9.30%) vs. #2 Michigan (0, 9.58, Bartles - 90.70%)
    #10 Seton Hall (0, 8.81, BigOrange1 - 43.95%) vs. #7 Wofford (0, 9.15, HornOnTheBayou - 56.05%)
    #14 Old Dominion (0, 2.28, Jack Straw - 10.48%) vs. #3 Purdue (0, 12.61, Jack Straw - 89.52%)
    #9 Baylor (0, 7.74, IPoopOnWhoop - 46.16%) vs. #8 Syracuse (0, 8.83, BigOrange1 - 53.84%)
    • Like 1
  5. Angle of Attack sensor was giving inaccurate readings to the computer (or the computer was interpreting it incorrectly, I haven't seen that explained in detail yet). That's why I said earlier that this is a pretty fundamental feature of aviation automation that should have a near-zero error rate. But the pilots here have reported facing the issue multiple times in their careers and call that pretty standard across the pilot population.

    As critical as the angle of attack is to flying, it's frightening to me as a passenger and unacceptable to me as an engineer for this failure to be so common.

    • Like 1
  6. Like I said previously, I absolutely respect the pride in their work that the pilots on this thread are displaying. I'm glad that most pilots feel that way and it's absolutely reassuring as an airline passenger.

    However, that does not excuse the terrible engineering and management decisions and performance that appear to have contributed to these disasters. I hope every single professional pilot in the world considers this 100% the pilots' fault. Just like I hope every single aeronautics and avionics engineer considers it a 100% engineering failure.

    • Like 5
  7. Thanks for all the assistance guys. I will make sure to take the written communication advice.

    Regarding some of the questions above, my sole concern in this right now is making sure the debt does not stay associated with my daughter. I'm perfectly willing to be an asshole and fight as long as necessary but she was stressed as hell when she checked the mail and read the letter. Of course it didn't help that the stupid hospital accounts department had sent her a bill for $27,000 for something recently (we actually owe nothing on the procedure as it had been pre-approved with insurance, everything was settled up front, etc.) which nearly caused a genuine panic attack before we were able to convince her not to worry about it. She was crying already and was about to lose it.

    On the bright side, my oldest has learned that adulting is hard.

    The amount in question is roughly $1,500. For a similar ride length (<5 miles) and services provided (they gave her smelling salts as she was getting in the ambulance, other than that they were a chauffer) I shopped around and found that $1,200 was a reasonable rate. That's also roughly how much my insurance covered. I will be following up with them to see if they had a contract with the ambulance company. Thanks again.

  8. Simple question, I hope. I am arguing with an ambulance company that their fees are exorbitant. Basically they sent a bill for 2-1/2 times the going rate (I compared pricing to similar services from other ambulance companies and the city). My insurance covered a reasonable portion of that cost, roughly the same amount I found the market rate to be, so they sent me a bill for the rest. I told them to stick it, essentially. They called again and I told them I'd settle for a percentage of the cost. They refused.

    A month later a collections agency called. They said "we are not authorized to settle for less than the full amount" which obviously is bullshit because they had simply purchased the debt for pennies on the dollar. I also told them to stick it. None of this worries me because my credit is fine and if they want to report it then I don't give a shit.

    However, the collections agency just mailed a statement to my daughter for the balance. My daughter was a minor at the time of service but has since turned 18, so I assume that's where they got the name and why they transferred it to her. So the question is this: Is it legal for them to be harassing her for a debt for which she is not responsible? I am going to coach her this evening on what to say when she calls them and want to make sure I get it right. I assume all she has to say is that she was a minor at the time of service and that she is not in any way responsible for the debt. And then when the person on the phone pesters her for information on her parents I figure that's when I'll tell her to tell them to stick it. And/or to repeat that she is not responsible for the debt and that's all she has to tell them.

    Somebody in law tell me where I'm wrong. Does she assume that debt when she turns 18?

  9. I still can't support the State executing people. The proven frequency with which trials are fucked up in favor of the prosecution makes it way too likely people who aren't guilty will be executed.

    That being said, if I were on a jury where people who knew Byrd had killed these three guys in broad daylight on Main Street I'd certainly find a way to vote not guilty. But revenge by an aggrieved citizen (within the "he needed killin' and my client was the one to do it" paradigm) is an entirely different story than the State killing a citizen.

    • Like 5
  10. 14 hours ago, ajax said:

    Brie Larson making a play for Tessa Thompson. Oh Brie - Tessa is way too hot for your plain ass. But it'll be funny to see the MCU go full on lesbo.

    Tessa Thompson isn't too hot for anyone. She did do a much better job in her MCU role than Larson, sure, but let's not get crazy. And that's despite the fact Ragnarok wasn't that good.

    • Like 1
  11. 15 minutes ago, TwiceHorn said:

    As noted in the article, two issues here.  One, it's a bad look and two a possible bail conditions violation.  So now everybody's "haha, stupid bitch, throw her in jail for violating her bail."

    But hold up.  Bail and pretrial detention serve the primary purpose of securing a defendant's appearance at trial.  The second purpose may be to detain someone thought to be a danger to society.  There cannot and should not be any element of punishment in bail/detention decisions, unless a failed attempt to flee the jurisdiction is proven (and that is really an entirely separate crime).

    Remember, in our system, the defendant is innocent until proven guilty and a defendant under bail or in pretrial detention is, emphatically, innocent.

    So, to me, it is really problematic to detain her pending trial for this.  Now, is some punishment in order for ignoring court orders?  Probably yes, but also probably far short of detention, or detention for more than a few days or weeks.  A fine or a GPS monitor or a curfew or something is probably more appropriate.

    Now, before someone jumps my shit for defending Amber Guyger, this is a general statement of how I think things should play out for defendants pre-trial, not a commentary on the actions of Amber Guyger.

    Our criminal justice system is FUBAR.  In our gusto for seeing justice (more accurately retribution and punishment, justice aint got shit to do with it) for certain defendants, we entirely lose sight of the fact that for every shithead defendant that deserves "justice," there are a hundred thousand other defendants being ground to dust in our system.

     

     

    On the one hand I completely agree with that take, on the other what she specifically did demonstrates a willingness and ability to ignore her bail conditions and leave the country. I'm fine with no jail time for it but I think the judge needs to personally observe her surrendering her passport.

    However, on a a re-read of that piece it looks like it's possible the cruise was before she was indicted. If that's the case then all it really should be is an extremely damning piece of evidence at trial regarding her callous disregard for Jean's life.

    • Like 2
  12. In the long run it won't be much and they'll stay in the mid-3000s. I think a lot of it has to do with Bridgeland having a pretty large percentage of their well-to-do supportive parents who give money and finely trained athletes to the program, though.

    Forgot to mention that Bridgeland High is also taking the Fairfield area into its school attendance boundaries.

  13. 2 hours ago, Liquor and Poker said:

    Every ten years this case gets “solved” again.  Always a different guy.  One time it was the king’s son or some such.  One time it was a prominent surgeon. Once it was a powerful MP.  Now it’s Sweeney Todd.  

    It’s a “notice me”/bookselling scam like Roswell and “who built the pyramids?”

    At this point I’m going to write a book detailing how a cult made up of the king’s son, a prominent MP, a surgeon, an artist, and a barber did the murders together then drew the Nazca lines while hiding the Ark of the Covenant. 

    Would sell 50,000 copies, minimum, if written well.

  14. Huckleberry - 79.22
    HornOnTheBayou - 73.77
    Goo Punch - 61.14
    Jack Straw - 59.44
    BigOrange1 - 59.11
    Bartles - 56.58
    IPoopOnWhoop - 51.89
    Capn81 - 46.46

     

    1. Auburn, 13.99 - Huckleberry
    2. Michigan St., 13.29 - HornOnTheBayou
    3. Maryland, 12.95 - Huckleberry
    4. Iowa St., 12.72 - Bartles
    5. Florida, 12.59 - Huckleberry
    6. Ohio St., 12.45 - Huckleberry
    7. Virginia Tech, 12.38 - HornOnTheBayou
    8. Purdue, 12.34 - Jack Straw
    9. Texas Tech, 12.29 - Capn81
    10. Louisville, 12.20 - BigOrange1
    11. Wisconsin, 12.07 - HornOnTheBayou
    12. Florida St., 11.80 - Bartles
    13. Iowa, 11.08 - Huckleberry
    14. Kansas, 10.96 - HornOnTheBayou
    15. St. Mary's, 10.87 - Goo Punch
    16. Tennessee, 10.87 - Capn81
    17. Mississippi St., 10.84 - Goo Punch
    18. Oregon, 10.73 - Goo Punch
    19. Buffalo, 10.69 - IPoopOnWhoop
    20. Nevada, 10.49 - Jack Straw
    21. Kentucky, 10.10 - HornOnTheBayou
    22. Marquette, 9.66 - Jack Straw
    23. Houston, 9.56 - Jack Straw
    24. Wofford, 9.35 - HornOnTheBayou
    25. Oklahoma, 9.26 - BigOrange1
    26. Syracuse, 8.86 - BigOrange1
    27. Seton Hall, 8.53 - BigOrange1
    28. Duke, 8.52 - Capn81
    29. Michigan, 8.50 - Bartles
    30. Virginia, 8.46 - Huckleberry
    31. Villanova, 8.39 - BigOrange1
    32. Gonzaga, 8.05 - IPoopOnWhoop
    33. Kansas St., 7.95 - Bartles
    34. LSU, 7.81 - Jack Straw
    35. Baylor, 7.67 - IPoopOnWhoop
    36. Arizona St./St. John's, 7.66 - Capn81
    37. Utah St., 7.61 - Goo Punch
    38. North Carolina, 7.39 - Bartles
    39. Cincinnati, 7.36 - Goo Punch
    40. Central Florida, 7.25 - BigOrange1
    41. Murray St., 7.18 - IPoopOnWhoop
    42. Washington, 6.95 - IPoopOnWhoop
    43. New Mexico St., 6.83 - Goo Punch
    44. Minnesota, 6.50 - Huckleberry
    45. Virginia Commonwealth, 6.46 - Goo Punch
    46. Mississippi, 6.01 - IPoopOnWhoop
    47. Belmont/Temple, 5.10 - IPoopOnWhoop
    48. UC-Irvine, 4.95 - Jack Straw
    49. Yale, 3.70 - BigOrange1
    50. Vermont, 3.62 - Bartles
    51. Saint Louis, 3.51 - Bartles
    52. Northeastern, 3.50 - Capn81
    53. Liberty, 3.09 - Capn81
    54. Northern Kentucky, 2.99 - HornOnTheBayou
    55. Georgia St., 2.63 - HornOnTheBayou
    56. Old Dominion, 2.34 - Jack Straw
    57. Montana, 2.28 - Jack Straw
    58. Abilene Christian, 1.19 - Huckleberry
    59. Colgate, 1.09 - Bartles
    60. Bradley, 0.92 - BigOrange1
    61. Fairleigh Dickinson/Prairie View A&M, 0.43 - Goo Punch
    62. Iona, 0.28 - Capn81
    63. North Carolina Central/North Dakota St., 0.24 - Capn81
    64. Gardner-Webb, 0.24 - IPoopOnWhoop
  15. 2 minutes ago, IPoopOnWhoop said:

    How many points typically wins this thing?

    Over 100

    1 minute ago, Goo Punch said:

    which teams are left?

    The two 16 seed play-in games.

    Fairleigh Dickinson/Prairie View A&M
    North Carolina Central/North Dakota St.
  16. Expected value, meaning that according to my ratings if the tournament were played a near infinite number of times that would be the average number of points the contest selections would score. Based on the EVs for each individual team in the tournament.

    But the tournament is only played once so things swing pretty wildly once we get going.

  17. By the way, this is what the EVs per team would be by first round pick position if the draft had gone chalk according to my ratings. This reinforces that draft order is basically irrelevant in this game.

    1 - 60.58
    2 - 60.08
    3 - 60.53
    4 - 60.85
    5 - 61.13
    6 - 61.01
    7 - 61.14
    8 - 62.28
    • Like 1
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