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Huckleberry

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by Huckleberry

  1. Nobody wished harm on them that I recall. They said they wouldn't feel bad when it happened. That's a significant difference. Also, you are incorrect that a reasonable assessment based only on Arab relations would result in a vote for Trump. That's an absurd thing to say, really. Your argument makes more sense when you stick to ascribing their decision to emotion (they've seen people die) than reason. Because reason doesn't explain it, not even close.
  2. Disclaimers: This chart assumes each county early votes with the same split as 2020 which basis in lots of other questionable assumptions. It also uses compressed 2020 early voting into a 12 day schedule. It's intended to give a general view on early voting motivation. Bottom line is a slightly more R electorate than 2020's early voting start based on geography.
  3. It did but I'm talking about combined they did it, not each of them doing it individually. Obviously 2020 was WAY ahead at this point if you include mail ballots. But in person was higher yesterday even as a percentage of registered voters.
  4. Based on day one we should expect about 6,175,000 early in-person voters from the top 15 counties, or 50.4% of registered voters there. 2016 was 4.19M at 42.9%, 2020 was 5.95M at 53.5% (but with an extra week).
  5. Remember that 2020 day one looks higher because I compressed the 3 weeks of early voting into the 2 week graph.
  6. Better. I get to look down on low IQ asshole renters who vote differently than I do.
  7. With Tarrant County posting their numbers on their site I'm only missing Galveston County. But even without them, the 15 counties have now posted the highest percentage of RVs to vote in-person on day one of early voting ever. I've got Galveston in the denominator already so that percentage will only go up once they report. 4.6% of registered voters in the 15 voted in-person yesterday. Previous high was 4.5% on day one in 2020. 2016 was 4.0% which may be more directly comparable without any COVID impact to weed out.
  8. Hey! I don't rent!
  9. Harris was posted as 125,472 on the county site last night. Seems like they sent a file to the state that only had 100,000 listed. Almost certainly a clerical error.
  10. I have already heard from a neighbor who voted against the "massive" flood control tax increase. It would cost him around $150 a year. His house also flooded twice like mine (2016 Tax Day and 2017 Harvey). His house has also not flooded since the Flood Control District improvements even though we've had 3 major rain events in the last year. If the measure fails and he floods he will 100% blame the FCD. While he pays $900 per month for his jacked up truck so he can drive on paved roads from his suburban house to his suburban desk job. Humans are stupid.
  11. With Tarrant and Galveston Counties still to report, the top 15* counties have already reported the largest number of first day early in- person votes ever. * - top 15 by number of RVs except I'm still using Cameron instead of Bell (Bell passed Cameron in RVs in 2022) because they're still so close in numbers and that way it's an apples to apples behavioral comparison.
  12. Wrong thread
  13. Got a link where can we find this information for other polling locations? https://votetravis.gov/current-election-information/current-election/ G24 Daily Totals 10212024.pdf
  14. Sounds like three people need to send them reports that the machine changed their votes from Harris to Trump. I'm sure they'll blast that out publicly just as quickly.
  15. Sunday is easily the lightest day even considering the compressed hours. 58% as many hours and anywhere from 35-45% as many voters. Get there right at noon on Sunday and that's probably your best bet for the shortest lines.
  16. The old top 15 counties Texas early voting tracker chart is back! For those who don't think voting habits can be predicted take a look at that baby. We can pretty much guess within a decent range how many people will early vote in-person once today's totals are posted because it's going to follow the same pattern. 2020 says "Compressed" because I matched it to the standard number of early voting days that we had every other year. The only deviation in the patterns is that Halloween being right in the middle of the week on a Wednesday in 2018 apparently mattered.
  17. Harris County isn't red but it's been noted that COVID changed everything. Historically Democrats have had a higher percentage of election day votes and it could just mean things are trending back to "normal."
  18. It was 128k on the first day in 2020.
  19. Right, maybe they'll let you represent for both of you in the line and let her sit until you're at the front. That doesn't harm anyone.
  20. As mentioned, about 35 minutes total in Cypress this afternoon. Only shenanigan was a woman with a Trump hat on but I didn't see the result as she joined the line shortly before I progressed into the building. Shortly after I got inside an election worker told a colleague "I'm going to check the line to see if anyone is wearing anything they shouldn't be." So I'm assuming someone rightfully snitched.
  21. 35 minutes from arrival to exit. Mark one more complete anti-shitheads ballot.
  22. My early voting location in Cypress is packed. So not a great sign because my expert guess based on the group I'm looking at is another 62/38 type split for Republicans. Then again if I was someone else looking at me I'd count me in the Republican voting group, but that's counting on exceptions.
  23. Once the publicity about how he brings losses hit critical mass he has quite obviously changed strategies. He still goes to every big game but will only post about it publicly once somebody wins. He was definitely seen at both of the Astros losses to Cleveland but didn't post anything. I would completely believe he was at the Georgia game but kept it quiet, but I haven't seen anything convincing on that one yet.
  24. But if you think about it that's the first thing they've done in months that makes it look like they're trying to win.
  25. So Lone Star College screwed up their ballot submittal to Harris County and there will be a race on my ballot that I shouldn't have. Gonna leave that blank. I have a pretty short ballot and have finished researching the few down ballot races so headed to vote this afternoon.
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