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Huckleberry

Certifiably Surly
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Posts posted by Huckleberry

  1. Just now, NowThis said:

    25% reporting but 6.1 million votes. Explain that math. 

    As mentioned elsewhere, it's because all the reporting services are treating early voting results as a single precinct in each county. It's absurd. If 6.1 million votes are in then you're looking at 85% or so of the votes counted.

  2. Just now, horncyclist said:

    This isn't over yet. Cruz's lead is about 75K votes. Election day vote in Travis county alone makes that up. 

    Travis County election day votes should be O'Rourke by about 50-55K.

  3. Just now, Longhornmaniac8 said:

    I think Beto is running out of steam. I don't think the 16% reporting in Harris County is indicative of the outstanding vote. Vote totals look WAY too high to just be 1/6 of total vote in that county.

    Yes, for some reason the various sites report early voting totals as a precinct and the percentage you then see is the percents of "precincts" that have reported.

    Even though early voting will be somewhere around 70%+ of total votes.

  4. The 538 live odds seem to fluctuate a bit. Looking good for Republicans, but I went back to their main election page and it said 53% chance for Democrats to control the House, then reloaded to make sure I had the latest data and it said Democrats had a 61% chance to control the house.

  5. Williamson County early voting results:

    image.png

    That's a big lead in non straight ticket voters for O'Rourke. O'Rourke got 39,814 votes from non Democrat straight ticket voters, Cruz got 25,661 from non GOP straight ticket voters.

    Of course suburbia was supposed to be good for O'Rourke relative to previous Texas elections.

  6. Just helped a woman in Santa Fe who couldn't operate the voting machines and spoke only Spanish at a precinct that didn't have any Spanish-speaking poll workers.  So she's going to vote, and she wouldn't have been able to otherwise.
    Feels good, man--feels good.
    Every polling place should have a worker with Google translate on their phone.
  7. 1 minute ago, 'stache said:

    When Georgia's voter suppression is proven they should be kicked out of the fucking union.  Cut them off with Florida and let them sink into the ocean.

    I've got some oceanfront property in Chatt...a...noo...ga
    From my front porch you can seeeeeeeeeee the sea

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