So, this and other posts of yours have painted that this was done because the TWolves were really good at offense and mediocre to below average at defense and adding an excellent defensive 5 should improve the latter while not impacting the former. I'm unsure it's going to work out the way you see it, because its pretty simplistic. And I agree with you, you can get those picks back, namely when you're forced to trade Ant because he's demanded a trade. I hope not, because the NBA needs more small market success stories, not less, and that's the dude there. I think we were waiting for KAT to emerge as the guy, but I don't see it happening. He's a 2nd guy. Ant needs to be that alpha dawg to get them where they want to be. I really want to see his development.....
This is a good post. Why did the TWolves average the most points last year? Not because they were insanely efficient, but because they pushed the pace higher than everyone else. In short, they were top 5 in FGA and #1 in 3PA, but only 12th in eFG%. Utah on the other hand, 10th in OPPG but 22nd in pace. 2020-21, when they were at their best, 3rd in the league in OPPG, 18th in pace. Utah still had a pretty decent offense, they simply were efficient.
In short, Utah's key was a good defense at a middling to low pace which used a lane feeder design and they were efficient on offense, specifically shooting 6th in the league in 2020-21.
That's not how Minny plays. Are they going to get more efficient on offense shooting the ball? Probably a little when you play big but your pace will plummet. And will KAT continue to bomb away from 3 as much? Probably because he'll be forced outside, but is that a good thing defensively? Again, Utah played a feeder style defensive system, trying their best to switch enough in spots to keep Gobert in the lane or near enough to protect that rim and come over and contest. Utah actually played a small ball lineup with Bogs at 4. He's a natural 3 and nobody is going to confuse him as a traditional post player. How is Minnesota going to design their defense? Can KAT keep up with small ball lineups he'll be asked to play on the perimeter? It'll be interesting to see.
Frankly, because of spacing, I don't necessarily see this working unless you had a great PG and floor general..... you do not. TWolves were a pretty decent team last year. They were expected to win 48 games last year. Now, they'll have to re-engineer both their defense and offensive systems. Will this lead to more wins? Again, possibly. Could I see a 50 win season? Yes, that's possible, but in the playoffs, when the scheming goes up and they pull Rudy out on the perimeter and have KAT iso at the top of key, will that work defensively? Or will you have to do what Utah was forced to do in certain spots and bench Gobert? I like Rudy more than most around here, but the fit is odd and strategically, the TWolves don't get the benefit of the doubt..... they don't deserve to. They'll have to put up and show out.....