Shots maybe.
Yes, there is a lot of uncertainty.... But what is certain is this team was going nowhere as currently constructed. Upside is a play in game win and then a gentlemen's first round sweep to the 1 seed. Yea. Maybe next year we win win 2 in the first round. There wasn't a real great likelihood of real success the next two year or on any team whereby Murray is your best player. And then are you going to max him out next summer or the summer after? You want to pay Murray about 30% of your cap space? Again, the only real hope for a major jump would have been for one of these non-top 5 picks to become a Kawhi, which we've shown is clearly the outlier. So from and odds perspective, we took the sell high and try our chances by playing young, playing hard, and ultimately learning to win by having to lose.
Nothing is certain in sports, but we took a step last year by clearing out the olds. We took another by selling a guy at the height of his trade value for future assets because his contract wasn't going to be productive for our timeline. It's short-term pain (I hate losing Murray) for potential long-term gains, but yes, every draft pick we make could suck or die. Every free agent could laugh at us and Pop could die with the most losses in NBA history. These are all possibilities..... but the known was pretty shitty too.