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VolenteHawk

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Everything posted by VolenteHawk

  1. VolenteHawk
    Strictly "what would it be", the Astros being -190 implies 65% win probability, so the fair buyout number would be a shade less than your $50M estimate on $75M.
  2. VolenteHawk
    That's really more of a risk management question, and he didn't get all that down in the same place so it will vary by book. If a book could attract enough bets on other teams, they'd theoretically have the ability to offset Astros exposure but I have no idea how big the handle is for MLB futures overall...like how easy is it for the market to kill $75M in risk. As it relates to baseball, if the market as a whole couldn't offset Astros futures then -190 is probably a little bit inflated to attract Phillies money, which would imply some value on the Phillies. I don't know that that's true or not, but baseball is so random that you're almost obligated to take +175 or better. Similar to how Super Bowl odds get out of what. That attracts so much money, and it's heavily skewed to the point spread favorite and money line dog...pushing you to almost always like the price of the money line favorite.
  3. VolenteHawk
    I just grabbed a little Cleveland at +310 on the series price. Pretty much requires that they win today, but if they do I'll love that number.
  4. VolenteHawk
  5. VolenteHawk
    Good news, but truth be told I've been distracted by my college football team winning road games.
  6. VolenteHawk
    Red Sox -103
  7. VolenteHawk
    But it's SOOOOO much better than wins.
  8. VolenteHawk
    Phillies -120
  9. VolenteHawk
    Rangers +107
  10. VolenteHawk
    I just bought a used M2 a month ago, but it essentially took me a year and a half to find one in price/mileage/manual range.
  11. VolenteHawk
    Rockies -104 I'm a whopping 1-2 year to date. 😃
  12. VolenteHawk
    Hopefully you're not planning to live for very long.
  13. VolenteHawk
    At 275 it'll be almost 3 hours, at 300 it'll be closer to 2...both turn out great.
  14. VolenteHawk
    Ford makes a factory set for the F150...exact same size as the carpeted ones and the driver's side snaps in to the retention clips, so it doesn't slide around. They're pretty great.
  15. VolenteHawk
    I'll try not to go 2 months without a bet again. I should finally have some time to handicap most days moving forward.
  16. VolenteHawk
    Yankees +130
  17. VolenteHawk
    Does the 2nd monitor have HDMI? DVI or DP to that will work. USB-C is a superset of DisplayPort that does other stuff, so it's picky about conversion...but to HDMI is easy.
  18. VolenteHawk
    You don't have a remote work problem, you have a shitty employee problem.
  19. VolenteHawk
    Has anybody bitched about another concert venue named Moody yet? Trivial, but this conversation could be a thing... "To get to your hotel, take 183 to Ed Bluestein to Research Blvd." "Are those right exits?" "No exits, you just keep driving." "Cool where's the venue?" "Great little midsized joint called the Moody Theater. Not the Moody Center, so get the right one. It's also called ACL Live." "Oh, Austin City Limits, I've heard of that." "No, it's not that, that's outdoors on the other side of Town Lake. I mean Lady Bird Lake. Well, it is that if you're talking about the TV show."
  20. VolenteHawk
    I have lots of 1B eligibility, but I may need you to define "hitter".
  21. VolenteHawk
    Also what it sounds like to me, but for the record I'm an "all trades go through unless there is collusion" guy...so I'm admittedly strongly biased to not reversing. I'll ultimately abide by what the league decides, of course.
  22. VolenteHawk
    As I sort through the pile of suck that ESPN drafted me...all starting pitching is available for help basically anywhere else.
  23. VolenteHawk
    This thread is me talking to myself most years.
  24. VolenteHawk
    I usually grab them early (arguably too early), but ESPN had to draft for me. They didn’t even grab any at the end like you would kickers and defense. 😂
  25. VolenteHawk
    I should have auto drafted some relievers.

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