I post here, because the off topic boards are fantastic and I live in Austin. But I do try, even in the Big 12 thread, not to dwell too much on KU or get into prolonged conversations with Jhawk...which we could b/c we often disagree.
Anyway, I think Tech is the only legitimately good team in the league, but all of KU, Iowa State, K-State, and Texas are good enough to get out of the first weekend, then you never know. Bracket might collapse for you. Baylor doesn't do anything for me, they'd be the most surprising of the top 6 to make the Sweet 16 to me. Hell of a coaching job by Drew to drag that group to 10-8 and tournament lock status.
Edit: To break the KU-centric rule I just discussed...I actually really like KU's chances in the tournament even though I don't really like this team. If they can dodge a first round upset to get the jitters out, they could beat most anybody. They start 4 freshmen and have been dog shit on the road, but they're done with road games.