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Skipper

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  1. I would love to see what they do if Bama is completely non-competitive and the game is essentially over by the 2nd quarter. Would be interesting for sure.
  2. It's one thing we are definitely good at. Just ask Aaron Rodgers.
  3. Assuming we don't have a realistic path once rankings released tomorrow, I'm absolutely rooting for BYU, Bama, and Duke. Let's just have mass chaos and blow the current structure up.
  4. Slight movement within the playoff seeding should be obvious and expected. But as much as I have questions about Bama, I don't think they should get punished and pushed out for winning the SEC tiebreaker and playing an additional game while A&M and Ole Miss sit at home. I think that would set a terrible precedent and likely end the concept of Conference Championship Games (which I think is inevitable regardless). I can't imagine a scenario where the SEC gets 4 or 5 teams in but the team that finished 2nd in the league is left out. If we have an expanded playoff with 4 AQ, I hope this weekend turns into SEC #1 and #2 are auto admits and then #3 plays (at home) against #6 and #4 plays (at home) against #5 for the auto bids. Or have 4 play-in games (1-8, 2-7, 3-6, 4-5). That would make this weekend must see TV.
  5. What's funny in all of this is that BYU actually has a strong SOR (#6) and a better SOS than ND, OSU, Indiana and Ole Miss. I wouldn't have thought that but they drew a bunch of the good not great Big 12 teams. If they get beat by Tech in a close game this week, BYU probably still has a better resume than ND and yet ND is already slotted above them. So they do in fact ignore the loss column for Big 12 teams LOL. I wonder if Tech could end up getting bumped if they lose because their SOS is by far the worst of anyone in the conversation.
  6. It's never made sense where the committee has had them ranked. They did it to create a H2H buffer against Miami hoping it would all work itself out and it hasn't. I don't know how the committee can walk it back now but ND should feel uneasy as their resume doesn't stack up.
  7. The dumbest thing about it all is that they start the ranking shows way too early with limited data (for TV reasons) and then end up backing themselves into corners because they can't even be consistent week to week much less year to year. But I agree they do whatever they want and at the end of the day will always try to find the path of least resistance. As someone mentioned, it wouldn't shock me at all if they put both Texas and Vandy ahead of Miami for the sole purpose of creating a fake buffer to continue to ignore the H2H with Notre Dame. They will decide who they want in and then reverse-engineer the rest for their talking points.
  8. WTF does this even mean. If you don't like national media, talk shows, narratives, politicking, etc. nobody is forcing you to consume any of it. But of course people care about the games. Were you at DKR Friday night? Because I was and it was fucking awesome. And what you are bitching about is what makes CFB the complete opposite of "just another professional league" in every way imaginable. Pro leagues don't leave playoffs up to fucking random committee. Pro teams don't have calendars that make zero logistical sense where you are roster building during the playoffs. College Football and the shit show that it is is about as unique of a sport that exists.
  9. I think bumping the SEC runner up out of the playoffs because they played an extra game against a top 3 team would set its own horrible precedent. The reality is, however this goes, it's giving Sankey tons of leverage in negotiating playoff expansion. It's not a coincidence that the SEC went to a 9 game schedule the day after the playoffs announced SOR would be a a big factor. And now the committee is just ignoring this. Particularly with respect to Notre Dame. I actually think Notre Dame is one of a handful of teams that could win it all so I get it, but placing them as high is they are is just willfully ignoring their shitty schedule. In the committee's defense, it's an extremely unique year where there just weren't any upsets the last few weeks so there are more playoff worthy teams. I think last year a 9-3 Texas team would have gotten in rather easily over SMU.
  10. What do you not understand about it? The calendar is completely idiotic and should be item #1 to be addressed when it comes to fixing college football, but it currently is what it is and you really don't have a choice but to make hires now to have a chance at setting yourself up for 2026.
  11. This is essentially his attempt at a poll or committee based approach and then he says he would adjust for head to head. I still think he weights losses a bit too heavily for my preferred approach but haven't dove into this model in detail. He has all kinds of interesting stuff though that is fun to follow over the season.
  12. Here is an example of what I'm talking about. Kelly Ford which has dozens of weekly breakdowns based on both his own model and other stats and one of which is a "Schedule Difficulty" chart which is the # of expected wins the #12 Power Rated team would have against a given team's schedule. So this chart breaks down aggregate win probabilities across the entire schedule for what would be the last team in if there was a playoff of top 12 teams by power rating. Texas is 10th overall in schedule difficulty with 7.8 wins. To put it in perspective, Tech is 58th at 9.6. Note Texas is the only team in playoff contention with a top 10 schedule difficulty based on this metric. Doesn't that tell you something? That if you consistently play games you are favored to win 3-7 points, you are much more likely to lose 1 or 2 compared to if you are playing regularly as a 20 point favorite? It's math. Your schedule matters if you have a committee that is going to count losses.
  13. Season Ticket holder, alumni and fan here. If playoff stays at 12, I would be completely fine replacing these games with Syracuse or equivalent. And CDC isn't stupid and understands the "math" arguments that myself and others are trying to make to the "dur.... just beat Florida" crowd. We will have plenty of marquee home games in conference. The reality is Sankey has to be pissed watching the committee do exactly what they said they would not do (count losses) and only solution to protect the SEC with a 9 game conference slate is expansion. Again, if I were to place a bet, I would think Sankey is absolutely willing to go to 24 (not his public stance) as long as the Big 12 and ACC don't get 4 auto qualifiers. All of them.
  14. This is just outdated thinking. Particularly with the SEC going to a 9 game schedule going forward. There are going to be 3 loss SEC teams every year that are objectively better and would be favored on a neutral field over 1 loss ACC and Big 12 teams. Particularly those that play dogshit both OOC and a significantly watered down conference schedule comparatively.
  15. It's 100% about OSU being scheduled. It's fucking math. In the SEC we are going to play games damn near every week that fall somewhere in the 40% - 70% win expectancy unlike a team like Tech that has an SEC roster and has a 65% to 90% win expectancy week to week. You don't schedule another 45% - 55% win expectancy game if the committee is going to 'count losses'. Bitch about losing @UGA and @Florida all you want but those losses will happen in this conference every year to someone that can stay in the playoff if they schedule smart OOC. The rosters are too comparable and the floor a lot higher compared to other conferences. This is not an opinion. Just look at the fucking point spreads every single week for SEC games compared to every other conference. It's NFL type parity. Why did the Eagles lose to the shitty ass Giants and Mid Cowboys? Because it happens to someone damn near every week in the NFL when point spreads are 8 or less. Get used to it. Again, what is the upside? Where would we be ranked today if we had beaten OSU? Where would be ranked today is we had scheduled Syracuse instead and beaten then.
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