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Skipper

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by Skipper

  1. I can see the semis being where ticket pricing is really dirt cheap. You can still pair the quarters with a NYE trip/vacation a lot of people would be doing anyways. But tacking on another trip with the possibility of a championship and I can see a ton of folks (potentially myself included) that would plan on quarters and finals with semis on TV.
  2. Texas/Michigan would have been the perfect storm. But with this being the last year of the 4 team playoff, we may never see championship game ticket prices reach that potential again. They will continue to jack up face value, and you combine that with travel costs for multiple rounds of playoffs, it will be tougher to reach peak demand. I think if the Championship game is reasonable driving distance from Texas (i.e., any Texas city or NOLA) it would still be a good bet to buy those early. But outside of that, not sure the upside will ever be close to what it was for those that bought early this year.
  3. I went ahead and pulled the trigger tonight in 340. Got a couple on the aisle for $452 each after fees. Probably would have waited a bit more if they weren't on the aisle I read a bit today and it seems like people that attend games regularly there prefer 200/300 level to 100 level from a view standpoint. I think 145 will be the value section though for those looking. I just wouldn't want to be too high up in the 100 level from what I've read. I was looking between rows 10-20 give or take in the 100's.
  4. I mean I wouldn't hesitate buying today. They will figure it out eventually. More like night before or day of. But in your case, I get it. You were ready to hit the road so major pain in the ass.
  5. All is well that ends well but that sucks. That is why the closer it gets to game the more likely i'm only buying on TM. I don't want to deal with relying on someone to do the transfer over to TM.
  6. If you post here approximate time we may try to do that depending on what we have going on. Whether it is 12/31 or on the day of, do we need to print out the tix or if we show on phone does that work? Also, I have a buddy that purchased that is still TBD if his wife is joining him on the trip (they live relatively close to NOLA). If she decides last minute, what is best way to get in touch to secure one of the remaining wristbands (to the extent not sold out at that time).
  7. This AM when I looked, I jotted down number of tix in 143-149 on Ticketmaster. Excluding 145 (which had and still has "100+ available), net tickets for sale in those sections went up by 24 over the course of the day.
  8. For example, there are 4 20YL in 144 priced at $476 after fees on TM. That is about 20% or less than all others. That is almost certainly an individual seller that doesn't want to deal with it anymore.
  9. I'm assuming people that are selling UW sidelines aren't planning to use them. For example, I suspect the vast majority of 143-145 inventory are scalpers. If so, they will likely collude and move prices in lockstep. When inventory gets low in that scenario, I see them hold firm and at times just flat out eat tickets as they have already locked in profits (from those you mentioned that WAY overpaid). But at least as of now, there is enough inventory that it will move down at some point. Also now at the point where anxious individual buyers will start pricing to sell because they don't want to deal with it (particularly those traveling to the game with extras) so you will find one-off great deals if your timing is right.
  10. I think that $2100 get in the door goes down if it is Texas Bama. If UW wins it does down significantly. If it is Bama/UW, I'm pretty confident tix will be well under face (considering face is pretty pricy for this game). If it is Texas/Michigan all bets are off. Hard to know where it would land. Really no precedent other than Texas/USC when digital tickets/online market wasn't really a thing.
  11. It's pretty clear at this point get in price is going to land well under face. What's going to be interesting is where the more premium inventory (lower through 300 level sidelines and corners) pricing lands. I've been too busy to track closely over the last few days but it sure doesn't seem like much of that inventory has moved this week. Prices have come down some off the extremely optimistic pricing that overly anxious buyers purchased at but not to a point I'm ready to buy and be done with it. And with inventory where it is - I'm still not anxious about buying.
  12. I don't blame you. I blame my shitty work IT dept. This shit happens all the time.
  13. Well, as long as they don't mess with the cap again it may end up working out fine. At this point, given the amount of inventory, I don't see spending more than $350 for a pair of decent seats. I set it at $350 earlier and a pair in the 100 level endzone popped up (I think they sold for $420 after fees). It's just as easy way to track how quickly prices are lowering if they fix it back to where it was though.
  14. The ticketmaster search function has always kind of sucked, but typically it lets you put in set price parameters that allows you to track (by highlighted section and highlighted seats) as prices are drooping. For example, you could cap the range at $500 after fees and it will highlight which tickets are available. For me at least, the high end is set at "$355+" so you could drop below 355 but not set a higher number. Is this the same for everyone else? Never seen this issue before so not sure if across the board or something weird on my app.
  15. Glad you posted this. Same thing here once I saw your post.
  16. Tix held by individuals (particularly uppers in team allotted sections) will almost certainly keep gradually going down. Most individuals won't want to deal with it. Particularly once people start leaving for NOLA and want to enjoy themselves and not worry about selling tix. Those will bottom out first. I'm convinced when large brokerages hold a material portion of the inventory they collude with each other to keep prices high until the last minute. We definitely saw this play out with the Big 12 CCG where almost all premium inventory was held by brokers and prices held firm for the most part then starting magically dropping Friday and particularly late Friday afternoon. Obviously the issue in this market is we really have no way of knowing how much of the inventory is held by brokers (although I suspect it's a decent chunk of the non-team allotted seats in the 100, 200's and 300's). But bowls games are different because people may get great seats from their company leading up to the game and try to sell so random great deals may pop up. Unless someone really wants to present tix as a present for Christmas, I don't see any reason to consider buying until next week given the amount of inventory.
  17. While interesting to know here, face is largely irrelevant these days IMO. The market is the market. I mean for a ton of events, "face" is constantly adjusted for team or concert tickets by primary seller via dynamic pricing.
  18. My buddy was charged $200 each by the athletic dept in 617 row 12. So $200 for a "good" upper. I'm betting face for high upper endzone is cheaper. Obviously "face" increases the lower you go.
  19. Yes, I'm pretty positive "face" for Sugar Bowl uppers is around $200. Maybe slightly less for upper endzone.
  20. I'm sure they will travel decent but will be shocked if it approaches 40%. I'm betting soon (if not already) there is a material premium for tix on the Texas sideline compared to UW. Just like at the Big 12 CCG.
  21. Because there aren't enough flights to get 30K+ people from the Seattle area New Orleans. And regardless, with that kind of time and cost commitment, you have a significant chunk that will keep their powder dry for Houston in case they win. I will be surprised if uppers in UW allotment aren't at or below face by kick.
  22. For that one, I had family that couldn't come last second. I had their 2 endzone seats purchased at face. There was absolutely zero market. I ended up trading to a couple of guys on the golf course in exchange for about 15 beers and a couple of plastic bags with ice. Considering we were completely unprepared to tailgate and were about to walk over to the Texas Exes tent and pay $7/beer or whatever they charged, it was one of the best ticket deals I've ever made considering the market. I knew multiple people that couldn't unload extras at all. Ended up moving from my endzone to pretty good (unused) seats solely based on the extras floating around.
  23. I remember this as well. Had a buddy sell tix to a random couple in the elevator that were just Ole Miss fans in town celebrating New Years for about 50% of face for 300 corners and that was a STEAL compared to what he could sell on the market. Many tix went unused last minute that game. I don't think it will get anything close to that low for this one, but there is still a shit ton of inventory. I'm checking about 2X per day just to keep tabs on inventory and trends but not seriously considering buying at these prices yet.
  24. The biggest problem with Tickpic is lack of inventory. People just don't list with them. If exact seats you want are listed on multiple places by a professional broker, they may end up the cheapest. More often than not, their inventory is shit and much better deals on other sites. As a consumer, all that matters is the all in price regardless which is characterized as fees.
  25. If they hadn't already played that card in 2020 when they were about to get rolled, I absolutely think they would be looking for a way forfeit. As it stands, the potential to get your ass kicked is probably less embarrassing than the shit they would get for backing out of 2 bowl games in 4 years. Also, I don't know how bowl revenue is shared in the SEC but would think they can't afford to get more on Sankey's bad side than they already are.
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