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Skipper

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by Skipper

  1. When are you cutting off sales? Herding cattle but about to buy 4 or 5 I think.
  2. Starting to look better for tomorrow. Temp holding strong above freezing so has just been rain since early afternoon. Also looks like precip may clear out earlier than anticipated.
  3. Roads are going to be shit in Dallas early tomorrow. It won't all just magically disappear when precipitation stops. Seems like latest guesses are bullish for decent amount of snow in metroplex overnight. If I were coming from Austin I wouldn't plan on arriving in metroplex before noon at earliest.
  4. Still plenty of space left? Still trying to figure out plans but will try to steer some folks this way tomorrow.
  5. Definitely would not do it today at this point. Tomorrow later is going to be better but of course every person traveling tomorrow is going to realize that so traffic is going to suck.
  6. Just checked and 2 flights from Columbus have been cancelled and 2 delayed. Flights from Cincy/Pitt cancelled and several from Detroit and Cleveland cancelled. That's a shame.
  7. Pretty crazy how at my house it keeps fluctuating between snow, sleet and rain. I'm guessing all dictated by whatever 1-2 degrees fluctuation in temp at any given time. We were all snow most of the AM, then sleet and rain for a bit late morning. We just had about 30 minutes of snow and now shifting back to sleet/rain. Looking out the windows probably getting to the point where I would have no desire to drive on roads in our neighborhood.
  8. Pretty interesting. Obvious it's all about where the freezing line is setting up which is crossed through the metroplex. We are north of it and still getting all snow. Still warm enough that it's melting on roads right now but would assume further north you go overpasses are getting pretty damn slick. Also nice that it's not so damn cold like the 2021 event with snow and kids can play outside longer.
  9. I think temp maybe 1-2 degrees cooler than expected resulting in snow here. Kids are excited. Regardless, think it's pretty safe to say would not be a good idea to leave early from Austin tomorrow. Roads will be nasty most of Friday AM
  10. Big ass snowflakes in North Dallas right now. Main event supposed to come tonight.
  11. Hopefully all the flights from Columbus/Cincy/Pitt, etc. getting cancelled. That shit fanbase deserves it.
  12. What a game last night. MSG lives up to the hype. Fantastic venue. 10/10 experience. Now on a flight back to Dallas to get ready to beat the Buckeyes.
  13. Nerds on a weather forum all bitching about how some new models showing it could be a "bust" so hopefully we wake up to good news and it starts trending to boring snow day Thurs.
  14. I mean Jerry World is a 30+ minute drive from Dallas proper. If ends up being a situation where it dips back to freezing by 7PM, that's going to be a fucked up drive back to Dallas (through neighborhoods etc.). They can't treat every damn road in the metroplex sufficiently. It's a cluster F at night and early in the morning every time this happens.
  15. Of course other risk is what the fuck happens if it all freezes back up during the way. Because of course it's being played one of the only major venues in the country with absolutely zero public transportation options. Fuck you Jerry.
  16. If the actual forecast is the extreme scenario by Weds it wouldn't shock me at all if they did that. A foot of snow would be all timer in DFW (that was record in 2010 as mentioned above). But every model is not showing that (just the ones getting posted all over social media). Probably a better idea by tomorrow afternoon and certainly by Wednesday just how bad it will be.
  17. In NYC for game tomorrow going with clients that are Rangers fans. First trip to MSG. Should be fun.
  18. I don't disagree. But we haven't even put one complete game together since September so the national narrative for this game isn't unreasonable. We need to prove we are capable of actually playing 4 quarters of solid football. I do think this team has it in them and that playing as an underdog could be what unlocks it.
  19. The Pate podcast was a pretty depressing listen and hard to argue with much of it. People try to compare this to the Texas/USC game but it's not remotely the same. Sure, the media talking head predictions may be the same but for those of us that watched every snap that season there was a ton of confidence based on actual X's and O's. That Texas team flat out dominated damn near every week including destroying Colorado in the Big 12 championship game. If anything USC was similar to Texas in that year in that they underachieved much more frequently despite winning (although they, along with Texas, played their A game in the Championship). This Texas team hasn't put a complete game together really since Michigan (well UTSA/ULM if you want to count poor competition). Starting with MSU we fucked around and have done it every game since. Florida was the best performance and even that took a 4th down conversion inside our own 25 YL to wake the damn offense up. I think it's absolutely fair for talking heads (and everyone) to wonder if Texas has an "A" game in them at this point as it really isn't "recency bias" as much as wondering if this is just who Texas is. That being said, for OSU, I think the jury is definitely still out whether they really are the team we saw the last 2 weeks (i.e., as Josh Pate stated, have they turned into LSU 2019 buzzsaw that is just that much better than anyone) or will they revert to the mean. I'll be fascinated to see how Sark coaches this game given the dynamics in play and given that we don't have a ton of matchups on paper that we love. There is absolutely still a path for Texas to win but going to need to somehow put it all together for 4 quarters. I don't disagree with Pate's assessment that we either have to be able to run the ball consistently or win the turnover battle by 2 or more to win.
  20. Current forecast is precipitation ending overnight and dry Friday during day. But could be a lot to melt and TBD what time temps dip back under freezing on Friday. I think we know a lot more by tomorrow and certainly tomorrow night but current best case scenario seems like a good (but small) window for travel Friday afternoon and hoping temps don't dip back down below freezing until well after game ends. Flights Thurs seem pretty fucked unless things change which I assume will impact a bunch of OSU fans.
  21. Cotton Bowl travel could be a shit show Thurs and early Friday.
  22. Definitely not for SRO. I think prices will go down some regardless but how much TBD. I'm a buyer and not even looking at the market yet. The other wildcard right now is potential for really shitty weather Thurs/Fri. Has the potential to impact flights in, transport to DFW (and to game) and obviously ticket prices significantly depending on all of the above. I don't think we'll have a good sense for at least another 2 days but at least the potential for a clusterfuck.
  23. You really think that execution was on the coaching and not the player? Sometimes players fuck up. It happens. It looks to me like Blackwell hesitated at the last second and it cost him. I have zero doubt punt block team was coached to take the damn ball off the foot. Banks was livid on the sideline. Now as for the fake punts killing is back to back games in Atlanta, that is inexcusable (even though multiple flags should have been thrown against ASU on that one).
  24. It's not just well known morons like Mike Farrel (probably the dumbest commenter on CFB and I'll never understand how he still has any platform) but even Klatt who is one of if not the top analyst out there is caught up in recency bias. I don't think it helped he was at the Rose Bowl and clearly didn't watch our game closely, but his analysis of the Peach Bowl was caveman level. Focusing on the box score and completely ignoring all of the extremely low percentage plays that hit for ASU to get to those last few minutes (and that racked up a ton of those yards). Our post game win expectancy per connelly metrics was like 90+%. It was very similar to the Tech loss in Lubbock a couple of years ago (right down to fucked up TOP killing our D down the stretch due to scoring so quickly early on). Everyone is completely taking the narrative that Texas was gifted the game by officials (ignoring the dozen plus patently absurd calls and no calls in ASU's favor) and forgetting that Ohio State has in fact looked human in games this year as well (and were similarly written off with speculation Day would be fired this time last month). There is a reason this is a 6 point spread and not a 17 point spread but everyone is talking about this game like it's the latter. OSU may very well win, and are rightfully favored, but the disrespect this team is being shown is a bit over the top. Good. I hope OSU listens to that shit all week and walks in expecting a cakewalk.
  25. There was definitely some commentary I saw to the effect that it shouldn't have even been a penalty but those refs were so incompetent no way they were getting that one right. Agreed I still have no idea how he didn't block it. It was probably the biggest sure thing whiff I can recall.
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