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SydneyCarton

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by SydneyCarton

  1. This is what the home dynamic looks like:
  2. I certainly believe that person did and experienced all those things. The fact they don’t properly lay blame does something about humans, I agree. But I wouldn’t call it complexity.
  3. I think that’s the guy who’s been showing up at trump rallies and singing about the insurrection too.
  4. So not really affected at all. Got it.
  5. He's been a close friend for a # of decades. A lot of my circle use him. And as I said before, I generally dictate what I want, and he only handles a very conservative area of my portfolio. So basically, it's hard for him to fuck up. And in my experience with people in finance and personal wealth, they ALL fucking say the same shit.
  6. I'm getting there pretty fast. For someone who says she's unoffendable, she always seems pretty upset. I also love how she acts like she doesn't know that one of trump's co-campaign manager is a woman, Susie Wiles.
  7. If it wasn't so catastrophic, and if I wasn't married and with a kid, I'd almost be dying for this shit to happen. Or if I was safe in another country.
  8. Despite having a kid living in Scotland you know it's fucking Clan Macgregor.
  9. This week, I feel like I've bypasses the ledge and just tied a rope arund my wasit to an ugly trump looking gargoyle and I'm just swinging around, waiting for that ugly fuck to topple and crush me or for the rope to just break.
  10. The Election Lab/SushiHorn thread is thattaway, sir. Or Brisket will just invite you onto the ledge.
  11. You know, I'd love to be in a system where we only spend what we have. But he'd be cutting social security, medicare/medicaid, obamacare, education. Every single social safety net and program that improves us as people. And there's no guarantee they would ever return even if we got debt to zero. We have to cut ourselves out of debt, but we hvae to tax ourselves out of debt too.
  12. What, what the fuck? Explain it to me like I'm Helobiou's golden retriever. Elon's been saying this for awhile. Argentina would have to feel the pain, but would end up in a better place. As if they haven't been feeling the pain for fucking years.
  13. I mean, I love the confidence and sentiment, but I feel like you sort of answered "No" with the second sentence. Because there are consequences. And you don't believe SO fully in it that you'd damn the consequences becuase you were going to get free money, which would help your family. Because yeah, 50k is a lot of fucking money. Of course, 100k is a lot more. "If I found free money with no consequences yeah I'd double down!" But there are consequences. Which is the point of the question. He's not far off. Per AI, but you get the idea. Now keep in mind this takes into account the super wealthy. I believe most Americans actually only have a couple weeks or a couple months of savings in the bank I heard on NPR during covid: The average retirement savings for Americans is $87,000, but the average is skewed by a small number of people with much higher balances: Age Average retirement savings Under 35 $18,800 35–44 $141,520 45–54 $313,220 55–64 $537,560 65–74 $609,230 75 or older $462,410
  14. This is what I get by only reading the first paragraph while skimming, and no further. So motherfucker did a 180 since 2022.
  15. I love it. I've phone banked. I've been vocal. I love your confidence. Tell me, and this is a serious question, would you place a $50,000 bet on the election outcome? And if not, why not? Fortunately I have a direct method of control over my investments, and they're all at this point different funds. Although, I did make the mistake of betting in some military industrial complex funds thinking that the war in Ukraine, and the standard Republican support of military spending would make that a solid long term play. Might need to revisit that shit if Trump wins. Feeling good about my funds that cover general household goods, however.
  16. I'm sure they were...at the time. Also I'm quoting this after your comments about the Canadien PM candidate. You say he's super right and MAGA, but I took a stroll through his wikipedia, and whiel I saw some MAGA type red flags, we'd fucking kill for a Republican party with some of his policies. Pro Abortion. Pro Gay Marriage. Pro Immigration. The bill clinton method of balancing a budget. Shit. Did he use a hard R or something?
  17. My financial advisor has been telling me for 9 years that a Democratic victory is going to ruin the stock market. Wrong every time so far. But for all the credit given to "Wall Street" and their prescience, you'd think they'd be overwhelmingly preaching the Biden/Harris polices to teh high heaven. We've got our soft landing, the stock market is booming, manufacturing is on the rise thanks to their policies, and everyone is fucking making money. And yet, they still favor Trump. At some point, you have to question if these people are deliberately tipping the scales against their best corporate interests. I guess their stock/bonus at the end of the year trumps corporate profits thanks to the Tax cuts...
  18. As others have said, good luck moving there without cutting a check for a hundreds of thousands to buy into their medical coverage. Cooter has it right. This right here, which is why I've drug my bleeding vagina all over this thread this morning.
  19. I gave up on NV a week or two ago. And that's fine.
  20. I mean, you made it sound like when you encounter them in the wild and politics come up, you go straight for the throat. I assume that incldues mockery
  21. Well, it sure as hell won't be a position they're mocked out of, either.
  22. There have been plenty of polls that have had good looking crosstabs. My point is, if it was as overwhelming as YOUR GUT says it is, or at least it should be, there are no cross tab that could hide a huge gulf between reality and what the polls currently showing short of "We conducted this national poll by surveying 1,000 people in Montgomery, TX." That's the kind of nonsese it would take. Otherwise damn near every resppectable poll would have Harris up pretty comfortably. But they're not. Saying "These crosstabs" are fucked at this point isn't that much different than the people who say "Trump is winning in every poll." The reality is going to have to be born out, and we KNOW you think Harris is going to blow shit out, and maybe flip Florida, but I think it's concerning that Harris's people, at best, are cautiously optimimistic and think it's going to be close AF based on their own internals. Which brings me back to my initial thoughts; The whiplash between information is jarring, and a ton of fucking people do live in a reality of their own construction, and seem perfectly happy to strap their heads into their ostrich holes using concrete, steel rebar, and fucking adamantium.
  23. I mean, define unfavorably in this context? If you mean they double down because they can't take the ego hit and being wrong and the negative feedback, sure. If you mean they snap out of their reverie, well, we have mountains of evidence that is not really the case. The backfire effect, purports that cognitive dissonance and denial literally are hardwired into our brains. Again, if these people had seen the light, wouldn't the chasm in polling be wide enough that no amount of herding could hide it?
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