Talking about Campbell's record at ISU is about risk. Nothing is guaranteed, but all things considered, more information is better than less. UM is as close to a sure thing as a coach can be. He can absolutely win a championship here. It would be an anomaly if he didn't at least make the playoff. That's not true of any the other candidates. For them, we have to make a decision based on the information available. Campbell now has 10 years of experience, which makes him a relatively known quantity compared to Fickell or Napier or others with limited experience at a lower tier. Compare that to what we knew about Strong and Herman when they were hired. Campbell has shown he can jump a level and still win (from Toledo to ISU) and that he can win without a stud QB, a senior laden team, etc. He's doing the ISU equivalent of reloading. That doesn't seem all that impressive in terms of wins and losses, but compare that to Saban at MSU.