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BradInATX

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by BradInATX

  1. The pause before the last two balls, he knew he needed them both and barely touched net on either.
  2. The magic trick is winning enough seats to make Manchin and Sinema irrelevant.
  3. BradInATX

    Cuomo

    I'm not not happy that the shine is off those two obnoxious bastards. Even before all of this the thought of Andrew jumping up to the national level was annoying.
  4. There should not be cockroaches in jails. That's disgusting and subhuman. We shouldn't be celebrating this.
  5. Yeah I told the wife it was 50/50 whether it was an angry austinite vs. a crackhead who fell asleep with a cigarette or a joint lit.
  6. There's a big homeless camp burning down right by the Warehouse on Ben White. Huge 30 foot flames. Y'all in south Austin can prob see the smoke. Wonder if someone torched it. Looks like it's quite the encampment. Or was.
  7. So the governor of Ohio just laid out the goalline. He has a defined metric of cases per day over a period of time. When that gets below a certain number, he's opening the state all the way up. No masks, 100% open. Issues with accuracy of reporting on cases aside, I really like that approach. No moving targets, but a common goal to work towards with a clear endpoint. Wish most states would do that. It's clear, easy to understand, and provides incentive for people to get vaccinated and make this last push.
  8. That'd require actual work and y'all don't pay well enough
  9. Gravity is still a "theory" too. Read the details. 95% CI on that sample size is very strong. Scientists don't declare things as factual until they're 100% sure it's correct. I know that's off-putting for some.
  10. Man don't politics up yet another Covid thread.
  11. https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/70/wr/mm7006e2.htm Regression analysis demonstrated that weekly hospitalization growth rates declined by 2.9 percentage points (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.3–5.5) among adults aged 40–64 years during the first 2 weeks after implementing statewide mask mandates. After mask mandates had been implemented for ≥3 weeks, hospitalization growth rates declined by start highlight5.6end highlight percentage points among persons aged 18–39 years (95% CI = start highlight0.9end highlight–10.4) and those aged 40–64 years (95% CI = start highlight1.0end highlight–10.2). Statewide mask mandates might be associated with reductions in SARS-CoV-2 transmission and might contribute to reductions in COVID-19 hospitalization growth rates, compared with growth rates during <4 weeks before implementation of the mandate and the implementation week.
  12. If there is a heaven and if somehow the paperwork gets mixed up and I end up there, the first thing I'm doing after seeing my family and childhood dogs is making some of these scenarios happen BTW.
  13. My first instinct is 2 as well. Then I thought they could have some spacing issues with really only one floor spacer where the other teams have more perimeter shooting. Then I realized that team 2 has the best player in history and the best offensive player in history and none of that shit matters. 2 would destroy. If we're playing pre 2010s rules the spacing doesn't matter as much and if we're playing 2021 rules then LO fucking L at trying to guard MJ without hand checking and beating the hell out of him down low. Team 2 also doesn't have any ball-stopper issues that the other two teams have. The PnR game and ball movement would be stupid. The team would literally be unguardable. Team 3 takes the silver with a fantastic defensive squad. Team 1 comes in a distant third while LeBron bitches to the media about his three antequated teammates, becomes the de facto GM, and signs JR Smith to a max deal.
  14. They give you a ticket and you spin the HE-Buddy wheel to see how many milligrams you get. The kid below didn't get any milligrams but he won a free pack of Marlboro Reds.
  15. The 7 day moving average reporting around the storm is pretty trippy. The dashboard would have you believe we had an off-schedule upward wobble in hospitalizations. Pretty obviously a data lag then a data reconciliation/catchup. You can see it in the 7 day average for hospitalizations (white). If you just drew it on a normal curve (which I did in purple), it would look like a nice, normal sloping trend back towards the bottom; the same way it came up but in reverse. Austin is looking really good. We are headed in the right direction and fast. It's going to slow down some, but I'm sticking with my "basically normal by Memorial Day" prediction. If you run the purple line out, continuing the gradual flattening, we're back in the blue, which represents basically March of 2020, in May.
  16. Nobody is acting like it's the end of the world. The issue is, and let's avoid the "do masks work" argument, that it's just a stupid decision. What's the cost/benefit here? Opening restaurants and bars to 100%? There's a clear benefit to be had there. Saving business, getting the economy going. What's the cost benefit of removing the mask mandate? You've removed one of the most minor inconveniences in the world, at risk of killing people. Whatever you think that risk may be, from tiny to believing that removing mask mandates will cause some unneeded deaths, it's a terrible decision. There is nothing gained. It's a political move. You know it, I know it, we all know it.
  17. So basically everyone here agrees with the same general philosophy? Where the fuck am I and what have ya'll done with my Surlyhorns?
  18. I don't really like the 10,000 cases metric. We could be in a situation soon where we're getting 30,000 cases per day with only 200 deaths per day due to the most at-risk being vaccinated. 200 deaths per day is March 2020 level and standard flu level. There's no reason not to open back up at that point when half or more of the country will be vaccinated. This is a situation where I agree with several of the guys who have generally been on the other side of this as me for the past year. I thought the goal was getting hospitalizations and deaths to a normal level. I don't give a fuck about cases. This feels like moving the goalposts which is counterproductive to what Fauci is trying to do.
  19. BradInATX

    Cuomo

    Yeah, the party that has the widely popular policies is the one who has openly admitted they're suppressing voters because if more people vote they lose!
  20. That's what you get when Patty, Lyles and Lonnie are your 3 most productive players in a game. You lose to a team trying to lose. Just one of those nights, not a concerning loss but a shitty one.
  21. I mean Patty is playing fucking defense. Bizarro world game.
  22. This game is anti everything we stand for on this thread. Patty and Lonnie doing work and DJM playing like crap.
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