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Nice Guy Eddie

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by Nice Guy Eddie

  1. Nice Guy Eddie
    I could write a paragraph or two where I believe Harris made mistakes but ultimately this falls on Biden being a poor president for many in America. I did well under Biden’s America but that’s mainly due to a raging hot stock market. America fared best among most countries regarding inflation but Biden should have acted more decisively to combat higher prices. And he failed to take notice of the belief about too much illegal immigration.
  2. Nice Guy Eddie
    crazy that so many of our neighbors just can’t see what a con man Trump is.
  3. Nice Guy Eddie
    Window is getting small. Problem is that Harris is losing a little ground with many PA counties. Adds up.
  4. Nice Guy Eddie
    Isn’t that needle for the entire country?
  5. Nice Guy Eddie
    These states were also going to be close. Until I see problems with the blue, I’m not worried. It just doesn’t look like a chance of Harris running up Biden’s total.
  6. Nice Guy Eddie
    No
  7. Nice Guy Eddie
    Dems panicking when there’s no reason to do so.
  8. Nice Guy Eddie
    I have hopes for NC but my recollection is they get very slow.
  9. Nice Guy Eddie
    Allred outperforming Harris by about 2 points with the initial vote
  10. Nice Guy Eddie
    Jumped into polymarket. Let’s see what happens.
  11. Nice Guy Eddie
    The story about Robinson has to be impacting the NC vote. There must be republicans staying home due to those wild stories about him.
  12. Nice Guy Eddie
    It would be interesting to know if the carpet baggers are replacing the dying olds or not. My guess is that they're not but even if so, the trend may not continue.
  13. Nice Guy Eddie
    The Trump campaign and Trump are two different entities. As the day progresses that gap will widen. Insiders have already said that many on the campaign can’t wait to get away and would avoid any Trump administration job. They only have a few hours left to toe the line. As the liquor flows in a few of them, journalists will start to tell more insider stories.
  14. Nice Guy Eddie
    One thing to remember that Houston, Dallas, SA and Austin are all in the top 6 of youngest average age for metro areas. The other 2 are Salt Lake City and Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA. Young people don't vote as well as older. It's why Texas hasn't flipped blue by allowing the older, rural areas to dominate elections. As the older, white people die and the younger, non-white get older, Texas will flip fast and decisively. Getting more of the Hispanic vote is the only way for Texas to stay red.
  15. Nice Guy Eddie
    I know that mainstream media has a self imposed rule to not release exit polls until after the polls close for a state. Or at least I assume it’s a self imposed rule. Is there anything stopping them or anyone from releasing exit polls early? the concept seems tied to not wanting to influence the vote but they constantly release poll after poll leading up to Election Day which influences votes. I don’t see any difference.
  16. Nice Guy Eddie
    Abbott and Patrick will use tax dollars, mainly paid by the large cities, to fund doctors to staff small town hospitals. But those small town residents will sneer at the deadbeat welfare recipients in the big cities.
  17. Nice Guy Eddie
    I’m a believer that Starlink will eventually be Elon’s most important product. However it’s a scary proposition that he could end up controlling a large percentage of the ISP market.
  18. Nice Guy Eddie
    Heavy rain in Houston this morning. I’m taking it as a sign that we’re washing Cruz down the storm sewer.
  19. Nice Guy Eddie
    Sounds like a you problem. 😂
  20. Nice Guy Eddie
    I understand why people feel screwed but the money was the deceased to do what they want with it. An obvious option is for older men to find a new wife who has plenty of money on her own but in reality most of those women want nothing to do with marriage again. Then the old men only have options with women who don’t have much and are looking for a wealthier old guy. if the estate is large enough, any kids and grandkids should work on dad putting a good chunk in a irrevocable trust prior to the new marriage. The new wife has less leverage prior to the marriage.
  21. Nice Guy Eddie
    Felt like Hollywood prematurely locked Teri Garr into supporting mom roles by the early-mid 80s. Sure she was 40 but her talent was more than a handful of scenes. But perhaps MS was taking away her ability and confidence to carry a movie as easily.
  22. Nice Guy Eddie
    If true patriots had only donated $5 each to Trump yesterday, Melania would have shown up. Her appearance fee to support her husband is only in the mid 6 figures.
  23. Nice Guy Eddie
    Can’t wait for meltdown on the TexAgs’ politics board tomorrow night. It will be better than their football board when they are upset. Their moderators will be banning users left and right.
  24. Nice Guy Eddie
    another point about Iowa is that Jill Stein is not on the ballot. One less opportunity for someone to throw away their vote as a protest. There is the normal Libertarian candidate so the protest vote isn't entirely zero. EDIT: Apparently RFK Jr. is on the Iowa ballot. so there's that. The good news is that any vote for him looks to be one less vote for trump.
  25. Nice Guy Eddie
    And even when Selzer was wrong with POTUS races (she called Iowa in 2004 for Kerry +3) Bush only won by 10K votes, or 0.7%. She's not infallible but if she's say that Harris is winning Iowa, it doesn't bode well for Trump across the board. He easily won 2016 (+10) and 2020 (+8.) If it's close, I can't imagine what is happening in other states as well. And if by chance Harris wins Iowa or another missed swing state, it throws many of the predictions up in the air. Even PA isn't as important.

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