WBT
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Posts posted by WBT
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2 minutes ago, BurntOrange&White said:
Who was the first news organization to call it?
Decision Desk HQ called it yesterday. Googling what that was led me here: https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2020/11/decision-desk-hq-called-the-2020-election-for-biden-what-is-it.html
I think CNN was the first to call it just now.
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On 11/5/2020 at 10:57 PM, Brisketexan said:
I said the race was a toss-up for the last two months.
I was called a kook, a loon, etc.
The modern polling model is broken, and it is particularly unsuited to poll cult membership as opposed to political leanings.Except that it wasn't a toss up. Closer than the polls said for sure but not particularly close. 2000, 2004, and 2016 were toss-ups.
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I finally saw some numbers on estimated outstanding votes for NC at 538:
- North Carolina: North Carolina has counted every ballot it had in its possession as of Tuesday, and Trump currently leads by 76,515 votes. However, the state has announced that about 130,900 mail-in ballots and 40,766 provisional ballots are potentially outstanding, although not all of them will count. Mail-in ballots can arrive until Nov. 12 and still be counted, and at that point more results will be released.
So if the maximum number of mail-in and provisional votes show up (they won't), Biden would need to win ~72% to close the gap. You would expect mail-in and provisional to lean to Biden but probably not that much. I'm finally satisfied that the people saying Trump will hang on to NC were correct.
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West Virginia Mountaineers @ Texas Longhorns - 11AM CDT on ABC [Making Meth vs Herman's slow death]
in Football
Come on RoJo, it ain't out there