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WBT

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Everything posted by WBT

  1. GA+NV or NC+NV to offset PA are about the only ones I can see. And yeah those seem unlikely.
  2. Guy on CNN saying a bunch of mail in ballots in NV are being flagged because the youths can't sign their names closely enough to their signatures on file.
  3. Silver's election night tool. It's supposed to start with his pre-election model and update every time a state is called based on how the called states correlate with the battleground states and based on how quickly the states are called after polls closed, with that as a proxy for margin of victory. I'm not sure whether to put any credence in it or not.
  4. you're not a single issue voter?
  5. The quote about not doing anything different than Biden was a huge gaffe
  6. that's been the best case for months
  7. 3.7 million votes in and they're estimating over 5 million total. She would only need to win about 60% of the remainder which presumably leans urban and suburban. It's hardly decided.
  8. somewhere in middle america
  9. Texas polls about to close. MST El Paso holla!
  10. He wouldn't have to sweep. PA, MI, NV, and AZ would put Trump at 270.
  11. The Big Boss man will save us
  12. With 2% returns in? That must be based on exit polls.
  13. If she wins PA I don't see how she doesn't win MI and WI and then it's over.
  14. Exits aren't really exits anymore...so many people vote early that there's now a huge component that includes calling people and correcting the cross tabs just like every other poll.
  15. In the 270-268 scenario we may be waiting on Pennsylvania again.
  16. If it's like last time, the media won't call shit before Thursday at least. The cowardice/innumeracy was ridiculous.
  17. It really should and this has been hugely underreported on. Gotta get those culture war clicks.
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