I've said we'll win the division somewhere between solidly and in a runaway every year since 2017. This year fangraphs has it a 3-way tossup which feels about right to me.
Altuve and Walker are solidly in the decline phase actuarially, so there's some worry there. There's always injury worry with Yordan.
Paredes's low exit velo scares me but maybe he can continue to make it work with an obscene amount of fly balls just down the lf line. The profile reminds me some of Bregman - he would probably also benefit if the 2019 bouncy balls came back but it's not happening. Bregman walked roughly as much as he struck out until last year. Paredes walks a good deal but not as much as he Ks.
Pena is a good defensive SS but his bat fits with the bottom 3 not the top 5.
And our bottom 3 look like they're going to be bad again. We appear set to roll with Dubon, McCormick, and Meyers playing most days vs last year when it was 2 of that 3 with Abreu/Singleton. Probably about a push. I'd feel better if you could guarantee me 2022-2023 Chas. And maybe Dezenzo and/or Smith end up starting. That would help too.