Everything posted by ryskey
- Austin Regional Thread
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Austin Regional Thread
Anyone have a link to the ending?
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2022 NCAA Tournament Thread
Okie State has someone who's walked 5 times. He has two runs and one RBI but no AB.
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2022 Big 12 Tournament Thread
It's almost mathematically impossible to get to higher than #7 RPI even if we win out. We trail Vandy (#6) by 59 RPI points and Stanford (#5) by 75. To put that in context, #25 Florida is 66 RPI points below UT. Everyone ahead of us is playing quality opponents, and they're all likely to play each other once or twice, so losses won't hurt them much. OSU-Stanford, Tennessee-Vandy, UNC-VT. Even if Maryland (#4, 86 RPI points ahead) loses twice, they might not fall much. #7 RPI would be a hell of an accomplishment but we aren't making it any higher than that.
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2022 Big 12 Tournament Thread
Purple gatos win. Doesn't make a shit for RPI
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2022 Big 12 Tournament Thread
Difference between RPI #10 and RPI #24 is a mere 57 RPI points. Really clustered together. Any of these teams can make that up with just 2 quality wins. We are currently at #15. But to maintain that, we'll need to go 2-2 at worst. Got a good idea of how RPI points are awarded, so here goes my guesses for outcomes the rest of the way: 0-2: RPI #25 1-2: RPI #21 2-2: RPI #15 3-2: RPI #11 3-1: RPI #9 4-1: RPI #8 3-0: RPI #8 4-0: RPI #7 Go 1-2 or 0-2 the rest of the way, it's a 2 seed. Win the tournament and RPI will be top 8, might not be enough to host a super though.
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2022 Big 12 Tournament Thread
Beating TCU or Baylor would likely move us to #13 in the RPI and a loss would move us back to 20 or so. Beating TCU/Baylor then Tech (or whoever comes out of that side of the bracket) would move us to around 10. 9-24 are all really clustered together so there's going to be a ton of movement this week. But all of that assumes everyone else stays flat. I wish they had a simulator. Actually no I don't because I would waste a lot of time.
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2022 Big 12 Tournament Thread
Unless I'm reading this wrong. TCU wins/Baylor loses = -0.7 points TCU loses/Baylor wins = -0.7 points Tech wins/KSU loses = -0.6 points Tech loses/KSU wins = -0.8 points WVU wins/OU loses = -1.1 points WVU loses/OU wins = -1.3 points https://www.warrennolan.com/baseball/2022/team-impact?team=Texas None of these move us enough to really matter or waste time complaining about since it'll happen to every team this weekend. It's just bizarre. As a reference, winning today gave us +22 points.
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2022 Big 12 Tournament Thread
RPI is bizarre. For all 3 of the other Big 12 tournament games, there is only downside for our RPI. Regardless of who wins, we get (slightly) negative RPI points.
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2021 Fall Camp Thread - Bend Over & I’ll Continue Showing You
Avg SOS rankings by conference. Big10: 20 SEC: 30 Big12: 33 Pac: 35 ACC: 50 P5 average of all 64 teams: 33. So the Big12 is exactly average. Major credit to Big10's OOC scheduling. 10 of their teams play a ranked OOC opponent- and of those that don't, 2 others play big names that are usually ranked. Half of them have 2 of 3 OOC opponents from P5 conferences. Surprising ACC is so bad. Their OOC scheduling is weak, which exacerbates the weak in-conference schedule.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Can someone explain the software glitches that somehow changed Biden votes to Trump votes? The Hail Mary attempt here seems to be that if it affected some votes in one county, then the small effect in one county extrapolated to all counties in WI and MI would result in a huge swing.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
I'd be down for this. More viable parties = no D/R duopoly = more competition for votes = more accountability = better policy? At least that's how you'd draw it up. The execution would probably be complete shite though.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
This is where I am as well. The folks I spoke to yesterday who were most vociferous about the comment were already likely voting for Trump. If you're a Biden voter in the oil industry, then most of the time the comment last night won't change your mind.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
There are lots of shy Biden voters in the oil industry. Still a minority, but a pretty big one, especially with the under 40 crowd. I'm sure this will have an effect with some of them. Just spoke to several last night. Is that enough to be the deciding factor? I can't say for sure but probably not. Guessing something on the order of 10s of thousands of people. If Trump wins TX by less than ~30k, Biden's comment in hindsight will have been a colossal blunder. But in a state of close to 30 million people, if Trump wins, it will likely be by much more than 30k.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Where are they located? One of the great tragedies of all this polarization is that otherwise decent people don't even know they exist in an echo chamber.
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The Trump + Covid thread
More likely than not he survives this just fine, even being an older overweight person. Compared to the average person who gets COVID, they caught it relatively early, and he'll have the best medical care in the world.
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2020 Senate Elections
That's not an accident. For folks in the minority party in a state to succeed, they have to work much harder AND be more talented, which acts as a filter. They have to attract apathetic voters and moderates from the other side, and that's obviously very hard. It's meritocracy shining through, people who succeed in the face of stiff competition. In short, they're often better because they have to be in order to beat the odds. On the other hand, Dem Senators from blue states are just good at politics within their own party. They can be very average and still succeed if they know the right people and repeat the same talking points.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Does anyone these numbers broken out for each state? Specifically for swing states? There are probably entire states (California?) that will require voting by mail, and that skews the numbers.
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Several shot during 3rd night of Kenosha riots
When you say "corn," does it rhyme with "born" or does it rhyme with "yarn"????
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
I have a rifle and a shotgun, both for hunting from when I used to do that. Haven't shot either of them in over 10 years. In fact, I don't really like guns very much. I'm not against guns, just not into them. So I'm not a first time gun buyer but I'm behaving like one. I recently bought a scary black rifle and a tactical shotgun. And a shitload of ammunition. I despise the radical elements on both sides an equal amount from an ideological perspective. But only one side scares me in a physical violence kind of way, and it's not the dipshits vandalizing property in Portland and elsewhere (I'm differentiating between them and peaceful protesters). Those people generally aren't armed with anything more than a hockey stick and a trash can lid shield so they're not very scary. I'm afraid of angry, confederate flag waving radical right wingers who feel empowered and inspired by despotic behavior from our President, particular if he loses a close election in a few months. Those assholes are armed, and with a few well-timed tweets, Trump can and will inspire his own little army of room temperature IQ goons. My goal is to be as well armed as them. So I bought guns. I'm not voting for Trump. Even if I'm an exception, why can't most of those people buying guns just be people who were already supporting Trump and just didn't own a gun until now?
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College Football in 2020 in danger?
- Donald Trump 2020
Totally get it.- Donald Trump 2020
No, racists and wannabe Nazis are gone. Sounds like this person isn't there yet. He did tell her she was full of shit, and she came back and apologized and said she was wrong. That's a start and quite un-Nazi in character. So this isn't what you're describing. Again I likely would not have had the patience to do what I'm talking about.- Donald Trump 2020
Don't blame you at all for your response. Must have been infuriating, and there's a very good chance I would've done the same thing. But at some point, we're going to have to reconcile with each other. Someone has to be the one to turn the other cheek or at least change the subject to one on common ground. There is just way too much division, and your ex-friend might now seek refuge in the same bullshit to salve her bruised ego. When she came back to you to apologize, she was open to hearing your point of view, and with a little effort and encouragement from you, she might have made a big change in her life. Apologizing isn't easy and takes some amount of character, so she's not totally lost. Again, this is not a criticism. It's easy for me to sit here and type this after reading your story as a random person on the internet. I might not have had the patience to practice what I preach if I were in your shoes. In fact I'm pretty sure I wouldn't have. This is difficult. I want the schism to shrink but it takes a superhero level of mental strength to do that.- "it's time for hunters to leave the NRA"
My first 870 cost about $275, if I remember right. Got it with money saved up in high school working at a gas station. I think I put a couple thousand rounds through that thing over about 15 years. Barbecue + too much booze makes some seriously corrosive sweat the next day, particularly during those hot September days at the start of dove season - the stock and pump looked like someone had poured acid on them. Looked like shit at the end but still worked perfectly. Gave it to a younger cousin. So they seriously stopped making it? That's like if Chick Fil A stopped selling chicken nuggets. - Donald Trump 2020
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