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Posts posted by heso
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The Harris Walz yard signs have started multiplying in northern Allegheny county in the last week and I am fully chuffed over what I saw today. I don’t care if I’m being overly optimistic or not. PA is telling this mother fucker to fuck the whole way off.
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49 minutes ago, Js1 said:
The big thing with PA was the vote by mail was ridiculously slow to count and there was A LOT of it (1.5 million ballots). The one good thing about it not being a COVID election is that most voters have indicated in PA polling is that they are going to vote in person. I think Suffolk had it 72/25 or something, which was similar to 2022, and Fetterman was declared the winner at 1am eastern time.
The media was able to declare Whitmer the winner just after midnight in Michigan; it took until the next morning for Ron Johnson to be declared the winner in Wisconsin.
I think we will get Election Night calls in NC, MI, PA and possibly Wisconsin, unless it's decided by 26k votes like the 2022 senate race was. GA may take a while, but the 2022 run-off was called right after midnight and it was a high turnout runoff - 3.5m votes and 2020 was 4.8m.
Not even going to bother with AZ and NV, but with NV, whatever Ralston says the day before the Election, that's what I am going with, because he picks the winners.
PA could have been called on election night in 2020. The state was publishing their mail in ballot requests and return rates by party affiliation in the weeks leading up to the election. I remember telling my team at work the Friday before the election that if Trump was up by less than X votes he’s going to lose and it would take 2 days to verify.
I understand not wanting to call it until it was confirmed, but even Shapiro was on tv as AG the next day saying that it was inevitable that Biden would pass Trump and it was just a matter of adding them up.
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2 minutes ago, TexEx15 said:
In what world does this make sense?
It doesn’t. There is no world where she’s up in PA and tied nationally.
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Wordle 1,188 2/6
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4 hours ago, tx 3 putt said:
the new tm 3 wood is hugely popular. i’m still nailing my m6 3 wood stock shaft, might swap shafts to get a better / more consistent flight
im getting a driver: already did a TM fitting, picked up 20 yards carry. i want to hit the ping and get fitted. itll be on those two
i did buy a ping 7 wood and that club is just stupid easy to hit. don’t want to try the. 3 wood because that’s another $300 out the window
Is the tm driver the Qi10?
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5 minutes ago, tx 3 putt said:
not sure where youre located
Pittsburgh
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2 minutes ago, tx 3 putt said:
the new tm 3 wood is hugely popular. i’m still nailing my m6 3 wood stock shaft, might swap shafts to get a better / more consistent flight
im getting a driver: already did a TM fitting, picked up 20 yards carry. i want to hit the ping and get fitted. itll be on those two
i did buy a ping 7 wood and that club is just stupid easy to hit. don’t want to try the. 3 wood because that’s another $300 out the window
I need to go to a tm demo day or club champion and get a long game fitting. My 3w is a tm burner that I bought in 2009 that I still absolutely love. By far the oldest club in my bag, but I’m so damn consistent with it. I’d love to find a 3w that I could get 20 more yards out of without giving up much consistency. My driver is an M4 with a ust recoil shaft in it, but I don’t think the shaft fits my swing anymore. Last couple years I’ve gained some distance but am wildly inconsistent with it. With how well I hit my 3w, I only pull driver 4-5 times a round, if that.
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2 minutes ago, tx 3 putt said:
Mine are 718 AP1s 5-48 (lofts match the t200s without the half degrees), vokey 52-56-60. Driver, 3w, 3h. I’ve been entertaining the idea of 60, 54, 48 so that I can fill the hole between 3h & 5i but for now I’m pretty content with where I’m at. Next club purchases will be driver & 3w.
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10 minutes ago, Red Five said:
Heavy lean on ignorance. i.e. a relative of mine who is otherwise a great person telling me a few weeks ago "Oh those aren't real felony charges against him, and thankfully no one believes that they are". Because that's what the talking head on Fox told them, and they believe that they're watching "the news". Just straight up ignorance.
Meanwhile they’d never consider hiring someone with a felony conviction on their record, regardless of the circumstances, let alone dozens of them.
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32 minutes ago, 4th&Five said:
People think this man is intelligent.
It’s infuriating that none of the rubes even question his nonsense about cutting energy bills in half in 12 months.
They’re too dumb to even wonder how it could be possible to cut energy prices to 1980s rates.
And it’s that way with every absurd claim he ever makes. It’s not even questioned.
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On 9/13/2024 at 9:36 PM, Steel Shank said:
Good stuff Crash and 3 Putt. One of my golfing buds gives me shit for carrying 5 wedges (PW, AW, 52, 56, 60). But if my PW is really an old school 9, does it really matter if it's called a wedge or not? No, I say. I'm going to call my AW my Shirley club, so now I'm only carrying 4 wedges! It'll fuck with my buddy.
Guy I golf with most tries to give me shit about that. I run PW (43), 48, 52, 56, 60. I give him shit back by throwing darts at flags.
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13 hours ago, BamaATL said:
Just to give an update on ads in Georgia, I'd say it's 3 or 4 to one in terms of volume in favor of Harris. Trump ads mostly make claims like we are paying 3 times as much for gas (which is humorous, as gas today was $2.82 a gallon, which when one considers inflation, is actually significantly lower than when he was in office (easily over $3 per gallon, pre-inflation)). His ads are blaming housing costs on Harris, along with grocery inflation. Then we get some weird ones with no talking just showing a black family at a pool with "Trump" written (it's fucking really weird). The Harris ads a very effective in my mind, mostly about not going back, forcing corporations and billionaires to pay their share, attacking 2025 and tariffs.
For me the ads I see on TV are probably in the neighborhood of 2-1 Trump-Harris but the live tv I’m watching is almost exclusively football so I’m sure that skews it. On YouTube, the ads I get are probably close to 10-1 Trump-Harris and the physical mail ads I get are 3 to 4 per week from Trump and zero ever from Harris.
But from where I’m sitting I appear to be the only demographic that Trump is even trying to court. 18-45, middle class, white male, suburban PA. They seem to know that they can’t gain voters anywhere else and every decision they make seems to be geared towards trying to gain voters there. They know that if they don’t dominate that demographic in PA they have absolutely no chance.
The messaging I get is overwhelmingly that immigrants are destroying absolutely everything. There are violent criminals streaming across the border feeding fentanyl to everyone. They are raising health care costs, taking jobs, and committing crimes, it’s all Kamala’s fault and she’s soft on crime. A distant second message is that Kamala and Biden are exclusively responsible for inflation and Kamala will make it worse. 3rd is that she’ll ban fracking. 4th is that Trump has absolutely no connection to project 2025. I get that shit all day, every day. Almost every commercial break watching a game.
Senate ads are probably 2-1 McCormick to Casey but that seems to be shifting more even recently.
The gop nominee in my congressional race is a guy I went to high school with and he couldn’t be hiding more from being associated with Trump.
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The new Trump ad in PA during Monday night football is an entirely context free clip of Kamala in a 2019 dem primary town hall saying that she’d ban fracking. Then saying that 120,000 fracking jobs in PA will vanish if she’s elected.
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Light the couches in oakland!
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Skinny girl almost popped out of her shirt celebrating that one.
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1 minute ago, Underdog said:
Pitt wins the uni matchup.
Against almost everyone. Dont like the number font.
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19 minutes ago, NCMountaineer said:
what a frigin catch by Robinson, that should put away the Backyard Brawl
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Holy shit! Fantastic catch
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lol. Eat shit Pitt!
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2 hours ago, YChang said:The fact that some Americans don't understand how immigrant communities "happen" is kinda sad. How the fuck do you think your Irish, Scottish, whatever grandparents settled... once someone was brave enough to put down roots, find jobs, create a community it happens. It's not that complicated.
Did you listen to any of those locals in that video? They have no capacity to understand almost anything. They are barely functional, let alone employable. There was a labor shortage and a bunch of unskilled immigrants that mostly can’t even speak English were able to fill it. In another interview the CEO of one of the manufacturing facilities said he wished he had 3,000 more of them because they work hard, they stay at their machines, and they aren’t on drugs. And he said that was a departure from what he’s used to dealing with. These fucking morons can’t even be present and functional without being on drugs for a work shift, but they feed each other the bullshit that it’s the immigrants fault.
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33 minutes ago, Gap03 said:
First - why the fuck is this guy still in this role?
Second - why does this shit only dawn on the Dems within 2 months of the election?
Seems like this is sorta political malpractice after the 2020 election.
Both of these were exactly my thoughts when I read this. How the fuck is this guy still in charge?
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Just got this email from my daughter’s school district. So you’ve got a guardian that’s so mind bogglingly irresponsible that they leave their bullets (and almost certainly the gun with said bullets) where the kid can just fucking pick them up and take them without you knowing? I can’t even begin to wrap my head around someone being that fucking stupid.
Separately, what the fuck kind of sentence is “further updates will be provided if additional details are revealed.”? There sure as fuck better be additional details, the very least of which better be an outline of exactly what steps were taken to investigate if there are additional bullets and/or a gun in one of 3 schools, when you have a list of exactly which kids were on the bus to each of those schools.-
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
in Cloak Room
Posted
2022 had a little more than 1.4 million mail in ballots and roughly 70% of those were D.
I don’t think this tells us much other than dotard ruined mail in ballots for the gop. The gop were the ones that pushed for mail in ballot expansion in PA in 2019 to make it easier for rural olds to vote.