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heso

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Everything posted by heso

  1. heso
    It wasn’t quite enough in Michigan or Pennsylvania to turn the state. It might have been enough in Georgia, we’ll see after then recount.
  2. heso
    Turns out I underestimated the voter turnout in PA. I said it was gonna be a race to 3.3 million. Both crossed that mark today.
  3. heso
    These fucking ballots will just further prove that Biden won the state. The only thing they are useful for at this point is as evidence in a criminal conspiracy of the USPS delaying the mail in ballots.
  4. heso
    The number of outstanding provisional ballots is the only thing keeping them from calling it. It’ll get there tonight or tomorrow
  5. heso
  6. heso
    Makes sense. I assume he figured PA would be called before he was going to speak. Pa, nv, and az should all be called by tomorrow night.
  7. heso
    Has there been any indication as to what time Biden might come out to speak?
  8. heso
    No. They haven’t touched the segregated late arriving mail in ballots. If those get counted it will only stretch Biden’s lead. I think they are hoping they can call the state without a fight to count those ballots.
  9. heso
    That was just 29,000 ballots in Allegheny county that were sent with wrong information and had to be reissued. The GOP fought to have all of them discarded but settled the lawsuit.
  10. heso
    Part of the overestimate seems to stem from the remaining ballot counts yesterday included a lot of ballots that would be discarded. Ballots that didn’t have the security envelope. There were 2000 of those in bucks county alone. That would equate to 40,000 naked ballots state wide. You’d assume an affluent suburb could follow instructions, so it could be higher than that. that alone accounts for at least a 20,000 vote spread that won’t get counted.
  11. heso
    There are still 35k mail in ballots in Allegheny county that are going to break 75-80% for Biden. The provisionals are going to break between the counties split and the MIB split. Probably close to 60-65% for biden. There are some unknown amount of mail in ballots that were received after Election Day that may or may not count. Will probably end up in the Supreme Court.
  12. heso
    Because they thought the former Dems that were upset about the economy and jobs outlook in rural areas could be fed lies as long as they were allowed to be racist again. They were largely correct. If the exit polls are accurate they lost white college educated people who were aghast at how terrible this administration was
  13. heso
    I’d expect at this point that is total since they are just finishing counting mail in ballots. They’ll now need to check all of the provisionals against the record to see which ones are valid before counting
  14. heso
    The unreturned MIBs were 300k dem to 200k rep. I’d expect the provisionals to track pretty close to that ratio statewide.
  15. heso
    The tale of the tape in pa came down to Erie county and Bucks county. Opposite corners of the state and opposite ends of the economic spectrum. Both flipped from blue to red in 2016 and back to blue this time around. it showed that he lost just enough of the working class and poor and just enough of the upper middle class suburbs to cost him the election.
  16. heso
    There are 35,000 left to count but 29k of those couldn’t be counted until 5pm per court order. I expect the next Allegheny county drop will be 6k and the 29k will come in tomorrow.
  17. heso
    Look, we’re all having fun with philly saving the day, but come next hockey season philly will go back to being the dumbest, most violent, and overly drunk sports city in the country. they can enjoy their respect through Inauguration Day. After that they’ll go back to being fat drunk and stupid and they‘ll remind everyone for the next 50 years, as they vomit into a urinal, about that time they saved America.
  18. heso
    lol so sleazy.
  19. heso
    They’re waiting for the lead to be out of range of the provisional ballots.
  20. heso
    Fair point. I guess exactly what you’d expect him to do is pound his fist on the table on tv while doing nothing to actively assist in the fiasco.
  21. heso
    You must have missed ted Cruz on Hannity last night saying that all options up to and including invalidating the pa election should be on the table.
  22. heso
    If it were just mail in ballots they’d call it but there are potentially 100k+ provisional ballots that could go either way. i expect that they’ll tip at least slightly in Biden’s favor but I understand why they haven’t called it.
  23. heso
    Sounds like the count in PA is going to be a bit closer than we thought. Seems like the outstanding ballot numbers we’ve been hearing included naked ballots and ballots that would be thrown out for other reasons. At least in some counties. No clue why they would have ever included the naked ballots in the count if they were going to be tossed.
  24. heso
    Fuck then indeed. Just saw them say that Trumps claims had no evidence shortly after pa flipped.
  25. heso
    My guess was that it could be in the neighborhood of 75-100k. Could be less. there are 500k outstanding ballots split 3/2 D/R. Most of those would have been struck when people went to the polls and cast provisional ballots. Which is another big chuck of votes. There might be more than 100k provisional ballots out there. I think some of the smaller counties that finished their count early already counted their provisional ballots.

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