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heso

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Everything posted by heso

  1. heso
    Those have been as high as 91%. He’s gonna win the county at 83-85% and all of the votes left skew dem from that.
  2. heso
    “In Pennsylvania they collected ballots for 3 days after the election and we think more than that.” sir it’s only been 2 days.
  3. heso
    It is.
  4. heso
    I posted earlier that I thought Trump had a chance to win the provisional ballots because the R voters had a lower mail in ballot return rate than D voters. My thinking was that they requested to be automatically sent a mail in general election ballot when they requested a mail in primary ballot at the start of the pandemic. Then Trump drove the mistrust of mail in ballots and those people went to the polls. someone later posted a link that might have debunked that theory if it was true, that Biden won the provisional ballot split in York county by a pretty wide margin. York is a red county so if Biden is gaining in the provisional ballots there he’ll probably gain overall.
  5. heso
    And it all crashes down And you break your crown And you point your finger, but there's no one around Just want one thing, just to play the king But the castle crumbled and you're left with just a name Where's your crown, King Nothing?
  6. heso
    Pa wins it all for Joe. Game over when that flips blue. Trump needs PA +2 others
  7. heso
    DeJoy isn’t going to do shit now except save his own ass. The cheese stands alone now. Trump has no power left. Associating with him is nothing more than a liability now.
  8. heso
  9. heso
    The GOP is done with their useful idiot. They had to kiss his ass when he could win them elections. Now that he can’t do that they are done defending his dumb ass.
  10. heso
    With the margins he’s getting in philly hell need to get 28,000 from the rest of them.
  11. heso
    Goddamn I want PA to be the decider so bad. First text I’m firing off in that case is to my Trumper brother in law to let him know that the militsiya will be on its way to collect his guns and assign him his gender neutral pronoun.
  12. heso
    PA still looks good. GA a coin flip.
  13. heso
    Those will only come into play if Biden is still behind at the end of the current count. We know they will break 70-80% for Biden. and I think if it makes it to the Supreme Court the MOST they could invalidate are the ones that have a missing or smudged postmark as that was the only potential overreach by the pa court.
  14. heso
    Holy shit.
  15. heso
    I think it’s pretty clear, at least in the red senate seats that people wanted trump gone but we’re scared by the rhetoric around socialism and votes for Biden but split their ticket for congress.
  16. heso
    Those don’t count because they weren’t there at 7pm on Election Day.
  17. heso
    Yep. I thought it was pretty clear yesterday that the usps stole the Georgia election by delaying the mail in Atlanta.
  18. heso
    Shapiro’s re-election also relies on counting all of the votes. He was behind on election night but took the lead as the mail in ballots got counted yesterday.
  19. heso
    I posted about this earlier this morning: The only remaining ballots there (35,000) need to be “examined”. A big group of of those, potentially as many as 29,000, are from voters that got the wrong ballots. The company in Ohio that printed those ballots assigned the wrong addresses. So you may have had the wrong down ballot races on your ballot. I don’t know what they plan to do with those. The rest are ballots that didn’t have the security envelope or were damaged in the mail. Those won’t be examined until tomorrow for some reason
  20. heso
    I don’t think it will be a 200k Biden win. But any lead is going to be padded a bit by the late arriving mail in votes. Another thing to consider is that provisional ballots in PA might break slightly for Trump. Republicans had a 10% lower return rate on mail in ballots, my guess is because the requested them when they voted by mail in the primary at the beginning of the pandemic and requested their general election ballot to be sent by mail and then after Trump guided them to the polls they struck their MIB and filled out a provisional one
  21. heso
    The mail in ballots will skew far more towards Biden than the current county split.
  22. heso
    Would have liked to see a bunch from dakalb on there.
  23. heso
    I think that’s what’s happening. Some time this afternoon Biden will take the lead and then they’ll call it.
  24. heso
    I think it could be. I still think Biden pulls ahead today, but it raises questions about how much of the estimated mail in ballot that’s out there are good clean ballots. then there are still the mail in ballots that arrived yesterday, today, tomorrow. I think that could end up being 150k ballots. Could be less but I’d be surprised if it’s under 75k. That will skew at least 70% Biden and it will be part of a Supreme Court case over the ones that have no post mark or a smudged post mark. i still think Biden wins it today, but it might take a little longer. If he pulls ahead today it’s over but if it’s close he still has another batch of votes in the wings.
  25. heso
    There will be no more votes out today from Allegheny county today. The only remaining ballots there (35,000) need to be “examined”. A big group of of those, potentially as many as 29,000, are from voters that got the wrong ballots. The company in Ohio that printed those ballots assigned the wrong addresses. So you may have had the wrong down ballot races on your ballot. I don’t know what they plan to do with those. The rest are ballots that didn’t have the security envelope or were damaged in the mail. Those won’t be examined until tomorrow for some reason.

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