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heso

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Everything posted by heso

  1. Trying to ban fracking on that federal land in PA will set up a major court battle. 95% of the subsurface/mineral rights on that land are privately owned. And it’s definitely heavily (sort of) drilled for gas. Was previously drilled for oil and the major reason the subsurface rights are privately held is because that was a major oil producing region when it became a national forest.
  2. The two biggest counties in the state, Allegheny and Philadelphia are starting the count at 7:00am Tuesday. Those two counties account for almost 1/3 of the mail in votes in the state. I’m sure they are doing everything they can to get the count done as quickly as possible but at the end of the day they have to feed the ballots into a machine to count the votes so they can only go as fast as the machines they have will allow. The other thing to keep in mind is that they have to keep accepting and counting ballots for 3 days as long as they have a Tuesday post mark. So some people may think PA has 3 days to count the votes, there is no time limit (as far as I know) on counting. The time limit is on how long they can receive legally cast ballots. it took a week to count the primary votes.
  3. The Post-Gazette's once liberal editorial tone shifted more conservative following the 2018 consolidation of its editorial department with that of longtime sister newspaper The Blade of Toledo, Ohio, and the appointment of that paper's editorial page editor Keith Burris, a frequent defender of Donald Trump, to direct the editorial pages of both papers.[3] Burris assumed the additional position of executive editor of the Post-Gazette in 2019.
  4. Where did the concept of the shy trump voter come from? It seems like it has to be nothing more than a creation of the trumpers to allow them to square their insistence of a trump landslide with polling that shows anything but that landslide. the polling underrepresented the uneducated whites in 2016. That makes sense and the polls claim that they’ve accounted for that (I’m hoping that they over corrected by a couple points). So we’re to believe that there is 5-6% of polled respondents are either embarrassed to admit or intentionally being deceptive about voting for Trump? Seems like bullshit.
  5. Think it was about 1,500. No public tickets. Just family of players and staff.
  6. Losing to Indiana will do that. Tough when you win 11 games in 3 of 4 years but you’re consistently the 2nd best team in the division. What coach out there is going to suddenly be able to make you better than Ohio state?
  7. Inaccurate.
  8. Interesting that in 48 hours after Butler county started making national headlines for losing thousands of ballots, the returned mail in ballots have gone from 24% returned to 66%. Most other counties have gone from the low 70s to upper 70s in that time.
  9. You’re overthinking it. I went to penn state. I’m drunk. The football team lost to Indiana for only the second time ever last week and looks really bad tonight. I won’t believe Trump loses PA until Biden’s inauguration.
  10. I turned on the psu-osu game thinking it started at 8:00. Thought I was watching the opening kickoff. Look down and realize it’s halfway through the 1st and osu just scored to make it 14-0. Chug the rest of that beer. Crack a new one. I’m locked in on doom and gloom for the night.
  11. Record through 66 games: Jim Harbaugh at Michigan: 48-18 Bo Pelini at Nebraska: 48-18
  12. So just to be clear, now that we’ve hit the weekend before the election, we’re just gonna roll the freaking out and negativity straight through from here to Wednesday morning, right? Im in the heart of Trump country for the weekend with the booze and pessimism cranked up to 11.
  13. CSB: I saw my first demolition derby at the Big Butler Fair.
  14. My French ancestors left France for America 40 year before the revolution, but I’m not gonna let that stop me from wanting to see some treasonous heads roll.
  15. Just came upstairs from my office or you’d have had it tonight.
  16. By my fuzzy gorilla math, it’s possible for Biden to overcome as much as a 1.2 million vote deficit on election night, but realistically, anything more than a million seems highly unlikely.
  17. My hope is to have it in my veins by the 2021 masters.
  18. There are just over 9 million registered voters in PA this year. 2016 turnout of registered voters was 70% and is expected to be a little higher this year. Call it 73%. Thats 6,571,460 total votes expected. 1/3 of those will be mail in ballots, split 66/25/8 D/R/I. Assuming the polling average is right, look for Trump to be up in the neighborhood of 850,000 votes before the mail in ballots come in and then Biden come back to win by 350k.
  19. The mail in ballot split statewide is 1.8 million democratic, 700k republican, 200k independent. And speaking of Butler county a few pages ago, add them to the list of mostly republican counties that are waiting until the day after the election to start counting them. Also there are thousands of ballots unaccounted for. They were supposedly sent out but people started saying early this week that they never arrived. The return rate for mail in ballots in Butler county is 24%, statewide it was over 60% early this week.
  20. I posted it up thread but some counties are waiting until the day after the election to even start counting mail in ballots.
  21. Butler county is somewhat interesting this time around. It’s the only county in western PA that’s had population growth recently and that growth is all along the southern border from forest being turned into upper middle class Pittsburgh suburbs. One of the biggest employers in the county is a steel mill so Trumps steel play resonates there, but one of their main products (electrical steel for transformers) didn’t get the boost from the tariffs that they were expecting because people just started shipping the Asian steel into Canada and Mexico and then assembling there to avoid the steel tariff. In March the company that owns the plant threatened that it would have close the plant if the tariffs weren’t tightened. They had just spent a few billion to buy the plant so I don’t believe they’d actually shut it down. Trump will still win bigly, but I expect it to be closer this time, if that new growth leans Dem at all. Also trump has a rally in Butler on Saturday.
  22. Or when he gets shorted on the bill after the work is done.
  23. Looks like we’re gonna come close to breaking the single-day new case count on a Wednesday. We haven’t had a Wednesday increase higher than the previous Friday since July 8th.
  24. I doubt it will be. But right now there are over a million outstanding mail in ballots that are more than 2-1 dem. Now a lot of those will come in over the next week, and some will be canceled and people will cast a provisional at the poll on Tuesday, and some will go unreturned. But it’s still a lot of ballots right now.
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