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heso

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Posts posted by heso

  1. 3 minutes ago, UDontKnow said:

    How anyone has the stones to work for him with his reputation baffles me. He literally chews up and spits out everyone that has ever worked for/with him. It's as if people don't learn.

    That was basically the point that CNN was making. He’s frustrated that he can’t get quality credible lawyers for this nonsense but it’s because everyone knows that it’s nonsense that no one is willing to attach their name to it. 

  2. 12 minutes ago, Bama Chick said:

    Sort of off topic but don’t know where else to post it.

    I Googled the PA Lt. Governor because he just looks like he has an interesting backstory - and he does - and found this article on his house.

    It’s an old car dealership and its renovation was part of his movement as the mayor of a semi-dilapidated steel town to revitalize the town.

    He still lives there even though as Lt. Governor he has an official residence.

    https://www.designsponge.com/2016/07/in-pennsylvania-a-car-dealership-becomes-an-industrial-home.html

    It’s seriously bad ass and I thought y’all would also enjoy his Brazilian wife.

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    Braddock is basically Pittsburgh. You could be downtown in 15 minutes. It’s pretty much a riverbank that was once line with steel mills and the houses on the hill above it that were for the mill workers. 

    I live 20 mins from there and I would have never guessed that it had its own mayor. 

  3. 3 minutes ago, immamac said:

    Oh those are the segregated ballots? Nice. Then this thing is over. I thought the segregated ballots weren't left outstanding in the count. Makes sense. So PA called tomorrow AM at the latest. 

    No. They haven’t touched the segregated late arriving mail in ballots. If those get counted it will only stretch Biden’s lead. I think they are hoping they can call the state without a fight to count those ballots. 

    • Hook 'Em 1
  4. 2 minutes ago, Welch said:

    Fair enough.  Just seems like a heavy lift.  If there are, say, 60k allowable provisionals, Biden would need to win those 65%-35% to pick up a net gain of 18k and increase his total lead to ~33k.

    Any fewer allowable would mean he’d need to win an even larger percentage.

    I did hear that 40% of them are from Philly, so that’ll help.  I’m just skeptical.

    Part of the overestimate seems to stem from the remaining ballot counts yesterday included a lot of ballots that would be discarded. Ballots that didn’t have the security envelope. There were 2000 of those in bucks county alone. That would equate to 40,000 naked ballots state wide. You’d assume an affluent suburb could follow instructions, so it could be higher than that. 

    that alone accounts for at least a 20,000 vote spread that won’t get counted. 

  5. 4 minutes ago, Welch said:

    Given how few PA ballots were announced today, I’m assuming that we’re fully into provisionals now (and mostly done with the mail-ins).

    If it’s true that the provisional breakdown generally aligns with the counties overall, and the two candidates are basically running 49%-49% across the state, how are we expecting this lead to grow to over 30k?  Wouldn’t it basically stay where it is, ~15k, or increase just slightly?

    What am I missing that’s going to put Biden over +33k or whatever and allow AP to call the race?

    There are still 35k mail in ballots in Allegheny county that are going to break 75-80% for Biden. 

    The provisionals are going to break between the counties split and the MIB split. Probably close to 60-65% for biden.

    There are some unknown amount of mail in ballots that were received after Election Day that may or may not count. Will probably end up in the Supreme Court. 

    • Fuck Around and Find Out 1
  6. 1 minute ago, atomheartbevo said:

    What's staggering is how many Republicans somehow thought Pennsylvania (Trump won in 2016 by 44,000), Wisconsin (Trump won in 2016 by 23,000), and Michigan (Trump won by 10,000 or so), were Republican strongholds.

    It's like "really, states that, outside of 2016, you basically have to go back to the 1980s to find Republicans consistently doing well in, you thought those were Republican strongholds?" 

    Because they thought the former Dems that were upset about the economy and jobs outlook in rural areas could be fed lies as long as they were allowed to be racist again. 

    They were largely correct.

    If the exit polls are accurate they lost white college educated people who were aghast at how terrible this administration was 

  7. 1 minute ago, Aqua Buddha said:

    Yeah, his problem in PA was that he lost major share in all of the other counties.  While he still won them, it wasn't by nearly as much.

    The tale of the tape in pa came down to Erie county and Bucks county. Opposite corners of the state and opposite ends of the economic spectrum.

    Both flipped from blue to red in 2016 and back to blue this time around. 

    it showed that he lost just enough of the working class and poor and just enough of the upper middle class suburbs to cost him the election. 

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