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Posts posted by heso
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2 minutes ago, Pato del Muerto said:
And over 3 million
I said it was gonna be a race to 3.2 or 3.3
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We’re under 200k in PA.
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27 minutes ago, Macanudo said:
Where did you get your numbers? I see where 461,765 is the lead but it looks like there are still 1.4 mm ballots.
The numbers were from separate sources. The spread from the NYT, the remaining ballots from the PA counting dashboard. So the NYT spreads might not be accurate to the remaining count.
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Trump lead in PA down to 461,765 with 1,121,320 mail in ballots left to count.
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4 minutes ago, dieucla98 said:
Put some numbers to the NC race.... If you believe there are 475k outstanding mail in ballots that are 2:1 D then Biden +316K, Trump +158K. Final total Biden 2,972,066, Trump 2,890,438.
If you apply the same logic to the Senate race but assume only 400k of those outstanding ballots cast a vote for the Senate (conservative number, I think), D +266K, R +133K. Total D (Cunningham) 2,810,372, R (Tillis) 2,773,701.
Is my math wrong? If not, NC is very much in play. And so is getting the Senate to 50/50.
And they have 9 days to wait for those ballots to come in as long as they were post marked yesterday.
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11 minutes ago, TXSG8R said:
There’s a sizable amount of GOP voters that think the country is headed towards becoming a lawless socialist hell hole and Trump is the only thing holding back the flood.
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PA tightening as expected.
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4 minutes ago, usmc0331horn said:
WHy the hell is Pennsylvania taking so long?
They had almost 3 million mail in votes cast. They normally have ~225,000.
they aren’t allowed to begin processing until Election Day.
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3 minutes ago, hornmpa96 said:
also Pennsylvania law allows them to accept mail-in ballots postmarked by Election Day for the next 3 days. So we still have votes coming in which should lean Biden.
That’s also going to be a fight. Those are being set aside and not counted with the ones that came in through yesterday. I expect them to count, but it might be a Supreme Court fight for those 100k+ votes that will probably be Biden +40.
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7 minutes ago, Hiphopopotamos said:
Help me out here - Trump (per CNN graphic) is up 600k votes in Pennsylvania but I see a lot of people here and elsewhere talking about it as still a possibility for Biden - are there that many votes left to count in Philly and Pittsburgh?
I’ve said it a dozen times in the last few days on this thread: If Trump’s lead at the end of Tuesday was under a million votes, it was likely going to flip to Biden as the mail in votes came in.
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don’t forget that over 100,000 mail in ballots came in yesterday in PA. Don’t be surprised if close to that many come in today and a few more tomorrow.
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Pence: We will make America great again, again.
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There it is he flat out set it. “We won. This is a fraud.”
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These fucking ass lickers feigning laughter at his jokes are almost as disgusting as he is.
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2 minutes ago, 4th and 5 said:
USPS ignoring federal judge's order to make sweep for missing 300,000 votes
gaslighting motherfucker
Detroit, Atalanta, NC, Wisconsin, central PA. Shocking that the delays are in these places.
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2 minutes ago, Horn Dogg said:
When is this fat motherfucker going to speak?
He’s gotta get his spray tan going. He’s gotta wait for the adderall he chewed up to kick in.
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1 minute ago, longhornmatt said:
Yep. When MSNBC went through the numbers a few minutes ago, it actually looked pretty good for Biden in Georgia if current margins hold in the uncounted votes.
Which is nice, because Detroit and Milwaukee might be duds. At least the Philly and Pittsburgh votes that are in show the margins for Biden you’d expect. I don’t know that Wisconsin or especially Michigan look so rosy.
Your gonna get a dump of apparently 100% of the mail in ballots for Wisconsin at 5-6am. Just like VA, as soon as that dump came it flipped the state completely.
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1 minute ago, 'stache said:
CNN hasn't mentioned NC in a while. It looks like its tightening like GA. Any chance there?
They have 9 days to count ballots post marked today and the USPS said there have been significant delays in delivering those in NC.
On GA, I think Trump pulls it out and I think the difference is delayed mail in ballots that won’t get counted there.
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The only thing that I’m still waiting for tonight is the fat orange ass to come out and speak.
We've got at minimum 3 days I’ve counting left, potentially 9 days with NC.
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Keep in mind in PA that the mail in ballots are still coming in until Friday and the ones coming in today are heavily dem so you expet the ones that come in Wednesday and Thursday to add even more Biden votes.
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10 minutes ago, LonghornJudas said:
And PA is now a 700k lead for Trump.
My number for tonight was 1,000,000 much below that and it leans Biden, much above that and it leans Trump.
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5 minutes ago, Enchubben said:
Is that how many were requested? I could see a scenario where a number of those decided to ultimately vote in person, or never return the ballot/lose it.
No, there were like 3 million requested. 2.5 million returned. 1.6 Million dem, 586k gop, 260k independent. There are at least a million outstanding just in the big dem counties.
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3 minutes ago, UTDD said:
Regardless, this election is not going to be a strong repudiation of Trumpism, so that probably impacts how the Republican Party changes - or rather doesn't - after this election.
If anything it was an endorsement of Trumpism for the GOP.
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4 minutes ago, ztejas said:
No idea why... but Trump edging back up on my book. At -150 right now.
The vote that’s come in the last hour in pa is more trump. But it’s been mostly Election Day vote and there is close to a million mail in votes that we won’t get complete numbers until Friday.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
in Cloak Room
Posted · Edited by heso
Last week I thought joe could have a decent lead at 3.2 but the state as a whole really turned out. I think every county is going to exceed expected turnout.