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Bodacious Bevo

Burnt Ends
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Posts posted by Bodacious Bevo

  1. 2 hours ago, BurntOrange&White said:

    OTF has said they're seeing some looks this year in spring they didn't see last year from Texas and experimenting with one high looks....they believe this is coming from Nansen.

    PK ran a ton of single high at UW. I've been waiting for us to install it. When we hired him I actually thought that BJ Foster was going to kill it as the box safety (oof). I think he's just been limited by having so little reliable athleticism at DB so far. 

    I'm hoping that the combination of corners who can be trusted more than 15 yards downfield and Derek Williams lets the defense evolve in similar way to the offense last year; that is, the coordinator can finally run their full playbook. 

    Side note: I see people talking about Wisner being a good fit for the "Keilan role." The Keilan role isn't really a unique position. Sark is going to use a variety of motion and screen concepts for lots of his skill players. It was only limited to Keilan the first two years because X was our only good receiver, so he needed to be running down the field, and it was more important to use Bijan/Rojo as traditional RBs. Once we added Mitchell last year, X was able to eat up Keilan's snaps. Next year I'd expect Bond, Blue, Wingo and others to all be able to fill that. I hope Wisner gets some PT, but it won't because he's put into a special Keilan role position.

    • Hook 'Em 6
  2. They're both fine landing spots. Let's just not get carried away with ideas about guys buying in to a 2 QB class because of an imaginary option to transfer to a spot of their choosing. As transfers, guys are more likely to start at a place like Duke then transfer up than they are to be backups at a place like Texas and transfer laterally. Case in point: Hudson Card almost went to Notre Dame but they ultimately went with Sam Hartman. 

  3. 38 minutes ago, Reynolds Woodcock said:

    I think NCAA will enforce whatever the SEC and Big 10 want/allow them to enforce. Making transfers sit out a year absent a head coaching change or real family issue seems like a reasonable way to curb the rampant player poaching/transfers. Probably not a good thing for Texas since at the moment we are a net winner of the current landscape.

    I don't think that's up to the NCAA and conferences. Unlimited transfers are allowed because a court found they were in violation of antitrust laws. They'll have to find a way to do this legally before anything else. 

  4. Week 5! 

    Final Score: Texas 40 - Baylor 14

    AP Ranking Before: 3

    Highlights

    Every Play

    Broadcast

    AP Ranking After: 3

    Postgame Articles

    This was a weird game with Jalon Daniels being a very late scratch. It went from being a fun test to a near-cupcake game an hour before kickoff. Jonathan Brooks had a great game with 200+ yards as he tried to follow in Bijan's 4 TD performance against the Jayhawks last year. Quinn also threw for 300+ and had another long TD run. On the negative side, two of our season-long issues continued to plague us: red zone offense and a deep shot from Jason Bean. 

  5. 3 hours ago, closetojumping said:

     

    1) When the groups come together in order to set salary caps, they will establish steep costs for violating the salary cap. This won't be a black market. Anyone trying to establish one will be punished by the collective org. That's basic shit when a market is transparent yet closed. Corruption can occur only within short windows. 

    2) Players will still get compensated outside of that for NIL. 

    Item 1 presumes that a metric fuckton of things would have to happen in order for 1 to come to fruition. Conferences would have to find a way to align and anoint a commission or commission who would have unchecked power and they would all have to agree to that role and responsibility. If they can never do this, 1 never happens and it doesn't matter.  

    Item 2 exists now and won't be changing. People can call it what they want and whine about it if it doesn't serve their purpose, but no one is going to be preventing a player from getting endorsements in whatever form they manifest. They'll be getting run over repeatedly if they try to limit it.  

    If folks want to understand how this will all shakeout between the conferences, programs, players, and media deals, they should read a book or two on game theory. A lot of this shit is going to play out in paint-by-numbers fashion once framed in that context. My view is that nothing is going to change this from the "wild west" until the conferences and schools are able to "give" some of the media revenue pie to the collective of players within those conferences. That is a long walk from here. The SEC can't just tell its 16 members that they are all now required to give a certain percentage of their money to the players on campus. Anyone looking for something expeditious is fucked. I think Saban ultimately came to this realization. Alabama is fucked on NIL for the rest of his lifetime. Praise the Lord that that stay true.

    On the topic of reading materials to frame what's happening, I would throw out Essence of Decision. It's a breakdown of the Cuban missile crisis through three lenses: rational choice (the heart of game theory), organizational processes, and bureaucratic politics. I'm attaching a PDF of a journal article published by the authors. I highlighted the most important parts of the models and the portions that apply them to the missile crisis. 

    That said, resource dependence theory is my personal favorite way to understand the NIL landscape. 

    surly missile crisis.pdf

  6. 4 minutes ago, Beau Vine said:

    Tyler Owens is from Plano.

    Sorry, as I was compiling the list I forgot about the whole out of state thing and just listed the replacements. Hookfin was in-state too. But the original point about going OOS was a big theme with Bru, Floyd, Smith, etc. The spin was about going national after the sugar bowl win, but really we were just missing on guys. And without NIL and the SEC, we weren't even really making in-roads to southeast. 

    • Drool 1
  7. I remember one of the big dynamics for the 19 class was going out of state. Jimbo was able to capitalize on the first year coaching bump and some bags with in-state guys, so we ended up going out of state for replacements. Demarvin Leal, Kenyon Green, Demani Richardson, Dylan Wright, and Brian Williams were replaced by Tyler Owens, Myron Warren, Marcus Washington, Chris Adimora, Tyler Hookin, etc. I also remember the twitter slap fights about our WR class vs. OU's class of five stars (Jadon Haselwood, Theo Wease, Trejan Bridges). At least we weren't alone in misery there. 

  8. Week 4! And I'm even posting it on time!

    Final Score: Texas 38 - Baylor 6

    AP Ranking Before: 3

    Highlights

    Every Play

    Broadcast

    AP Ranking After: 3

    Postgame Articles

    My big takeaway from the game is that this was the official coming out party for Sweat, Murphy, and the rest of the IDL. We already knew they were good but they completely blew up Baylor's gameplan on the first couple drives. Really strong performance. We also got to see Brooks show out, improved mobility from Quinn (which is something worth revisiting in later games), and stellar red zone defense (two field goals on six trips). And one thing that luckily did not carry throughout the rest of the season was two muffed punts by Xavier Worthy and Jordan Whittington. 

    • Hook 'Em 4
  9. 2 hours ago, Sgt Hulk said:

    I forgot the wide open worthy drop in the first.  Oof but we are gonna miss his soeed

    Worthy is like 5 plays away from being an all-time longhorn great up there with Shipley. Started to type them out but decided to not go that route. Just sucks all around, but luckily it didn't matter in that game. 

    • Hook 'Em 1
  10. Immamac and I haven't figured out the hosting yet but here is the Wyoming game. I promise to remember to post on a Monday at some point before the end of the series!

    AP Ranking Before: 4

    Highlights

    Every Play

    Broadcast

    AP Ranking After: 3

    Postgame Articles

    Well, this was certainly the letdown game that we all feared after Bama. But the team rallied late and put an inferior opponent away. To their credit, this was the third straight game to start the year where the team finished strong. The narrative around the clutchness of this team swung all sorts of ways over the course of the year. Two quick notes on the actual gameplay: 1) those quick outs were a harbinger of things to come in the secondary and 2) as far as I remember, this was the only really long run we gave up this year. 

    • Hook 'Em 1
  11. 2 minutes ago, tokamak said:

    Yeah but dude Texas is only going to have, uh, *checks notes* 8 guys drafted this year, so obviously their recruits ain't shit.

    Hadn't thought about draft numbers since everyone finalized decisions to stay or declare. 8 should be safe (Worthy, Mitchell, Sweat, Murphy, Brooks, Sanders, Ford, Jones). Watts and Robinson will have outside shots as well. I had thought we could hit double digits but Majors, Barron, and Collins returning is great. 

    If only Murphy were a year older he could have cashed in on his day 2 grade instead of transferring. 

  12. 1 minute ago, Danimal said:

    Performance of "Up and Coming Coaches" during Sark's tenure at Texas:

    • Blake Gideon - Blessed as Muschamp's choice, has one more year to prove himself
    • Brennan Marion - Good choice, bad results
    • Tashard Choice - Great choice, great result
    • Chris Jackson - "Who is this guy" grade for choice, good results so far
    • AJ Milwee - What would he be without Sark?

    Performance of "Established Coaches" during Sark's tenure at Texas:

    • Andre Coleman - Bad choice to retain, bad results
    • Kyle Flood - Great choice; amazing results
    • Jeff Banks - Great choice, great results
    • Jeff Choate - Good choice, good results
    • Pete Kwiatkowski - good choice, good results (finally)
    • Terry Joseph - "Meh" choice, "meh" results
    • Bo Davis - Great choice, great results (depth chart is underwhelming though)

     

    Good list. Only thing I'd change is Milwee. Good hire (for what Sark needs), good results. He'd been hired as an OC but chose to come here instead when Sark was hired. 

  13. Forgot to post Game 2 yesterday but here is the Alabama game!

    AP Ranking Before: 11

    Highlights

    Every Play

    Broadcast

    AP Ranking After: 4

    Postgame Articles

    I watched this game by myself in my home office and I was fucking pumped. Burke was a monster. I hope we get to see more of that after an offseason of development and getting healthy. Sark baptized Caleb Downs in CFB. The OL bounced back in a huge way after giving us a panic against Rice. Oh, and Isaiah Bond and Amari Nyblack had some nice plays too. 

    • Hook 'Em 5
  14. 20 minutes ago, immamac said:

     

    You can be a dick all you want here, why would you go somewhere just to poop in the Cheerios? The sites serve 2 different and complimentary purposes. It’s already getting about as much traffic as hornsports and it’s not even been launched for 4 days. 

    Would it be possible for you to put the OTF news bar on the individual forums pages? I only ever go to the 9.95 and Football boards, so I like the widget, but I never visit the home page really

    • Hook 'Em 2
  15. 1 minute ago, ousux said:
    40 minutes ago, Bodacious Bevo said:
    Curious about sentiment on the board: anybody expect Helm to start over Niblack (with Niblack still getting plenty of reps rotating in for passing downs and 12 personnel)? That's where I'm at but maybe it's a minority opinion.

    I'd be more in favor of teaching the high 4 or 5* (depending on who you ask) TE with WR speed how to block on running plays, but maybe that's just me. Helm will still get plenty of snaps, don't worry about that.

    Yeah, no shit. I actually don't think it is just you that would prefer that. 

    If Niblack learns to block that will be great. Personally I see that as a two year journey but I'm happy to hope he puts it together this offseason. And I know Helm isn't an elite blocker in his own right, so if Niblack can be serviceable he'll earn PT. 

    Personally, my way-too-early prediction for our front-line personnel is Cook/Bond/Baxter/Blue/Helm with Golden and Niblack mixing into the rotation in an impactful way. Bolden seems like he's headed for '21/'22 Keilan usage. 

    • Hook 'Em 1
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