Jump to content

Bodacious Bevo

Burnt Ends
  • Posts

    2135
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    1

Posts posted by Bodacious Bevo

  1. 2024 Texas Transfer Tracker (Updated 12/17/23 5:40pm)

    Spoiler

    On3 Transfer Portal Wire: https://www.on3.com/transfer-portal/wire/football/2024/
    This is the quick hits for Texas-related transfers only.

    Out:
    Offense
    WR Casey Cain, WR Isaiah Neyor, OL Sawyer Goram-Welch, QB Maalik Murphy
    Defense
    S BJ Allen (North Texas), S Jalen Catalon, CB X'Avion Brice (North Texas), S Larry Turner-Gooden (San Jose State)

    In: 
    Offense
    WR Matthew Golden
    Defense
    DB Andrew Mukuba

    Targets (Estimated Needs): 

    TE (0-1) Holden Staes (Notre Dame)

    WR (1-2)  Antwane "Juice" Wells Jr. (South Carolina); Deion Burks (Purdue)Matthew Golden (Houston; visited 12/15)

    DE (0-1) Trey Moore (UTSA; visited 12/9)

    DL (0-1) Jamaree Caldwell (Houston)

    DB (1-2) Andrew Mukuba (Clemson; visited 12/15)


    K/P (1) 

     

    • Hook 'Em 2
  2. 2024 Texas Transfer Tracker (Updated 12/17/23 4:15pm)

    Spoiler

     

    On3 Transfer Portal Wire: https://www.on3.com/transfer-portal/wire/football/2024/
    This is the quick hits for Texas-related transfers only.

    Out:
    Offense
    WR Casey Cain, WR Isaiah Neyor, OL Sawyer Goram-Welch, QB Maalik Murphy
    Defense
    S BJ Allen, Jalen Catalon, CB X'Avion Brice (North Texas), S Larry Turner-Gooden 

    In: 
    Offense
    WR Matthew Golden
    Defense
     

    Targets (Estimated Needs): 

    Italics indicate message board speculation only

    TE (0-1)

    WR (1-2)  Antwane "Juice" Wells Jr. (South Carolina); Deion Burks (Purdue)Matthew Golden (Houston; visited 12/15)

    DE (0-1) Trey Moore (UTSA; visited 12/9)

    DL (0-1) Jamaree Caldwell (Houston)

    DB (1-2) Andrew Mukuba (Clemson; visited 12/15)


    K/P (1) 

     

    • Hook 'Em 2
  3. 54 minutes ago, Huckleberry said:

    Hahaha. They are so fucking dumb. They are letting the guy destroy their program from the inside just because of their pride in the 2022 recruiting class ranking. 

    Plan 2024!

    You know how Sark has talked about Pete Carroll telling him that he could come in and do it his way and deal with the growing pains, or do it the last guy's way and get the same results? Aggies really misunderstood the lesson. 

    • Hook 'Em 2
    • Like 4
  4. Just now, Rickylovesweed said:

    He started strong when the plays were scripted. After that it was all down hill. 

    I'm not going to hate on him anymore because he was a good teammate and a good Longhorn. Just saying, I think people are drastically overvaluing his projected value. 

    Yeah, I was typing up another response - I agree with you that Quinn was clearly a more developed prospect than Maalik two games into their career. My original point was just about comparing their game 2 performances. Quinn never got past the script against Alabama. We don't know what would have happened there (I think he would've continued to ball). 

    I just hope Maalik's performance this year - which helped us reach the CFP - isn't going to cost him opportunities. 

  5. Just now, Rickylovesweed said:

    If you think Ewers looked anything last year like Murphy did this year you should probably stop evaluating QBs. 

    In Ewers 2nd start he was dicing up Alabama while Murphy was turning the ball over against K-State. Now that isn't to say Murphy is incapable of developing but this is a god awful comparison. Ewers was 20X more advanced as a passer last year. 

    People forget how good Murphy looked in the first half of K-State. Yes, he made some mistakes and was a massive liability in the 4th. But he started strong. He played well enough to give us a cushion, at least. Lots of teams wouldn't get that from their backup. Hell, many won't even get that from their starter. 

    Ewers that game against Alabama: 9/12, 134 yards

    Maalik's first 12 throws against KSU: 8/12, 159 yards, 1 TD

    As a prospect, Maalik has some very clear issues. But I think anybody that thinks significantly differently about him now compared to August got caught up in the spring game koolaid. 

    • Hook 'Em 8
    • Like 1
  6. 27 minutes ago, Red Five said:

    No way we take only Golden in the portal at WR. That would be malpractice. 

    I agree. That said, the staff has been really good at evaluating what they have on campus and planning for the portal. Trust the corches.

    '22 cycle: Passed on OL when many (ahem @JFKFC)called for it. Passed on EDGE (except Drew Sanders IIRC) when it was the perceived biggest need. WR is probably the position you can criticize, but they did take three (Neyor, Hall, Milton) and we didn't have near as much to sell coming off 5-7.

    '23 cycle: Passed on LB when many called for it. Passed on TE when many called for it. S is probably where you can poke holes. They got Catalon, but he's injury-prone and redundant with our good safeties. I would guess they expected Crawford to be playable. He got a lot of hype in the spring. FWIW, Ja'had Carter (the other safety we went after) totaled 5 tackles for tOSU this year. 

    The vision for internal development is pretty clear by now. The staff has a good record of knowing which positions are actual needs and which can be filled with guys already in the program. There may have been some opportunities to add guys in '22 that would have jump-started us a bit, but I'd say it's all worked out.  

    • Hook 'Em 4
  7. 57 minutes ago, Valmy77 said:

    With the caveat that sacks count for rushes in College Football, which makes all these stats somewhat misleading.

    Penix very rarely runs.

    His career stats over six seasons are:

    128 Carries 239 Yards 1.9 Avg 13 TDs with his longest run being 30 yards

    That is a guy who scrambles from time to time and can get yards but it is clearly not really his thing.

    Just for context Ewers is:

    75 Carries -31 Yards -0.4 Avg 6 TDs with his longest run also being 30 yards for his career

    and 51 Carries 21 Yards 0.4 Avg 5 TDs for 2023

    So Ewers and Penix seem pretty similar in being a rushing threat.

    And since Gabriel was brought up he was:

    93 Carries 373 Yards 4.0 Avg with 12 TDs

    So Gabriel has almost as many carries in one year, and more yards, than Penix does for six years combined.

    ESPN has season-long sack yardage stats. So if you remove sacks and yardage lost from their rushing stats:

    '23 Penix: 19/53/2.8/3

    '23 Ewers: 26/159/6.1/5

    I think Ewers is a bigger threat with his legs but it's not going to be part of either team's offensive gameplan. Either guy is mobile enough to pick up first downs with his legs when needed. Quinn is more likely to belt off a random 25 yarder. In the first five games Quinn was running quite a bit and doing so effectively even if he looked a newborn foal taking its first steps. He just hasn't done it hardly at all since his injury.

    • Hook 'Em 2
    • Haha 1
  8. 13 minutes ago, closetojumping said:

    Sadly, I knew what I was doing when I launched the prior post’s throwaway comment into orbit. And it’s morbidly entertaining to witness. The turning of the turrets toward our resident incel was a nice surprise though. 

    Not sure it was a surprise. Any given conversation on surly has a decent chance to end in BOW shit talk. Like our own Godwin's law. 

    Also not sure the turrets turned. He usually just walks in front of them and sits down.

    • Haha 5
  9. 48 minutes ago, Atticus said:

    I'll be shocked shocked if Burke isn't a big part of the defensive gameplan against UW. His length will cause problems for RT Rosengarten if they get matched up and he can get it hands up to help defend the quick game stuff they do. 

    Penix is a lefty, so Rosengarten is his blindside protector.

    I agree but he's also the first guy off the field in a lot of our subpackages, so it'll be interesting to see. 

    As an aside, that's something that I really like about this team and the way that Sark/PK run things. There are a lot of guys with specialized roles. It's not just rotations that get non-starters reps. Helm, Agbo, Blackwell, Bush, Collins, and Robinson are all guys that are engaged and play legitimately important roles that wouldn't under coordinators that are married to a particular base package. Not to mention special teamers. 

    • Hook 'Em 2
  10. Alex Dunlap - Remember the Alamo Bowl

    Spoiler

    Clearly, Washington has a very good football team.

    In fact, recently, the Athletic (subscription required) was asked to rank the Top 5 NFL prospects on each of the four CFP teams, and in listing out the those top 5 the Huskies are looking to send to the league in 2024, the list didn't even get to star QB and Heisman Trophy finalist Michael Penix Jr. They have some players, for sure.

    And they had those same players when Texas faced them in the Alamo Bowl last year. Yes, they've clearly all gotten a year of seasoning, and are a year better now than the Texas players who played in that game were a year ago. However, the difference between 2022 Washington and 2023 Washington is nowhere near the difference between 2022 Texas and 2023 Texas. You have to watch the game back to remind yourself of what a difference a year makes.

    So, let's Remember the Alamo (Bowl) for a minute. These are the ways Texas is different in 2023 than it was in the 2022 Alamo Bowl:

    - Xavier Worthy had a broken hand and played horribly. Worthy had one drop on a deep ball that was so egregious that Sark elected to go back to him again on the very next play (because surely he'd never drop two in a row like that) and sure enough, the second drop was even worse than the first. Xavier Worthy may have had a hiccup or two this season, but these two consecutive pass plays are worse than any of them individually. Two totally wasted dimes by Ewers. That doesn't happen in the 2023 season.

    - Keilan Robinson was somehow forced into a lead back role. Just miserable. Texas may be without Bijan Robinson and Roschon Johnson in 2023 but they were also without those guys in the Alamo Bowl. Even Jonathan Brooks was still extremely limited with the sports hernia. To say Robinson couldn't get anything going would be an understatement. The run game was non-existent and made Texas completely one dimensional, even against a run-front that wasn't all that imposing. To think that UW will as easily shut down CJ Baxter, Jaydon Blue and a lightning-strike change-of-pace (his proper role) in Keilan Robinson running behind a much-improved OL just because they limited Texas to 51 team rushing yards last year would be delusional and cockamamie.

    - Diamonte Tucker-Dorsey filled in for Demarvion Overshown. Texas won't have any issues with players sitting out the final game of the season this year. You don't opt out when going for a championship. Take this into consideration: Anthony Hill is already better (at the very least, MUCH more efficient) than Demarvion Overshown was as a senior. That is not to diss Overshown, that is just to put things in context. Overshown played 653 snaps last year and generated 8.57% of the team's production (once every 8.01 snaps). And while Hill didn't play near as many snaps this season as Overshown did last (429), he had 7.72% of the production on a much better defense, and did so with much more efficiency per-snap (once every 6.24 snaps). We all know that Tucker-Dorsey is a downgrade from Overshown, and considering that Overshown can be argued to be a downgrade from Hill, well ....

    - Jake Majors played miserably. Just miserable. Say what you will about Majors' career at Texas but this year, he's been good. Period. Everyone makes mistakes and everyone fails at times, even the best of the best, but when we boil it all down, Majors was more than just fine in 2023, he was actually good. He allowed disruption only once every 31.7 snaps on the season. He's one of the offense's most improved players. In the Alamo Bowl, he allowed 2 run-stuffs, one TFL and one QB pressure on 64 total snaps, good for once every 16. Majors has not played a game that bad since that very day.

    - Quinn Ewers and Xavier Worthy had no connection. They aren't exactly Colt McCoy and Jordan Shipley with their 2023 connection, so it's not exactly an epic mind-meld where they are finishing each other's sentences, but man ... you really have to go back and watch to remember how off the page these two were with each other that season. It's frustrating to watch back even now.

    - The special teams play was sloppy. A busted protection package leading to a blocked punt. Jordan Whittington ran into the kicker. Keilan Robinson wasn't able to pin UW deep on a punt he should have downed at the one. An onside kick attempt that never had a chance. Can you think back on the 2023 season and conjure up a game that had so many missteps on special teams? In fact, the special teams (especially as Texas has begun to peak late in the season) have been a feather in this team's cap if nothing else.

    - The RG position was in flux. It doesn't matter how coaches spin player rotations, you don't rotate in average players for awesome players. You don't even rotate in average players for pretty good players. Last year, both Cole Hutson and DJ Campbell were not even in that pretty good-category yet and they rotated all game as Hutson was returning from injury. While DJC has had his ups and downs this season, the highs have been terrific and so such rotation will be occurring this year.

    - Casey Cain was the leading receiver and alpha at the X. Guys like Savion Red and Brennen Thompson were actually contributors at WR. Yes, Cain was only the leading receiver because he caught a useless last-second hail mary from Ewers as time expired but that isn't the point. The point is, do you see a difference between Adonai Mitchell, Johntay Cook and Deandre Moore and Casey Cain (transferring), Thompson (already transferred out) and Red (had to change positions)?

    - Zero pass rush. Nothing against Ovie Oghuofo, but he brought zero in the pass-rush department in this game and the team simply didn't get the same pressure last year as it did in 2023 on the whole. In the Alamo Bowl, Oghuofo had 3 assisted tackles on 67 total snaps. Not an ounce of pressure from Oghuofo (and not much from anyone else, either), as had been the case all season. Does that sound like an average 2023 game to you?

    - Unbelievably miserable run fits from the defensive line (and linebackers). This was the most galling to me. Just the piss-poor pad level. It happened through the game, but this is the run that really cemented in my mind just how far this team has come with it's run fits:



    If you can't easily see what was so bad about this play, I broke it down in detail yesterday here on "Football with Friends" on the Orangebloods YouTube Channel. The clip below will take you directly to that discussion.



    If anyone tells you this game is surely going to be a repeat of 2022, they may be right.

    But the one thing you'll know for certain is that they haven't been paying attention.

    His point about Ovie reminds me: Burke is one of the guys recovering from injury. There may be a bump in play coming from him between that and rest to recover from being tired as a first year starter. If we get Bama Burke that would be huge. Though it's also possible he doesn't even play much if we end up in the Blackwell dime a bunch.

    Someone that knows more about scheme can answer this: what impact does EDGE play have on OL shifts? It's been discussed that UW will shift the OL and roll Penix out but I would think that can be countered if a DE can get upfield and set the edge. I also wonder if we see some return of the nickel and corner blitz (not that we ever really abandoned them) for a similar reason. In which case I wonder if we see some Burke in the Blackwell package since he can drop. 

    • Hook 'Em 1
  11. 35 minutes ago, closetojumping said:

    Sweet tangent. I'll play. 

    Contenders:

    -Losing to Kansas

    -Losing to Kansas again

    -TCU buttfucking Texas in public to the tune of 50-7

    -Pussies crying on live television begging Texas not to fire Chuckles after a 3rd season of complete ineptitude

    -Flying the school brass to Tulsa to land a 3rd rate OC

    -Tom Herman and the sledgehammer

    -Tom Herman flipping the ESPN cameras off

    -Arkansas 2021 - Not SEC good enough as a chorus across the media

    -The Eyes debacle during the pandemic

    -Shithead Najee Harris "Who Texas?"

    -Shutout at Iowa State

    -Being up 28-7 on OU and then bending over and showing us

    Oh man, so many good ones from which to choose. 

     

    - Maryland 2 was the angriest I've ever been as a fan

    - Related: Malcom Roach middle linebacker hype

    - Taysom Hill

    - Nick Rose extra point

    - Arkansas bowl game

    - Mike Yurcich QB room fiasco 

    - 2020 Duggan scramble -> Keaontay fumble

    • Rage+1 1
  12. 10 minutes ago, Rickylovesweed said:

    I would say being near the bottom in starts lost to injury over a 3 year period is a pretty good indicator of systemic problems with S&C. The only problem in the context of injuries? Probably not. 

    And I bet if you could find the data over the last 10 years, Moffitt would probably have a much longer history of injury problems.

     

    You only have two years of data, one of which was 2020. An article saying a bunch of guys are banged up means nothing. Pretty sure a bunch of them played the entire year anyways. The important guys certainly did. And your argument would really need a deeper dive of the injuries to be applicable.

    I have no opinion of the guy, but the drill sergeant shtick is a bigger red flag to me. 

    • Hook 'Em 1
  13. 30 minutes ago, Rickylovesweed said:

    He should have. 

    Based on his last 2 years as the S&C coach at LSU they were near the bottom in "starts lost to injuries". As referenced above. 

    I can't find the data on the '19 team, but it looks like they were also riddled with injuries. Over the last 3 years with Moffitt, I'm going to bet LSU was near the bottom in "starts lost to injury." That's shitty performance. You can't spin facts. The last 3 years with Moffitt, LSU had more injuries than just about anyone. It's almost like he's a relic that's 60 years old. 

    https://www.theadvocate.com/baton_rouge/sports/lsu/lsus-injury-issues-what-we-know-about-the-status-of-8-key-players/article_6cf5a4cc-dcbe-11e9-8c0a-17b470355a66.html

    I have no horse in this race, but it's weird to place all blame for injuries on the S&C coach, especially when one of the years you're citing was the fucky COVID year that would have thrown all S&C routines into whack. I don't think injuries in two years with one being an asterisk is a good way to judge a multi-decade career.

    • Hook 'Em 3
  14. 2024 Texas Transfer Tracker (Updated 12/12/23 6:64pm)

    On3 Transfer Portal Wire: https://www.on3.com/transfer-portal/wire/football/2024/
    This is the quick hits for Texas-related transfers only.

    Out:
    Offense
    WR Casey Cain, WR Isaiah Neyor, OL Sawyer Goram-Welch
    Defense
    S BJ Allen, Jalen Catalon, CB X'Avion Brice (North Texas), S Larry Turner-Gooden 

    In: 
    Offense

    Defense
     

    Targets (Estimated Needs): 

    Italics indicate message board speculation only

    TE (0-1)

    WR (1-2)  Antwane "Juice" Wells Jr. (South Carolina); Deion Burks (Purdue); Matthew Golden (Houston)

    DE (0-1) Trey Moore (UTSA; visited 12/9)

    DL (0-1) Jamaree Caldwell (Houston)

    S (1-2) Andrew Mukuba (Clemson)


    K/P (1) 

    • Hook 'Em 6
    • Like 2
  15. 42 minutes ago, Warrrshington said:

    Disagree. Petersen’s first class, though lacking in stars, was a killer. Gaines, Vita, Dissly, Sample, Sidney Jones, Budda Baker, Dante Pettis. This idea that sark was such a better recruiter is simply not true. When he leveled up with Tosh, Sirmon, and Wilcox the recruiting got pretty good.

    Alabama didn’t outclass us. That UW team had NFL talent at nearly every position. They exploited our one or two weaknesses (6’1, 270 true frosh OG), Joe Mathis injured at BUCK, and Browning threw that stupid pick 6 right before half. 
     

    Petersen’s problem was he would get tight in the big games and the team took on his personality. DeBoer is a level up of Petersen because he is always calm and encourages his players to let it rip.

    Seems premature to say DeBoer is a level up of Peterson 

×
×
  • Create New...