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HookEm

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Everything posted by HookEm

  1. Kent is a solid role players and Larry is fine as your 8th or 9th best player. The roster is actually really well constructed IMO. If Chris Beard had this team, I have zero doubt they would be ranked in the top-10. He would be running a positionless switch everything defense that would be a nightmare with our forwards. Shedrick would be getting 10 minutes per game, not starting.
  2. Drake has lost their last two games. I'm kind of holding out hope that it is Royal Ivey. He did an amazing job with South Sudan. I just don't think our opening will align with him being viewed as qualified. And there is a decent chance that he gets an NBA job and never makes his way to the college ranks.
  3. I see this season as a win/win no matter what happens. If we win, awesome. I will always be excited to watch UT hoops make it to the big dance. If we lose, it could help usher in a new staff who will probably (but not certainly) be better. The aggy game was pretty much a perfect storm worst case opponent for us. They are #1 in the country in offensive rebounding and we are a bad rebounding team. They were getting 2nd chance garbage points all night long. They are also very good defensively, both on the perimeter and down low. I don't think we are as bad as we looked in that game. I liked that we saw some lineups with Pope/Larry + Johnson + Mark + Kent + Kaluma. We need that more going forward.
  4. Hot take, but I think we play better team basketball when Tre isn’t on the floor.
  5. Given the strength of the conference, I think the seeding would work out as follows (with the percentages being the odds of that seed or better): 7-11 - 10 seed, 50/50 make the tourney (78% chance) 8-10 - 8-9 seed, 90% make the tourney (61% chance) 9-9 - 6-7 seed (42% chance) 10-8 - 5-6 seed (24% chance) 11-7 - 5 seed (11% chance) 12-6 - 4 seed (4% chance) 13-5 - 3 seed (1.3% chance) 14-4 - 2 seed (1 in 300+) 15-3 - 1 seed (1 in 2,000+) 16-2 or better - #1 overall seed - (1 in 13,000+)
  6. Just for fun, I simulated 10M seasons using the KenPom game odds. Here are the results:
  7. The SEC is crazy good this year. Going 0.500 in conference probably earns us a 6 seed.
  8. Texas Tech is an interesting one to watch. They have a very passionate billionaire former player in Cody Campbell who is starting to throw real money around. They currently have the #2 class in the transfer portal. There is also a power vacuum in the Big 12 that they could step into if they buy their way into it.
  9. HookEm

    Atlanta

    We have been all over midtown and have seen maybe two longhorns.
  10. HookEm

    Atlanta

    Sounds like the scene is gonna be lit!
  11. HookEm

    Atlanta

    Anything planned for the CFP Semis? I’ll be pulling in tomorrow night and staying in midtown. Would be nice to take over a bar or two. Feel free to move this to the football board if more appropriate.
  12. When Rodney is your coach? Yes. Next question.
  13. HookEm

    Texas vs NWST

    Team played down to the competition in this one. Pretty sloppy overall effort in the last 10 minutes.
  14. I checked the 0 wins and 5 wins maths because it is easy and Chat GPT was correct. The rest look pretty accurate to me based on the odds.
  15. Using the Massey odds for each game, ChatGPT gives the following odds: Winning 0 games: 7.23% Winning 1 game: 25.27% Winning 2 games: 34.82% Winning 3 games: 23.67% Winning 4 games: 7.95% Winning 5 games: 1.06%
  16. I don’t think we have been close to playing to our potential yet. Pope should be a real force on the offensive end, and he showed that last game. Mark is also just getting comfortable. Tre Johnson has been hurt and also is adjusting to not having to be “the man” every possession. Kent has been hurt. If we put all the pieces together we can beat anybody. Terry has shown the last two years that the team has gotten better as the season progressed. Let’s hope the trend holds.
  17. Pope is a good player. He averaged almost 17.6 PPG with decent efficiency in the PAC 10 last year. He just hasn’t gotten it going yet. I think Tre Johnson being out may be what he needs to stop being passive and play to his potential.
  18. In a surprising turn of events, Shedrick gets a 3 drained right in his face. For only the 200th time this year.
  19. Tournament success is obviously highly correlated with regular season success. If you are a 4 seed or better, the odds are that you will periodically make the Sweet 16 or better. If you are always a 10 seed you are stuck hoping for a favorable matchup just to win a game. We need a coach who never misses the tournament and considers it a failure if seeded 5 or lower. We don’t need one who always has us on the bubble and hoping that an 8-10 conference record is enough to make it in. That kind of program wouldn’t be good enough for any other sport at UT.
  20. I would be shocked if we won two tournament games this year. I think it is more likely that we miss the tournament completely.
  21. Exactly. Everybody knows RT is mediocre at best. We can do better than him or Barnes or Shaka. Not sure we can do better than Beard. Holy hell he was the perfect fit here. But he is clearly unstable, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see the wheels come off again. I give RT full credit for the E8. That could have easily been a 12 win team following Beard’s departure, especially playing in the brutal Big 12. The team got better and better as the year went on. He knew how to manage the players and restore their focus. A+ job. Last year was “ok”. He built a decent roster despite losing two NBA caliber freshmen at the last minute. And he won more tournament games than Shaka did his entire tenure here. Regardless, OK isn’t close to good enough with our resources.
  22. I get your point, but that stretch includes the two time defending champion and another Final Four team from last year in addition to Syracuse, a top-25 historic program. The shitty teams are shitty though. Agreed.
  23. My dad's birthday was yesterday. He was telling me about how his granddad died on his birthday when he was 7. I was like... cool story. Texas basketball died on my birthday, December 12 two years ago.
  24. I always felt like Shaka was close to turning the corner at Texas, but he just never could do it. Every year it seemed like we had 4-6 VERY close losses that could have changed the whole season with a win. 2016 should have been a good year. Isaiah Taylor, Jevan Felix, Roach, Ridley, Ibeh, etc. Lost a few close ones that could have moved us up to a 4-5 seed. Instead we are a 6 seed and lost to Northern Iowa. Fail. 2017 was a shit show. Finished the regular season losing 7 in a row and 14 of the last 17. Fail. 2019 had wins over #7 UNC, #9 Purdue, #15 ISU, #17 KU. And then put it together to win the NIT. (Big whoop). They also had TEN losses by 6 points or less. Just win half of those and we would have been a medium NCAA seed. Fail. The 2021 team was really good. We were 19-8, but again 6 of those losses were by a combined 11 points. That team was full of NBA talent in Sims, Kai Jones, Greg Brown. We had a great senior PG in Matt Coleman. And Jones / Ramey were solid. That team should have been a S16 or E8 team. Nope. Stepped on our dick vs. shitty ACU. Fail.
  25. I like Caitlin Clark precisely because all the annoying WNBA players hate her. And I have enjoyed watching her take it to them on the court. And I also like that she has largely stayed out of politics (which is part of what makes those other WNBA players so annoying).
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