As more data comes out, I'm starting to think several factors. I was in the same boat as far as conflicted over it being here early.
after looking at Texas flu data and seeing the ramp up from 10/1 - 1/23, 110k flu tests with only 28k positives. So 75% of ILI's last fall/winter were something other than one of the several flu strains. Also, the mortality/age curve was very similar, <0.1% for 0-17's slowly increasing to the great majority of seats from the 65+ group.
Now, with prison data showing around 96% of infected prisoners being asymptomatic with some of those prisons also having up to 60% infection rate...
the other thing I found interesting is that story about flu vaccine epparently increasing serious pulmonary infection by 36%... I wonder how many of the severely affected and those who have died had a flu vaccine?
Another factor is that CV-19 is most dangerous for older people, parricularly the 80+ group. For one, there are a lot fewer of them in the general population. Also, with state data they make up by far the lowest number of people who get ILI's in part because there are fewer of them and also maybe because they are more likely to have caught crap in their lives and have antibodies for more different things? Also, they are probably less mobile, travel less, go out less, and therefore encounter fewer germs on a daily basis. Except if they are in a nursing home and shit goes down there, then watch out.